2014: Midterms, Presidential Contests and beyond

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Carville? Interesting, though I would have gone with Mitch Landrieu.

[morgieb]

Was the election in Louisiana about the economy, stupid?

[Miles]

Rachel:Well, with nearly all precincts in these states reporting, we can make our final calls. In Kentucky, little has changed since the early results began to roll in. Democrats Crit Luallen holds that seat with 57% percent of the vote.

Chris: And Governor Gene Taylor will be cementing his win. This was even more of a blowout than Kentucky. Mississippi will be returning its incumbent Governor to the statehouse by a 26% margin.

Chuck: But, in Louisiana, the race will head to a runoff. Democrat James Carville will be clinging to a 2% edge over Republican David Vitter, with former Governor Buddy Roemer a distant third. Vitter will face Carville in December.

GOVERNOR VOTE BY CD

[RodPresident]

Good update, Miles. Good luck to Carville in run-off. Any new thing about Presidential contest?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Awesome!

[Niemeyerite]

Thanks, Miles

[Jerseyrules]

Thanks, Miles

[Miles]

2016 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATES

PART I: THE REPUBLICANS

GOV. BOBBY JINDAL (LA)

TEA PARTY FAVORABILITY: 62/29
HOME STATE APPROVAL: 60/37
Endorsements:
-Sen. David Vitter-LA
-Sen. John Boozman-AR
-Gov. Robert Bentley-AL
-Gov. Nikki Haley-SC
-Sen. Tom Coburn-OK
-Gov. Brian Sandoval-NV
-Sen. Bill Haslam-TN
-Ex-Gov. Mike Huckabee-AR
-Ex-Gov. Haley Barbour-MS
-Ex-Sen. Rick Santorum-PA
-The LA Republican House delegation
-Ex-Mayor Pat McCrory-NC

SEN. MARCO RUBIO (FL)

TEA PARTY FAVORABILITY: 70/24
HOME STATE APPROVAL: 41/40
-Gov. George Bush-FL
-Sen. Mike Lee-UT
-Gov. Ron Johnson-WI
-Gov. Jeff Flake-AZ
-Sen. Tim Huelskamp-KS
-Rep. Raul Labrador-ID
-Rep. Virginia Foxx-NC
-Rep. Allen West
-Rep. Ileana Ros-Lethenin-FL
-Rep. Jeb Hensarling-TX
-Ex-Mayor Rudi Guiliani-NC
-Ex-AG. Ken Cuccinelli-VA

GOV. SUSANA MARTINEZ (NM)

TEA PARTY FAVORABILITY: 50/25
HOME STATE APPROVAL: 51/40
-Sen. Gary Johnson-NM
-Gov. Jan Brewer-AZ
-Gov. Greg Walden-OR
-Ex-Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison-TX
-Rep. Dean Heller-NV
-Rep. Cathy McMorris-Rodgers-WA
-Rep. Shelley Moore Capito-WV
-Rep. Bill Young-FL
-Rep. Mary Bono Mack-CA
-Ex-Rep. Heather Wilson-NM
-Ex-Gov. Linda Lingle-HI

GOV. JON HUNTSMAN (UT)

TEA PARTY FAVORABILITY: 39/50
HOME STATE APPROVAL: 62/30
Endorsements:
-Sen. Frank LoBiondo-NJ
-Sen. Susan Collins-ME
-Sen. Lindsay Graham-SC
-Sen. Lisa Murkowski-AK
-Gov. Gary Herbert
-Gov. Scott Brown-MA
-Ex-Gov. George Pataki-NY
-Ex-Sen. Orrin Hatch-UT
-Ex-Sen. Bob Bennett-UT
-Sen. Barbara Bush-TX
-Rep. Frank Wolfe-VA

REP. LOUIE GOHMERT (TX)

TEA PARTY FAVORABILITY: 76/20
HOME STATE APPROVAL: 40/25
-Rep. Michelle Bachmann-MN
-Rep. Steve King-IA
-Sen. Herman Cain-GA
-Sen. Ted Cruz-TX
-Rep. Sue Myrick-NC
-Ex-Sen. Jim Inhofe-OK
-Carl Paladino-NY
-Sharron Angle-NV
-Debra Medina-TX
-Mark Levin
-Sean Hannity

Polls:
Iowa (PPP)
Jindal- 23%
Rubio- 19%
Huntsman-16%
Martinez- 12%
Gohmert- 11%

Iowa (Rasmussen)
Jindal- 24%
Rubio-22%
Huntsman-15%
Martinez-13%
Gohmert-13%

New Hampshire (PPP)
Hunstman- 27%
Jindal- 23%
Martinez- 17%
Rubio- 15%
Gohmert- 9%

POLLS MAP

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Interesting. If none of the Tea Party favored candidates can break out ahead of the pack, it seems that Huntsman could win ala-Romney; by a divided opposition. A Huntsman v Schweitzer race would probably redraw the map.

Great start, and post the runoff results!

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

[Svensson]

Huntsman/Martinez. Calling it.

...I would vote for that.

[Niemeyerite]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

[Jerseyrules]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

Do you two hate the GOP that much?  

Is it too late to have Haley Barbour jump in?

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

Do you two hate the GOP that much? 

Yes.

[Miles]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

Do you two hate the GOP that much?  

Is it too late to have Haley Barbour jump in?

Yeah...he's already endorsed Jindal.

[Incipimus iterum]

can't wait to see Which Democrats are running

[Jerseyrules]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

Do you two hate the GOP that much?  

Is it too late to have Haley Barbour jump in?

Yeah...he's already endorsed Jindal.

[Jerseyrules]

Please, please, please let Gohmert be the nominee!

Do you two hate the GOP that much? 

Yes.

It's not like there's much difference anymore

[RodPresident]

Some good names that I feel that aren't on field: John Hoeven (he would be a good fit for Iowa), Eric Cantor and a pure breeding Paulite.
Martinez would be ahead of Huntsman in Iowa. She isn't like 2012' bunch of crazy people who ran. Rubio wouldn't be ahead of Jindal in SC, unless he gets DeMint's endorsement. Martinez and Rubio would be better fits for Ohio and Michigan.
Huntsman needs to throw big money if he wants to win primary. Early states map is bad for Martinez, because she has shot only to win Nevada.
Primary dates are important, like if delegations will suffer punition or not.

[Jerseyrules]

Rand Paul!

[morgieb]

Is Christie still a chance?

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Yeah, I think the absence of Rand Paul is big. I also think Gary Johnson would run if Rand did not.

[Jerseyrules]

Yeah, I think the absence of Rand Paul is big. I also think Gary Johnson would run if Rand did not.

But Rand would be much better at energizing the libertarian movement, I contend better than his father.

[Miles]

Those 5 Republicans are pretty much it.

I'll have the Democrats up soon...I'll have 6.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Those 5 Republicans are pretty much it.

I'll have the Democrats up soon...I'll have 6.

And the LA Gubernatorial?