If Dick Morris says that Romney will end up with 1298 delegates, then either Romney isn't getting a majority or we're in for a "broken clock" scenario.
Have no fear, Dick Morris is still an idiot.
- He counts unpledged RNC delegates in states delegate totals
- Some of the "Winner take all" states he counts for Romney are actually proportional (Oregon, Puerto Rico, etc)
- Other "WTA" states are actually caucus states or directly elected delegate states (WV, for example) where you can't really tell what's going on ahead of time anyway
- A lot of the states are really WTA by CD, like California, Wisconsin, Indiana, etc
- He's quite obviously just pulling numbers out of his ass for the "proportional representation" states he lists
- He also thinks Pennsylvania and North Carolina are WTA for some reason; PA elects delegates directly and NC is proportional
- He seems to think Romney will win in WV, NE, and ND
So, yeah, he really has no idea what he's talking about.
Bringing back memories of his 2008 Electoral College maps, where Arkansas was Safe Obama, and Louisiana was a toss-up, but Indiana was Safe McCain. Good times.