2014: Midterms, Presidential Contests and beyond

[Niemeyerite]

So Gohmert won't be the nominee

[Miles]

JINDAL, CLOSE MCDONNELL ALLY, TAKES VA; WARNER WINS HOMESTATE IN LANDSLIDE

JINDAL WINS NEIGHBOR ARKANSAS; WARNER FAR AHEAD OF OTHER DEMS

OKLAHOMA IS GOHMERTLAND; WARNER TURNS BACK COMPETITION FROM UDALL

GOHMERT WINS ND CAUCUS; MILLER SQUEAKS BY IN FRACTURED FIELD

[Miles]

Dark gray states haven't reported yet:

[Miles]

GOHMERT TAKES A CLOSE BUT STINGING LOSS AS TX GOP ESTABLISHMENT BACKS THE MORE ELECTABLE JINDAL; WARNER WINS BY SURPRISINGLY PLUSH MARGIN

[Niemeyerite]

Nooooo! Gohmert has lost Texas ... GOPers will have a no-that-bad candidate.
Gohmert loss is compensated by Miller and Udall momentum, which is damaging Cuomo (but helping Warner...).

[Miles]

AS SUPER TUESDAY ROLLS ON, BITTERLY CLOSE OH LOSS IS A PAINFUL SETBACK FOR JINDAL; WARNER STOMPS DEM FIELD

*Thanks to our in-house Ohio election guru, TJ, for advising me with these maps!

[Miles]

GOHMERT DOMINATES IN MO; ANOTHER COMFORTABLE WIN FOR WARNER

HUNTSMAN COATS IN COLORADO; UDALL CLEANS HOUSE AT HOME

UTAH AMONG LEAST CONTESTED STATES, BY EITHER SIDE

IN IDAHO, MORMON VOTERS BOOST HUNTSMAN, UDALL

[Niemeyerite]

Oh, please, let Warner NOT win the nomination! Maybe Udal has some momentum now, after carrying 3 states (unlikely, as they were mormon states, so he was safe there).

Gohmert has only won in MO. He'd better drop out now and support Jindal. Huntsman would win the GE easily

[Miles]

MILLER SUSPENDS CAMPAIGN; NO ENDORSEMENT



Today, after the dust settled in the crucial Super Tuesday contests, former Congressman Brad Miller announced that he would effectively be ending his campaign. With backing from the "Daily Kos" wing of the party, the main issues Miller ran on were regulatory reform, higher taxes on the wealthy and increased access to and funding for higher education. As such, college-age students and younger voters made up the core of his national base. His backing from progressives help him win four states: Minnesota, Maine, and most recently, North Dakota and Vermont. Despite wins in these relatively small states, a feasible path to nomination seemed elusive to the North Carolina Congressman.

"It with great honor and gratitude that, today, I announce that I will be no longer campaigning for the Democratic nomination for President. I am extremely thankful to the many supports, staffers and contributors we've had over the course of this past year, and to the entire Netroots community, who's support I could always count on....

Our county will face a serious choice this November between candidates with very real differences. On the Republican side, two of the three remaining candidates are as far-right as they come; their idea of prosperity is ensuring that the rich even richer and rolling back financial regulations while leaving our schools and taxpayers with the bill. The third, despite his claims of moderation, would still take us back to the days of  George W. Bush.

 I am confident that, as a party, our nominee will stand for change that makes a difference. I can say this because our campaign has been all over the country bringing attention to the issues that the progressive movement cares about, like economic fairness and or the role of money in politics. Whether I am running or not, these issues will define this campaign "

[Jerseyrules]

More please! 

[tmthforu94]

Keep it coming!

[Niemeyerite]

Keep it coming!

[Miles]

FOR GOP, KS CAUCUS A SEQUEL TO OKALHOMA, GOHMERT DOMINATES, HUNTSMAN BARELY COMPETES; UDALL RACKS UP ANOTHER VICTORY IN A STREAK OF WESTERN LANDSLIDES

[Niemeyerite]

Yay!!

[Miles]

Looking ahead to polling for the next 3 states:

Louisiana (R)
Jindal- 67%
Gohmert- 16%
Huntsman- 8%

Louisiana (D)
Patrick- 35%
Warner- 30%
Cuomo- 27%
Udall- 5%

Mississippi (R)
Jindal- 54%
Gohmert- 26%
Huntsman- 14%

Mississippi (D)
Warner- 39%
Patrick- 35%
Cuomo- 18%
Udall- 6%

West Virginia (R)
Gohmert- 50%
Jindal- 34%
Huntsman- 12%

West Vrigina (D)
Warner- 57%
Udall- 16%
Cuomo- 14%
Patrick- 8%

[GLPman]

Why is Patrick still in this? Keep it up.

[Niemeyerite]

Why is Patrick still in this? Keep it up.

