Who will win counties in Iowa?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

First post of the new year.

Romney, Paul and Santorum only seem mostly likely.

[Хahar 🤔]

Yeah, at this point I'm going with Romney, Paul, Santorum. Bachmann looked set to win some of the Calvinist counties, but the Santorum surge makes that unlikely now.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I should work on a prediction map.

Romney's counties are actually pretty easy since he has the type of support base he did last time (in Iowa at least, not elsewhere obviously), and the Huckabee performance provides a good guideline for Santorum. That means Paul is probably going to win some odd places and no doubt do even better in Jefferson County.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

I should work on a prediction map.

Romney's counties are actually pretty easy since he has the type of support base he did last time (in Iowa at least, not elsewhere obviously), and the Huckabee performance provides a good guideline for Santorum. That means Paul is probably going to win some odd places and no doubt do even better in Jefferson County.

Please do. I'd like a pretty county map before the race just to see what everyone else thinks.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Here's something odd I just realized looking over the 2008 map, the Calvinist country was not Huckabee's best counties in the state, and actually was better for McCain than the state at large.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

Um, you only let us pick 3 options. I think it'll be Romney, Paul, Santorum, and Perry.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=146227.0