Tender Branson's General Election Maps

[I Can't Get That Sound You Make, Out Of My Head]

I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

[Fuzzy]

Tender, I think you should just give Iowa to Obama.  That last poll was probably an outlier. 

[Tender Branson]

Update:



Looks very 2008-ish.

[pbrower2a]

Update:



Looks very 2008-ish.

Even more so. Iowa just went deep red and Ohio went mid-red (colors of this website) according to the most recent PPP polls.

[Tender Branson]

We use Red for Democrats here and Blue for the GOP !!!

Otherwise I get eye-cancer !

[Tender Branson]

Update:

[Tender Branson]

Update (TN goes from Romney+1 among Adults to Romney+7 among Registered Voters):

[Tender Branson]

Update (NC goes from "slight Romney" to "tossup", FL goes from "tossup" to "lean Romney"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update (WI from "slight" to "lean" Obama - CA, MA and GA remain "strong"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Jayhawker]

Out of curiosity, why is Florida "Lean Romney" and not "Slight Romney" or even "Tossup", considering that Mitt only leads by .5% on the RCP average?

[Tender Branson]

Out of curiosity, why is Florida "Lean Romney" and not "Slight Romney" or even "Tossup", considering that Mitt only leads by .5% on the RCP average?

Because I only use the latest poll, which is Quinnipiac (Romney+6),

[Tender Branson]

Update (CA, MD, MI & CO):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update (WI back to "strong Obama", MO to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update (NV to "slight Obama", CO & IA to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Fritz]

Shouldn't Ohio be changed?

[Tender Branson]

Update (OH, VA, FL, WI, PA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[argentarius]

Tender could you do a special request? I would like one map showing PPP polls and another showing non-PPP polls.

[Tender Branson]

Tender could you do a special request? I would like one map showing PPP polls and another showing non-PPP polls.

I see no reason for this, because PPP is a legitimate and usually accurate pollster.

...

Update (VA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[Tender Branson]

Update (I also changed NE-02, TN and SC to "strong GOP" because the polls are really old):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".

[True Federalist]

The South Carolina poll might be old, but I'm expecting that Romney's margin of victory will be on either side of the 10% cutoff between Lean and Strong.

Also going all the way from Slight R to Strong R in NE-02 seems a bit of an over correction.

[Tender Branson]

The South Carolina poll might be old, but I'm expecting that Romney's margin of victory will be on either side of the 10% cutoff between Lean and Strong.

Also going all the way from Slight R to Strong R in NE-02 seems a bit of an over correction.

I simply want new polls and I can change it again if they show similar close results.

[Tender Branson]

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".