I don't know, he'd better drop out now and support Udall. Udall/Patrick 2016!!

[Oldiesfreak1854]

My 'predictions'

Oregon: Merkley quitting makes it kinda competitive, but unless they run Smith, it'll probably remain in Democratic hands.

Montana: Leans Pickup. Baucus is very unpopular and Juneau is too liberal.

Wyoming: Safe, unless Enzi quits, where Frudenthal might run.

Idaho: Safe

Colorado: Udall's very visible - he should be fine.

New Mexico: Probable retention. Martinez or Wilson might make it kinda competitive, but maybe not.

Alaska: Tossup. Palin's very polarising, but Alaska is a very red state.

South Dakota: With Johnson running again, he should be favoured.

Nebraska: Safe

Kansas: Safe, unless Roberts loses his primary and Selebius runs.

Oklahoma: Semi-interesting, but it'll most likely remain in Republican hands.

Texas: Semi-interesting, but the Democrats need a really strong candidate.

Minnesota: Probably leans Democratic, but Pawlenty is probably more of a threat than Coleman.

Iowa: Safe unless the country turns sour, which it doesn't appear to be doing.

Illinois: Despite Durbin's retirement, I doubt they'll hand over both seats to the Republicans, plus they have a very strong candidate here.

Michigan: Toss-up. Republicans have a stronger bench here, but it also leans blue.

Arkansas: Leans Democratic, Pryor isn't an exceptionally strong candidate, but you let Lincoln pull off an upset (iirc?) and Pryor also has a famous last-name.

Louisiana: Landrieu would probably lose in real life, but given the identity of the person doing the TL, she probably will eek out another win

Mississippi: Cochran might retire, which could maybe make it interesting, but it's not likely.

Alabama: Easy win.

Georgia: Competitive on paper, but the Democrats don't have strong candidates.

South Carolina: ditto.

Tennessee: The Democrats won the other seat, I'm not sure if the state will elect 2.

North Carolina: Leans Hagan, but will be competitive if the Republicans find a strong candidate.

Virginia: Warner is probably unbeatable, even against McDonnell.

Delaware: Safe.

New Jersey: Depends on LoBiondio's primary. If he wins it, he's the favourite, otherwise Democratic gain.

Rhode Island: Safe

Massachusetts: Safe

New Hampshire: Interesting, but Shaheen will probably hang on.

Michigan is a swing state.  Keep going, though.  And besides, Snyder's probably not running for reelection.  I'm guessing it'll be Bill Schuette vs. Andy Dillon, with Schuette winning.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I'm thinking Gretchen Whitmer will run in 2014.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Udall v Jindal could shake-up the west, but Huntsman would neutralize any ground that Udall would make among Mormons.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Oh, and one more thing: Michael Moore for Governor?  Hand me the barf bag, I think I'm gonna do the Technicolor yawn.  In the words of Hubert Humphrey, this would be funny if it weren't so serious.  I'm glad he lost.  Bill Schuette for OTL Governor 2014!

[Jerseyrules]

Oh, and one more thing: Michael Moore for Governor?  Hand me the barf bag, I think I'm gonna do the Technicolor yawn.  In the words of Hubert Humphrey, this would be funny if it weren't so serious.  I'm glad he lost.  Bill Schuette for OTL Governor 2014!

I laughed my ass off there.  Who's Bill Schuette?

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Oh, and one more thing: Michael Moore for Governor?  Hand me the barf bag, I think I'm gonna do the Technicolor yawn.  In the words of Hubert Humphrey, this would be funny if it weren't so serious.  I'm glad he lost.  Bill Schuette for OTL Governor 2014!

I laughed my ass off there.  Who's Bill Schuette?

He's the Michigan Attorney General.  A Republican and hopefully our next governor once Snyder retires in 2014.

[Jerseyrules]

Oh, and one more thing: Michael Moore for Governor?  Hand me the barf bag, I think I'm gonna do the Technicolor yawn.  In the words of Hubert Humphrey, this would be funny if it weren't so serious.  I'm glad he lost.  Bill Schuette for OTL Governor 2014!

I laughed my ass off there.  Who's Bill Schuette?

He's the Michigan Attorney General.  A Republican and hopefully our next governor once Snyder retires in 2014.

Snyder is retiring?  I thought he only was elected in 2010...

[Oldiesfreak1854]

Oh, and one more thing: Michael Moore for Governor?  Hand me the barf bag, I think I'm gonna do the Technicolor yawn.  In the words of Hubert Humphrey, this would be funny if it weren't so serious.  I'm glad he lost.  Bill Schuette for OTL Governor 2014!

I laughed my ass off there.  Who's Bill Schuette?

He's the Michigan Attorney General.  A Republican and hopefully our next governor once Snyder retires in 2014.

Snyder is retiring?  I thought he only was elected in 2010...

He's said that he won't go for a second term if he does what he wants to now.