Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 23, 2014, 01:02:18 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  Omnibus 'congresscritters retiring next year' announcements
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 Print
Author Topic: Omnibus 'congresscritters retiring next year' announcements  (Read 9477 times)
Warner for Senate '14
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30638
United States


View Profile
« on: December 27, 2011, 01:29:06 pm »
Ignore

Breaking news.
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14656
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #1 on: December 27, 2011, 01:33:58 pm »
Ignore

Likely R --> Safe R.  I doubt Kerrey's running again- though if he did either a) Bruning would have to become more disciplined or b) Heinemann would have to jump in.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par laction.  - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15589
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: 4.52

View Profile
« Reply #2 on: December 27, 2011, 02:34:41 pm »
Ignore

Good. The DSCC can spend that money in more winnable contests.
Logged


Gravis Marketing
brittain33
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12947


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2011, 02:45:57 pm »
Ignore

He was dead man walking.
Logged
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17595
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -8.45, S: -4.26

View Profile
« Reply #4 on: December 27, 2011, 02:46:07 pm »
Ignore

R+1.

Good thing too. I'd rather spend money on Brown, Baldwin, Warren, etc.
Logged

hawkeye59
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2763
United States


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: December 27, 2011, 02:59:34 pm »
Ignore

Good. The DSCC can spend that money in more winnable contests.
Ben Nelson is a Democrat?
Logged

My friends, love is better than anger. Hope is better than fear. Optimism is better than despair.  So let us be loving, hopeful and optimistic. And well change the world.-Jack Layton 1950-2011
A man may die, nations may rise and fall, but an idea lives on-John F. Kennedy 1917-1963
Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52204


View Profile
« Reply #6 on: December 27, 2011, 03:00:39 pm »
Ignore

Great. There was still a tiny lingering doubt about this seat. I greatly prefer guaranteed pick ups even though this means the DSCC can devote more to other states but that also frees up cash for the NRSC.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17595
Cuba


Political Matrix
E: -8.45, S: -4.26

View Profile
« Reply #7 on: December 27, 2011, 03:11:33 pm »
Ignore

Great. There was still a tiny lingering doubt about this seat. I greatly prefer guaranteed pick ups even though this means the DSCC can devote more to other states but that also frees up cash for the NRSC.

Not quite. You guys still have to deal with a primary, which takes money from other races (though the NRSC won't have to spend)
Logged

Pope Kalwejt I of Northeast
Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 37345


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: December 27, 2011, 03:28:39 pm »
Ignore

Stop trolling, Ben Nelson
Logged

Keystone Phil
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 52204


View Profile
« Reply #9 on: December 27, 2011, 03:54:03 pm »
Ignore

Great. There was still a tiny lingering doubt about this seat. I greatly prefer guaranteed pick ups even though this means the DSCC can devote more to other states but that also frees up cash for the NRSC.

Not quite. You guys still have to deal with a primary, which takes money from other races (though the NRSC won't have to spend)

I don't see a reason why they'd have to spend money there now.
Logged

The soon-to-be-re-elected Kings of Kansas.
memphis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15054


Political Matrix
E: -3.10, S: -3.83


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: December 27, 2011, 05:17:47 pm »
Ignore

Hard to see the Dems holding this seat with or without Nelson.  Has Kerrey made any comments on his willingness to run again? He's the only hope for the Dems now. On the GOP side, Bruning used to be a liberal. Maybe the shadowy organizations that get to spend all the money they want could attack him as a flip-flopper or whatever. Probably more effective to worry with more competitve states like MO and MA.
Logged

I cannot do anything good under my own power. 
I will get up and move around every now and then so I reduce the chances to get hit with another Grade 8 headache in the morning.
Frodo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13619
United States


View Profile WWW
« Reply #11 on: December 27, 2011, 05:35:18 pm »
Ignore

Good -he won't be missed.  I am done with DINOs like him. 
Logged

Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6663
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: December 27, 2011, 06:35:54 pm »
Ignore

I think Bob Kerrey will decide against running.

R+0.5
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
redcommander
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3833
View Profile
« Reply #13 on: December 27, 2011, 08:03:30 pm »
Ignore

These Senate Democrats are dropping like flies. Who's next? The other Nelson perhaps?
Logged
Warner for Senate '14
benconstine
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30638
United States


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: December 27, 2011, 08:05:39 pm »
Ignore

These Senate Democrats are dropping like flies. Who's next? The other Nelson perhaps?

