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| | |-+  Who will drop out after Iowa?
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Question: Who will drop out after Iowa?
Bachmann   -35 (46.7%)
Santorum   -9 (12%)
Perry   -11 (14.7%)
Paul   -0 (0%)
Romney   -0 (0%)
Gingrich   -2 (2.7%)
Huntsman   -4 (5.3%)
Roemer   -11 (14.7%)
NOTA   -3 (4%)
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Total Voters: 40

Author Topic: Who will drop out after Iowa?  (Read 524 times)
So the Heroes Fall
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« on: December 29, 2011, 12:14:19 am »
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1 on: December 29, 2011, 12:21:27 am »
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Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out.  Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen.  The others are not leaving after Iowa.
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« Reply #2 on: December 29, 2011, 12:35:25 am »
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Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out.  Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen.  The others are not leaving after Iowa.
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« Reply #3 on: December 29, 2011, 12:44:19 am »
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I think Bachmann and Santorum will both drop out unless one them can at least get to third place. I could see the one who gets to third hanging on for a while.

Perry and Gingrich will both go to the south, I think. Romney and Paul aren't going anywhere no matter what.

Huntsman will drop out after New Hampshire.

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« Reply #4 on: December 29, 2011, 02:03:14 am »
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I don't think anybody.  I think they'll all at least stay til New Hampshire.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: December 29, 2011, 02:05:47 am »
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Bachmann, Perry and Roemer will quit it.

Gingrich waits at least until SC and FL are over.

Huntsman waits until NH is over, maybe FL as well.

Santorum says: "Well, I've almost won IA, so I can stay in a while even though I have no money to compete elsewhere ..."

Romney and Paul are in as long as it takes ...
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« Reply #6 on: December 29, 2011, 08:39:39 am »
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No one. The only person who won't be at South Carolina is probably Huntsman.
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« Reply #7 on: December 29, 2011, 08:46:08 am »
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Huntsman will probably pull a Rudy and stay until Florida. Roemer is only competing in New Hampshire. Paul will stick around until the convention like in 2008, and Romney will either win or only lose after a hard fight.

Assuming she gets sixth (which seems to be the case), Bachmann may just be stubborn enough to stick around for a little while longer, though she'll be getting single digits in NH and SC. Santorum will be out by SC unless he outright wins Iowa. My (ironic) man Perry will probably focus on winning South Carolina, as will Gingrich.

South Carolina will probably go to Perry or Gingrich, given that they're the only ones who are competing in there besides Romney and Paul (neither of whom are suited to SC). If it's the former, I would laugh. Very hard.
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« Reply #8 on: December 29, 2011, 08:47:07 am »
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Bachmann, and maybe Perry. POSSIBLY Gingrich if he utterly bombs.

(Huntsman out after NH, FWIW).
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« Reply #9 on: December 29, 2011, 09:25:26 am »
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Bachmann, I would say Santorum but apparently he got a small bump, I didn't see that one coming.
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« Reply #10 on: December 29, 2011, 09:57:53 am »
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Bachmann will be gone after Iowa, as will Santorum if he's not number three. I also don't see how Perry survives if he's not in the top three.

Huntsman will be gone after NH, Gingrich will probably linger on until South Carolina, but I'd say it will all come down to how he performs in Iowa.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: December 29, 2011, 10:00:07 am »

Bachmann, Perry and Roemer will quit it.

Roemer is spending all his time in New Hampshire.  Why would he drop out after Iowa?
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« Reply #12 on: December 29, 2011, 10:45:04 am »
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Only Bachmann.
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« Reply #13 on: December 29, 2011, 11:13:55 am »
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Whoever has a worse showing out of Bachmann and Santorum, unless they're both behind Perry, at which case both could drop out.  Don't think Perry will go until after South Carolina, though it could happen.  The others are not leaving after Iowa.

Pretty much, though I think if Perry's showing is abysmal, he may throw in the towel.

Unlike Thompson, he has an ongoing political career and thus has more to lose by continuing.
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« Reply #14 on: December 29, 2011, 11:27:04 am »
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Whoever finishes 6th will drop out.

Bachmann and Santorum, unless they finish 4th or higher, will drop out.

Right now, I expect Bachmann to finish 6th and Santorum to get at least 4th (could change my prediction depending on polls released this weekend).

In summary: just Bachmann.
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