Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread

[Lincoln Republican]

Yes, Romney now in the lead.

Not bad for someone who was basically  going to skip the state.

[Lief 🗽]

Paul is leading by 6% in Polk County (Des Moines) with only 27% of the vote in.  

Based on that alone, I really have to think that Paul is going to win this.  Unreal.  

A lot of small counties that Santorum should win still have to come in too.

[tmthforu94]

Romney's right around where he was at 4 years ago in many of the counties I've looked at, so considering 25% would probably win this, I feel somewhat confident. I think Romney's going to be considered "a winner" regardless of what place he gets, as it's obviously going to be razor-thin either way.

[Joe Biden 2020]

... and now Romney in the lead

All within 100 votes of each other.

It's not as if he would seal the deal tonight if he won. There's still plenty of fun before the primaries are over.

Roland Martin said it right (although he misquoted).  The Republican nominee needs 1,144 delegates to face President Obama (he said 2,286). No one is going to reach that tonight.

[redcommander]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

[cinyc]

Paul is leading by 6% in Polk County (Des Moines) with only 27% of the vote in.  

Based on that alone, I really have to think that Paul is going to win this.  Unreal.  

Sioux City's county, Woodbury, is completely missing and could easily offset any Polk County votes.  Sioux City is in the most conservative part of the state, which could help Santorum.

There's also no guarantee that Paul's Polk County lead will continue.  If the entrance polls are correct, there's an urban/suburban divide, with urbanites going more Paul and suburbanites more Romney.  Where the Polk County votes are in from may matter.

[tmthforu94]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Hmm, my guess is Obama is winning, but who knows/who cares?

[Joe Biden 2020]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Some guy named Obama swept it and will get all the delegates.

[Badger]

Paul is leading by 6% in Polk County (Des Moines) with only 27% of the vote in.  

Based on that alone, I really have to think that Paul is going to win this.  Unreal.  

Though he was winning by a similar margin in next door Dallas until minutes ago.

The western counties are coming in nicely for Santorum. Watch who Woodbury goes for and by how much.

EDIT: Now Romney is starting to show some strength there. If not winning at least keeping it respectable (so far).

[redcommander]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Some guy named Obama swept it and will get all the delegates.

No one has written in Hillary or Feingold in protest?

[Free Palestine]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Some guy named Obama swept it and will get all the delegates.

No one has written in Hillary or Feingold in protest?

Or voted for Randall Terry/Vermin Supreme.

[Dancing with Myself]

I have to admit CNN has done some good coverage so far, they have impressed me

[Lief 🗽]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Some guy named Obama swept it and will get all the delegates.

No one has written in Hillary or Feingold in protest?

Or voted for Randall Terry/Vermin Supreme.

Democratic caucus has a 15% threshold at each precinct, remember. So even if there were some protest votes they probably wouldn't win any county delegates (which is what is counted in the Dem caucus).

[J. J.]

A lot of those counties where Santorum is running strong are mostly in and Romney is leading in Dubuque.  My guess is Romney does no worse than 2md.  He might win it.

[Badger]

Almost a third in and the 3 front runners are separated by less than 70 votes!

[Lief 🗽]

A lot of those counties where Santorum is running strong are mostly in and Romney is leading in Dubuque.  My guess is Romney does no worse than 2md.  He might win it.

As Dubuque goes so goes Iowa???

[JohnnyLongtorso]

Story County (Ames) is also out, that will probably go for Paul.

Either way, this is kind of boring for being so close. Speed it up, Republican vote-counters.

[Reginald]

Romney is leading in Dubuque.

By 5 votes...

[tmthforu94]

A lot of those counties where Santorum is running strong are mostly in and Romney is leading in Dubuque.  My guess is Romney does no worse than 2md.  He might win it.

As Dubuque goes so goes Iowa???

Haha, I think Huckabee took a distant third there in 2008.

[Meeker]

Paul is leading by 6% in Polk County (Des Moines) with only 27% of the vote in.  

Based on that alone, I really have to think that Paul is going to win this.  Unreal.  

Sioux City's county, Woodbury, is completely missing and could easily offset any Polk County votes.  Sioux City is in the most conservative part of the state, which could help Santorum.

There's also no guarantee that Paul's Polk County lead will continue.  If the entrance polls are correct, there's an urban/suburban divide, with urbanites going more Paul and suburbanites more Romney.  Where the Polk County votes are in from may matter.

Romney actually beat Huckabee in Woodbury in 2008.

[You kip if you want to...]

It'd be hilarious if it was a dead on, vote for vote, 3 way tie.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

Polk County will give Paul a nice boost. It's hard to say who will win.

[tmthforu94]

Romney now has a 24-23-23 lead.

[Mehmentum]

Romney now has a 24-23-23 lead.

Boo!

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Romney now has a 24-23-23 lead.