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Author Topic: Tender Branson's General Election Maps  (Read 21133 times)
Make America Great Again
morgieb
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« Reply #50 on: April 17, 2012, 07:23:47 pm »
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I'd like to make it clear to anyone who reads this that empty quoting is not very beneficial to the forum, and it's especially annoying when the same post is made 7 times in a row.

Wink
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #51 on: April 17, 2012, 08:08:26 pm »
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Tender, I think you should just give Iowa to Obama.  That last poll was probably an outlier.  Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #52 on: May 04, 2012, 01:05:39 am »
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Update:



Looks very 2008-ish.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #53 on: May 08, 2012, 07:57:11 pm »
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Update:



Looks very 2008-ish.




Even more so. Iowa just went deep red and Ohio went mid-red (colors of this website) according to the most recent PPP polls.
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Your political compass

Economic Left/Right: -7.00
Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.49
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #54 on: May 17, 2012, 11:57:58 pm »
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We use Red for Democrats here and Blue for the GOP !!!

Otherwise I get eye-cancer !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #55 on: May 20, 2012, 12:40:20 am »
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Update:

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #56 on: May 20, 2012, 10:47:11 am »
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Update (TN goes from Romney+1 among Adults to Romney+7 among Registered Voters):

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #57 on: May 23, 2012, 09:03:19 am »
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Update (NC goes from "slight Romney" to "tossup", FL goes from "tossup" to "lean Romney"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #58 on: May 24, 2012, 12:32:16 am »
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Update (WI from "slight" to "lean" Obama - CA, MA and GA remain "strong"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #59 on: May 24, 2012, 10:46:36 pm »
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Out of curiosity, why is Florida "Lean Romney" and not "Slight Romney" or even "Tossup", considering that Mitt only leads by .5% on the RCP average?
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Upset: Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #60 on: May 24, 2012, 11:26:27 pm »
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Out of curiosity, why is Florida "Lean Romney" and not "Slight Romney" or even "Tossup", considering that Mitt only leads by .5% on the RCP average?

Because I only use the latest poll, which is Quinnipiac (Romney+6),
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #61 on: May 30, 2012, 04:03:15 am »
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Update (CA, MD, MI & CO):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #62 on: May 30, 2012, 02:09:59 pm »
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Update (WI back to "strong Obama", MO to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #63 on: May 31, 2012, 05:59:49 am »
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Update (NV to "slight Obama", CO & IA to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Fritz
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« Reply #64 on: May 31, 2012, 05:20:36 pm »
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Shouldn't Ohio be changed?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #65 on: June 06, 2012, 04:42:49 am »
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Update (OH, VA, FL, WI, PA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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argentarius
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« Reply #66 on: June 06, 2012, 11:21:27 pm »
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Tender could you do a special request? I would like one map showing PPP polls and another showing non-PPP polls.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #67 on: June 07, 2012, 06:14:58 am »
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Tender could you do a special request? I would like one map showing PPP polls and another showing non-PPP polls.

I see no reason for this, because PPP is a legitimate and usually accurate pollster.

...

Update (VA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #68 on: June 25, 2012, 11:34:24 pm »
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Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 37185
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #69 on: June 26, 2012, 11:36:23 am »
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Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 37185
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #70 on: July 19, 2012, 04:36:20 am »
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Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #71 on: August 01, 2012, 03:10:11 am »
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Update (I also changed NE-02, TN and SC to "strong GOP" because the polls are really old):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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Delicious Steak Pentagram
Ernest
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« Reply #72 on: August 01, 2012, 10:41:17 am »
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The South Carolina poll might be old, but I'm expecting that Romney's margin of victory will be on either side of the 10% cutoff between Lean and Strong.

Also going all the way from Slight R to Strong R in NE-02 seems a bit of an over correction.
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Quote from: Ignatius of Antioch
He that possesses the word of Jesus, is truly able to bear his very silence. Epistle to the Ephesians 3:21a
The one thing everyone can agree on is that the media is biased against them.
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 37185
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #73 on: August 01, 2012, 10:44:24 am »
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The South Carolina poll might be old, but I'm expecting that Romney's margin of victory will be on either side of the 10% cutoff between Lean and Strong.

Also going all the way from Slight R to Strong R in NE-02 seems a bit of an over correction.

I simply want new polls and I can change it again if they show similar close results.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 37185
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Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -6.09


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« Reply #74 on: August 06, 2012, 01:34:55 pm »
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Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
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