Not likely.  He'll win pretty handily.  Not a landslide, but it'll be comfortable.
Logged

Obama High's debate team:

"Now let me be clear...I...I...um...uh...now let me be clear.  I strongly condemn the affirmative in the strongest possible terms, and I am closely monitoring their arguments.  Let me be clear on this."
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14656
Canada


View Profile
« Reply #15 on: December 27, 2011, 08:40:38 pm »
Ignore

So now the title of "most endangered Senate Democrat" shifts to either Tester or McCaskill. Though unlike Nelson, that title has little to do with their voting records.
Logged

7.35, 3.65

Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par laction.  - Charles de Gaulle



Is it excessive to hold a politician's feet to the fire for giving his base the run around at every turn?
Pope Kalwejt I of Northeast
Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 37345


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: December 27, 2011, 09:15:23 pm »
Ignore

I think Bob Kerrey will decide against running.

R+0.5

Bob Kerrey wouldn't get elected a dogcatcher now in Nebraska. He had his chance to remain in the Senate for at least two terms (he'd be certainly reelected in both 2000 and 2006), but now he's just another New Yorker, at least to Mr. Average Nebraskan.
Logged

○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
jfern
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31899


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: December 27, 2011, 10:03:43 pm »
Ignore

Good riddance. He was a total DINO. And before anyone claims that he's the best Senator possible from Nebraska, his predecessor was more liberal, and was one of only 13 nay votes on DOMA.
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3720
United States



View Profile
« Reply #18 on: December 27, 2011, 10:22:21 pm »
Ignore

Well, that frees up money for other states that need it.

And to those attacking Nelson, don't whine about his successor or if the Republicans take the Senate, you gave up your right to whine by being purists.
Logged

Please seek a 5150 if your candidate loses.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9215
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -2.58, S: -5.22

View Profile
« Reply #19 on: December 28, 2011, 01:25:57 am »
Ignore

Well, that frees up money for other states that need it.

And to those attacking Nelson, don't whine about his successor or if the Republicans take the Senate, you gave up your right to whine by being purists.

I don't think people have a problem with Nelson's conservatism per se (you don't see them grumbling about Pryor or Landrieu) but rather his eagerness to screw his party at every chance he got. And his retirement is another one of them.
If he really cared about the Democrats retaining the Senate then the least he could do would be to dissuade them from spending 1 million dollars in ads propping him up while he was considering retirement.
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
CARLHAYDEN
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 10660


Political Matrix
E: 1.38, S: -0.51

View Profile
« Reply #20 on: December 28, 2011, 03:05:53 am »
Ignore

He was dead man walking.

Good assessment.
Logged

Registered in Arizona for Fantasy election purposes.
Pope Kalwejt I of Northeast
Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 37345


View Profile
« Reply #21 on: December 28, 2011, 08:56:15 am »
Ignore

Whether he was running again or not, his seat is lost. It's better to just give it up than wasting money needed in other races.

I didn't like Nelson, but I agree with DrScholl he was still better than and Republican to replace him (which says a lot about Democratic Party in Nebraska, sadly).
Logged

Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6663
Spain


View Profile
« Reply #22 on: December 28, 2011, 09:42:00 am »
Ignore

I think Scott Kleeb could make this interesting... in 2006, he lost by 10 points in the most conservative district in Nebraska (which I think is R+24 or something like that)...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Kleeb
Logged

My evolution (by The Political Matrix):
E: -6.06 -> -6.97 -> -6.97 -> -8.13 -> -7.29 -> -8.26 -> -8.65 -> -7.03
S: -6.78 -> -6.09 -> -7.30 -> -7.13 -> -8.09 -> -8.35 -> -9.04 -> -8.61
Pope Kalwejt I of Northeast
Kalwejt
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 37345


View Profile
« Reply #23 on: December 28, 2011, 09:49:13 am »
Ignore

I think Scott Kleeb could make this interesting... in 2006, he lost by 10 points in the most conservative district in Nebraska (which I think is R+24 or something like that)...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Kleeb

2006 was a Democratic year and, due to this, he just outperformed. Good luck winning statewide in Nebraska in a presidential election year. We can't predict final results now, but even if Obama is reelected in a nationwide landslide, he won't have coattails in Nebraska. It's just hoping for Obama coattails in Utah.

Just accept the reality.
Logged

PASOK Leader Hashemite
Hashemite
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31477
South Africa


Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30

P P P

View Profile WWW
« Reply #24 on: December 28, 2011, 09:58:36 am »
Ignore

I think Scott Kleeb could make this interesting... in 2006, he lost by 10 points in the most conservative district in Nebraska (which I think is R+24 or something like that)...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scott_Kleeb

Quit grasping at straws. The seat is lost. Move on.
Logged

Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 8 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines