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2012 Elections
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Who will drop out after Iowa?
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Poll
Question:
Who will drop out after Iowa?
Bachmann
35 (46.7%)
Santorum
9 (12%)
Perry
11 (14.7%)
Paul
0 (0%)
Romney
0 (0%)
Gingrich
2 (2.7%)
Huntsman
4 (5.3%)
Roemer
11 (14.7%)
NOTA
3 (4%)
Show Pie Chart
Total Voters: 40
Author
Topic: Who will drop out after Iowa? (Read 524 times)
So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68059
Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
on:
December 29, 2011, 12:14:19 am »
?
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Sam Spade
SamSpade
YaBB God
Posts: 27978
Political Matrix
E: 2.84, S: 0.00
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #1 on:
December 29, 2011, 12:21:27 am »
Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out. Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen. The others are not leaving after Iowa.
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TheGlobalizer
YaBB God
Posts: 3310
Political Matrix
E: 6.84, S: -7.13
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #2 on:
December 29, 2011, 12:35:25 am »
Quote from: Sam Spade on December 29, 2011, 12:21:27 am
Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out. Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen. The others are not leaving after Iowa.
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All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.
Eraserhead
YaBB God
Posts: 36284
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #3 on:
December 29, 2011, 12:44:19 am »
I think Bachmann and Santorum will both drop out unless one them can at least get to third place. I could see the one who gets to third hanging on for a while.
Perry and Gingrich will both go to the south, I think. Romney and Paul aren't going anywhere no matter what.
Huntsman will drop out after New Hampshire.
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Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel
Inks.LWC
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31486
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #4 on:
December 29, 2011, 02:03:14 am »
I don't think anybody. I think they'll all at least stay til New Hampshire.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 27978
Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #5 on:
December 29, 2011, 02:05:47 am »
Bachmann, Perry and Roemer will quit it.
Gingrich waits at least until SC and FL are over.
Huntsman waits until NH is over, maybe FL as well.
Santorum says: "Well, I've almost won IA, so I can stay in a while even though I have no money to compete elsewhere ..."
Romney and Paul are in as long as it takes ...
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Jayhawker
tmthforu94
YaBB God
Posts: 15933
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #6 on:
December 29, 2011, 08:39:39 am »
No one. The only person who won't be at South Carolina is probably Huntsman.
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Senator Snowstalker
Snowstalker
YaBB God
Posts: 10987
Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -3.13
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #7 on:
December 29, 2011, 08:46:08 am »
Huntsman will probably pull a Rudy and stay until Florida. Roemer is only competing in New Hampshire. Paul will stick around until the convention like in 2008, and Romney will either win or only lose after a hard fight.
Assuming she gets sixth (which seems to be the case), Bachmann may just be stubborn enough to stick around for a little while longer, though she'll be getting single digits in NH and SC. Santorum will be out by SC unless he outright wins Iowa. My (ironic) man Perry will probably focus on winning South Carolina, as will Gingrich.
South Carolina will probably go to Perry or Gingrich, given that they're the only ones who are competing in there besides Romney and Paul (neither of whom are suited to SC). If it's the former, I would laugh. Very hard.
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Badger
badger
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 8532
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #8 on:
December 29, 2011, 08:47:07 am »
Bachmann, and maybe Perry. POSSIBLY Gingrich if he utterly bombs.
(Huntsman out after NH, FWIW).
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Mr. Taft Republican
Taft4Prez
YaBB God
Posts: 1242
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #9 on:
December 29, 2011, 09:25:26 am »
Bachmann, I would say Santorum but apparently he got a small bump, I didn't see that one coming.
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Criticism in a time of war is essential to the maintenance of any kind of democratic government.- Robert Taft
NHI
YaBB God
Posts: 2229
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #10 on:
December 29, 2011, 09:57:53 am »
Bachmann will be gone after Iowa, as will Santorum if he's not number three. I also don't see how Perry survives if he's not in the top three.
Huntsman will be gone after NH, Gingrich will probably linger on until South Carolina, but I'd say it will all come down to how he performs in Iowa.
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Mr. Morden
Moderator
YaBB God
Posts: 14737
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #11 on:
December 29, 2011, 10:00:07 am »
Quote from: Tender Branson on December 29, 2011, 02:05:47 am
Bachmann, Perry and Roemer will quit it.
Roemer is spending all his time in New Hampshire. Why would he drop out after Iowa?
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Yelnoc
YaBB God
Posts: 6565
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #12 on:
December 29, 2011, 10:45:04 am »
Only Bachmann.
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M
YaBB God
Posts: 2504
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #13 on:
December 29, 2011, 11:13:55 am »
Quote from: Sam Spade on December 29, 2011, 12:21:27 am
Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out. Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen. The others are not leaving after Iowa.
Pretty much, though I think if Perry's showing is abysmal, he may throw in the towel.
Unlike Thompson, he has an ongoing political career and thus has more to lose by continuing.
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cavalcade
YaBB God
Posts: 746
Political Matrix
E: 2.71, S: -3.13
Re: Who will drop out after Iowa?
«
Reply #14 on:
December 29, 2011, 11:27:04 am »
Whoever finishes 6th will drop out.
Bachmann and Santorum, unless they finish 4th or higher, will drop out.
Right now, I expect Bachmann to finish 6th and Santorum to get at least 4th (could change my prediction depending on polls released this weekend).
In summary: just Bachmann.
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