Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 54287 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #1050 on: January 04, 2012, 02:34:59 AM »

Romney wins by 8.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #1051 on: January 04, 2012, 02:35:42 AM »

Romney wins by 8 votes. 30015 for Romney, 30007 votes for Santorum.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #1052 on: January 04, 2012, 02:36:13 AM »

Damn it. Sad Romney can't win every state. That's boring beyond all reason.
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #1053 on: January 04, 2012, 02:36:44 AM »

MSNBC has Romney and Santorum both with 11 delegates and Paul with 3, however the Hell they count that.

Damn it. Sad Romney can't win every state. That's boring beyond all reason.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #1054 on: January 04, 2012, 02:39:07 AM »

Well I'm pissed I changed my prediction.
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redcommander
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« Reply #1055 on: January 04, 2012, 02:39:15 AM »

Damn it. Sad Romney can't win every state. That's boring beyond all reason.

He won't. He'll probably win New Hampshire still blowing extraneous circumstances since Santorum is so far behind, but South Carolina will probably go for Santorum unless his FOTM status blows over by then. We'll then see what happens from there, but we're not going to have a relative cakewalk like McCain had four years ago.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #1056 on: January 04, 2012, 02:43:35 AM »

Romney wins by 8 votes. 30015 for Romney, 30007 votes for Santorum.

You know what else is funny? Romney got 30021 in Iowa in 2008.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1057 on: January 04, 2012, 02:45:01 AM »

The bad thing: Santorum was looking like he had it won.

The good thing: I accidentally forgot to change my IA prediction from Romney to Santorum, and therefore my IA prediction with Romney winning with 20%+ is now correct ... Tongue

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/PRESIDENT/2012R/pred.php?action=indpred&id=816
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #1058 on: January 04, 2012, 02:45:46 AM »

And CNN finally gives it to Romney! Wink
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Devils30
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« Reply #1059 on: January 04, 2012, 02:47:19 AM »

This is the only scenario where Mitt wins Iowa and NH and still could lose. Hardly a convincing win and certainly no aura of inevitablity for Mitt. That said, the final stand for the right (easier with Perry and likely Bachmann out) is in SC. That candidate must win SC and FL or else Romney wins.
 Newt seems prepared to throw the kitchen sink at Romney and the debates should help him before SC.
  
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #1060 on: January 04, 2012, 02:49:41 AM »

Well, folks, it's been fun, I'm going to back to my bed to reassess the situation... (to steal a line from Rick Perry) Tongue
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #1061 on: January 04, 2012, 02:51:12 AM »

A tie, but when a longtime frontrunner and a total dark horse are virtually tied, it's a victory for dark horse and a blow for a frontrunner.

Romney might have have won by 8 votes, but he lost an aura. Of course, he's still favored, but it's going to be hard.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #1062 on: January 04, 2012, 02:56:12 AM »

All the videos on ABC are showing pre-printed pieces of paper where the caucus-goers put an "X" by their candidate, for what it's worth.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #1063 on: January 04, 2012, 03:02:19 AM »

This may be the worst possible outcome of all reasonable hypotheticals.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #1064 on: January 04, 2012, 03:15:47 AM »

Random Interesting Results:
Urbandale Precinct 9 (affluent suburban precinct of Des Moines, 75,000 household income)
Romney 49%
Gingrich 19%
Santorum 16%
Paul 12%
Perry 5%

Des Moines Precinct 2 (downscale working class precinct of Des Moines, 38,000 household income)
Paul 26%
Santorum 23%
Gingrich 16%
Romney 14%
Perry 12%
Bachmann 9%

Romney has a working class problem...
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #1065 on: January 04, 2012, 03:19:59 AM »

Slapped together a quick map with Atlas colors and scale:

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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1066 on: January 04, 2012, 03:21:09 AM »

Dave needs to switch Bachmann and Perry's colors.
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bgwah
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« Reply #1067 on: January 04, 2012, 03:22:35 AM »

Eek, that's pretty hard to look at. Blue and green are not distinguished well at lighter shades. One of the candidates needs to be given red.
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #1068 on: January 04, 2012, 03:32:37 AM »

Whatever everyone says (yes, I agree, Santorum did very well and is the winner of the night), Romney is now on a very good path to nomination:
- a big victory in NH
- what is more, a divided conservative camp in SC resulting in no clear winner between Gingrich and Santorum; the best possible result for Romney apart a narrow victory: Gingrich very slightly ahead of Santorum and then, an ugly fight between the two of them
- swift wins in Nevada, Florida, Michigan and even Arizona

Only a big disappointment in NH and/or a massive win by Santorum both in SC anf FL could derail him.

(Too bad I had to go to bed, it seems to have been a very fine night Sad, though I've lived this morning (CET)'s CNN interview of an exhausted and voice-broken local chairman in a county where only 97% reported... with Blitzer and King trying to have some sort of British humor... and eventually identifying the source of Romney's narrow win. A great moment Smiley)
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
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« Reply #1069 on: January 04, 2012, 03:37:29 AM »

Eek, that's pretty hard to look at. Blue and green are not distinguished well at lighter shades. One of the candidates needs to be given red.

Yeah.  But if you're at a laptop, you can tilt your screen back and see the difference, at least that's a bit of a solution until Dave addresses this.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #1070 on: January 04, 2012, 03:39:19 AM »

Slapped together a quick map with Atlas colors and scale:



Social conservatives need to be brown:
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #1071 on: January 04, 2012, 03:40:10 AM »

Slapped together a quick map with Atlas colors and scale:



Social conservatives need to be brown:


I want pink!
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RBH
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« Reply #1072 on: January 04, 2012, 03:56:05 AM »

Rick Perry defeated Mitt Romney in 18 counties.
Newt Gingrich defeated Mitt Romney in 17 counties.
Michele Bachmann defeated Mitt Romney in 3 counties (Davis, where Romney finished 6th of 6. Shelby where Romney finished 4th. Emmet, where Romney finished 4th)

So of those 3 v. Romney, Romney won 72 of 99 counties. With Gingrich winning 11. Perry winning 14. And Bachmann winning 2.

Rick Perry defeated Rick Santorum in 5 counties. Taylor/Union (which Perry won). Decatur (Santorum 5th place). Clarke (Santorum 4th place). And Chickasaw (Santorum 4th place)

Gingrich defeated Santorum in 4 counties (Allamakee, Decatur, Mitchell, and Winnebago)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #1073 on: January 04, 2012, 04:34:37 AM »

Lol, what's with the Perry Pocket?

Oh, and lol at the result in general.
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redcommander
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« Reply #1074 on: January 04, 2012, 04:55:14 AM »


Why don't you compromise on Auburn?
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