Tender Branson's Iowa Prediction Thread

[California8429]

Honestly too early, one week left after a Christmas truce. A whole lot can happen. And unfortunately we can't get good polling on a caucus. And the Paul surrogates that are coming from non-republicans and drastically change the game.

[California8429]

Ron Paul 22%
Mitt Romney 20%
Newt Gingrich 18%
Rick Santorum 18%
Rick Perry 13%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%

Though I'll make a last minute prediction the day of or the day before.

[California8429]

What was the DMR's numbers right before the caucus?

[California8429]

Rick Santorum 22%
Ron Paul 21%
Mitt Romney 18%
Newt Gingrich 17%
Rick Perry 13%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%

[California8429]

Ron Paul 22%
Rick Santorum 20%
Mitt Romney 18%
Newt Gingrich 17%
Rick Perry 14%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%

A slight change, but I don't think Santorum can make it to the top in time now looking at recent media. And I'm expecting a Cain endorsement tomorrow for Gingrich.

[California8429]

This is REALLY fun seeing 3 possible candidates win and the whole order of placing a complete mess

I'm going to wait for more polls today, I don't think Santorum had the momentum to make it, but Romney will underperform. If Paul didn't take his vacation I'd say him, but all media attention is on Santorum or Paul freaking out over questions about his past.

[California8429]

Ron Paul 23%
Rick Santorum 22%
Mitt Romney 18%
Newt Gingrich 17%
Rick Perry 11%
Michele Bachmann 7%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%


I think it's interesting everything thinks Santorum will be first, or in third after Paul and Romney.

[California8429]

1) Ron Paul 23%
2) Rick Santorum 22%
3) Mitt Romney 19%
4) Newt Gingrich 16%
5) Rick Perry 11%
6) Michele Bachmann 7%
7) Jon Huntsman 1%
Buddy Roemer 1%

I guess that's my final...unless we are allowed to change tomorrow in the day