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Author Topic: Jamaican elections - special between-the-years treat  (Read 2365 times)
Teddy (IDS Legislator)
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« Reply #25 on: December 29, 2011, 05:35:37 pm »
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3PNP 1JLP - very early counting.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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DrScholl
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« Reply #26 on: December 29, 2011, 05:39:52 pm »
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Very interesting observing this, I've read a lot about Jamaican elections and politics in the past, but this is the first time I've observed an election.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #27 on: December 29, 2011, 05:42:52 pm »
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Aye, I sort of kept an eye on the last one, but this is interesting.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #28 on: December 29, 2011, 05:58:34 pm »
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LOL. A story about an old man who supposedly died after realizing he voted for the wrong party.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #29 on: December 29, 2011, 06:04:36 pm »
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8PNP 5JLP
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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DrScholl
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« Reply #30 on: December 29, 2011, 06:06:18 pm »
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LOL. A story about an old man who supposedly died after realizing he voted for the wrong party.

That was so crazy, talk about taking politics to seriously.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #31 on: December 29, 2011, 06:10:40 pm »
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The results scrolling across the bottom are more up to date than the webpage I provided earlier. Let me see if I can hand-add things like I did for the Yukon.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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« Reply #32 on: December 29, 2011, 06:15:42 pm »
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Professor Ian Boxill's projection:

JLP - 30
PNP - 28
Too close to call - 5
« Last Edit: December 29, 2011, 06:23:00 pm by Joseph Gordon Levitt »Logged

Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #33 on: December 29, 2011, 06:19:51 pm »
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Okay, my grid/table/chart is set up and ready to go. Currently I have the PNP at 54% and the JLP at 46% pop vote. Lets see what I can add once the bar comes back.

Also, I'm enjoying these commercials lol.


EDIT
nevermind
http://election.jamaicaobserver.com/
it's here, seat by seat, but I'll keep you guys up to date with pop vote totals.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #34 on: December 29, 2011, 06:33:12 pm »
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25PNP - 20JLP
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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« Reply #35 on: December 29, 2011, 06:42:10 pm »
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Both candidates in Manchester North Eastern are tied right now, having exactly 2,365 votes each.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #36 on: December 29, 2011, 06:50:26 pm »
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38PNP - 22JLP

PNP has been ahead all night so far.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #37 on: December 29, 2011, 07:04:59 pm »
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All seats now have at least 1 box reporting.

Current results:
PNP - 39 - 53% pop vote
JLP - 24 - 47% pop vote
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #38 on: December 29, 2011, 07:44:12 pm »
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Progress results, 7:30pm
PNP - 38 - 53% - 8 "Called" seats (called by the media)
JLP - 25 - 47% -  5 "Called"

JLP needs to pick up soon or they are done for.

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #39 on: December 29, 2011, 08:08:44 pm »
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Progress results, 8pm
PNP - 40 - 53% - 22 "Called" seats (called by the media)
JLP - 23 - 46% -  9 "Called"

JLP needs to pick up soon or they are done for.

XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #40 on: December 29, 2011, 08:17:09 pm »
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Declared only:

PNP - 25
JLP - 11
NYD - 27 (not yet declared)

(32 needed for a majority)
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #41 on: December 29, 2011, 08:29:30 pm »
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JTV called it for the PNP

PNP - 25
JLP - 18
NYD - 20
41-22 in the "leading in elected" column, PNP ahead in most undeclared seats.
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #42 on: December 29, 2011, 08:53:32 pm »
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Declared seats:

PNP - 32 - WINNER, MAJORITY GOVERNMENT
JLP - 19
NYD - 12
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TEDDY - ARKANSAS - IDS - Liberal Whip



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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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E: -1.42, S: -1.91

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« Reply #43 on: December 29, 2011, 09:33:40 pm »
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PNP - 39
JLP - 21
NYD - 3

And that's it from me for tonight!
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Hatman
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« Reply #44 on: December 29, 2011, 10:43:53 pm »
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District names are ridiculous... and so are the party names (they are reversed, it seems).

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« Reply #45 on: December 29, 2011, 10:55:32 pm »
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Sorry about the yellow for PNP, but the orange color scale is too uneven to use here.
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #46 on: December 30, 2011, 05:12:40 am »
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Besides, with the black borders, that makes it look like the Jamaican flag!

Very nice. Didn't expect such a big win (seatwise; it seems the popular vote wasn't all that landslidey?)
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redcommander
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« Reply #47 on: December 30, 2011, 05:27:55 am »
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Woah for a second I thought the PNP was right-wing. How interesting that the Labour Party is Conservative.
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #48 on: December 30, 2011, 05:59:16 am »
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PNP performance by parish and county.

Cornwall 52.7 (+2.4) 11 out of 16 (+3 - seat added)

Hanover 53.3 (+3.1) 2 out of 2 (0)
Westmoreland 62.9 (+4.7 assuming that's a misprint in my 2007 post) 3 out of 3 (0)
Saint James 50.4 (+4.1) 3 out of 5 (+2 - seat added)
Trelawny 51.0 (+1.5) 1 out of 2 (0)
Saint Elizabeth 53.7 (+5.2) 2 out of 4 (+1)

Middlesex 51.8 (+3.4) 18 out of 28 (+6 - 2 seats added)

Saint Ann 54.0 (+4.6) 3 out of 4 (+2)
Saint Mary 53.5 (+2.2) 3 out of 3 (+1)
Manchester 53.4 (+2.4) 3 out of 4 (0)
Clarendon 50.1 (+4.6) 3 out of 6 (+2)
Saint Catherine 50.5 (+3.1) 6 out of 11 (+1 - 2 seats added which split 1-1 along predictable lines, and nothing changed hands actually)

Surrey 54.9 (+3.3) 12 out of 19 (+3)

Kingston 52.2 (+4.4) 2 out of 3 (0)
Saint Andrew 57.4 (+4.0) 8 out of 12 (+3)
Saint Thomas 50.2 (+2.2) 1 out of 2 (0)
Portland 50.3 (-0.4) 1 out of 2 (0)

Jamaica 52.9 (+3.3) 41 out of 63 (+12 - 3 added. All of this is compared to the tallies I did four years ago; apparently one close seat actually switched to the JLP in late counting back then so it's actually +13, and some percentages may also be slightly off.)

The Comrades carried every parish! (you gotta love a country where the supporters of the two parties are nicknamed Comrades and Labourites). Longtime PNP incumbent stood down in Portland Eastern; I did read a piece where it was claimed the new candidate was "weak".)
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Vasall des Midas
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« Reply #49 on: December 30, 2011, 06:03:04 am »
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2002 52.1% of the vote got them 34 out of 60. When they took 50 out of 60 in 97, it was on a 16 point lead. So yeah, they got lucky in a lot of swingy seats; pretty much swept all but a couple of them.

Also, first time ever that a Jamaican government was voted out after a single term.

Some JLP bigwigs lost their seats: Agriculture and Fisheries Minister Robert Montague in St Mary W, Mining and Energy Minister Clive Mullings in Montego Bay SW St James WC.
« Last Edit: December 30, 2011, 06:09:41 am by Minion of Midas »Logged

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