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| | |-+  Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 35892 times)
Meeker
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« Reply #950 on: January 04, 2012, 01:52:30 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well not necessarily "bad" news but it's not "campaign winning good news".
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« Reply #951 on: January 04, 2012, 01:52:44 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

yeah but I want my two points Angry
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #952 on: January 04, 2012, 01:53:23 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.
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Torie
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« Reply #953 on: January 04, 2012, 01:53:30 am »
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Fax has Santorum up by 4 votes, with the Clinton County precinct out, a county which went for Romney by a bit. But Rove says a GOP operative told him the digits may have been transposed in two precincts in Story, undercounting Romney's vote. So ... who knows?
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When asked how it feels to be on a ticket with Wendy Long and Donald Trump freshman Rep. John Katko (R) responded Thats why God made scotch.
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #954 on: January 04, 2012, 01:53:53 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

yeah but I want my two points Angry

Me too... I'll be pissed if I changed my prediction for nothing.
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jfern
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« Reply #955 on: January 04, 2012, 01:54:00 am »
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Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA
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Justice TJ
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« Reply #956 on: January 04, 2012, 01:54:09 am »
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Yeah Santorum is up by 4 votes with one precinct to go. It's Ward 2, Precinct 2 in Clinton City in Clinton County. FWIW Romney won Ward 2 Precinct 1 by 22-8 over Santorum. Not sure what that means but I'd suspect it's more likely to see Romney win than Santorum.
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« Reply #957 on: January 04, 2012, 01:54:45 am »
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The Google fusionsheet is saying Santorum by 4, too.

Where is the fusion  sheet?

Link was given a few pages ago.

https://www.google.com/fusiontables/DataSource?dsrcid=2475248
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #958 on: January 04, 2012, 01:55:42 am »
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AP and register just got rid of them too.
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« Reply #959 on: January 04, 2012, 01:56:06 am »
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Tonight is a win for both Santorum and Romney - Romney is now pretty much guaranteed to have no real opposition in Iowa, and Santorum, who people thought for the longest time would be done after Iowa, will now be able to make his case in South Carolina. I think a Romney win would make it bigger for him and a Santorum win would make it bigger for him, but both men have plenty to smile about after tonight/this morning.
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Meeker
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« Reply #960 on: January 04, 2012, 01:56:18 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.

I suppose... both can call it a win but I think the result will be more impactful on Romney than Santorum in the end.
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muon2
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« Reply #961 on: January 04, 2012, 01:56:45 am »
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Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.
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2016 PVI map of the Electoral College, with each state's size proportional to its vote in the EC. Grey states are even (PVI 0 or 1), pale states are lean-likely (PVI 2 through 5), dark states are solid (PVI 6 or more).
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #962 on: January 04, 2012, 01:58:16 am »
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Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.

I suppose... both can call it a win but I think the result will be more impactful on Romney than Santorum in the end.

No matter who won tonight, I think Romney was going to win.
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Torie
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« Reply #963 on: January 04, 2012, 01:58:37 am »
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Yeah Santorum is up by 4 votes with one precinct to go. It's Ward 2, Precinct 2 in Clinton City in Clinton County. FWIW Romney won Ward 2 Precinct 1 by 22-8 over Santorum. Not sure what that means but I'd suspect it's more likely to see Romney win than Santorum.

Rove says that if the 75 votes in the missing precinct in Clinton go 5% for Romney like the rest of the county, then it is a TIE. That leaves the Story County story about the two precincts where there may have been a data entry error. Anyway, the odds of a TIE are going up! Wouldn't that be grand?  Smiley
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« Reply #964 on: January 04, 2012, 01:58:37 am »
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Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.
And the rigging begins... Wink

Not sure how this will effect things. lol
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #965 on: January 04, 2012, 01:59:20 am »
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So, would these precincts in Storey help or hurt Romney?
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jfern
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« Reply #966 on: January 04, 2012, 02:01:25 am »
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Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.

The 6 counties that are amending all have Santorum ahead of Romney (although in some cases Paul is winning the county). Clinton county has 1 precinct that never reported and Romney is leading there.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #967 on: January 04, 2012, 02:01:46 am »
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On Twitter, people are saying Romney won by 14 votes.
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Meeker
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« Reply #968 on: January 04, 2012, 02:01:53 am »
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Romney campaign is telling reporters they won by 14 votes.
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Trump Bushie
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« Reply #969 on: January 04, 2012, 02:02:07 am »
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Darn, CNN, I was tricked into thinking we had a projection.  Silly me...
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My earlier comment notwithstanding, I do think that the site would be better off if Inks left his position. (The fact that the village idiot has dropped in to express his support for him only confirms this.)
Lief 🐋
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« Reply #970 on: January 04, 2012, 02:02:16 am »
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fukc this sh**t Angry
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J. J.
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« Reply #971 on: January 04, 2012, 02:02:26 am »
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It looks they corrected Story. it was off by ten, but that number might have been included.

Just announced.  Romney wins by 14 votes.
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J. J.

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« Reply #972 on: January 04, 2012, 02:02:44 am »
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Romney's team is claiming he won by 14 votes.
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« Reply #973 on: January 04, 2012, 02:03:16 am »
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Yuck Sad
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Torie
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« Reply #974 on: January 04, 2012, 02:03:29 am »
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Rove says the drop to a 4 vote lead for Santorum was due to the Story County correction, and that Santorum and Romney agree on the totals for the remaining Clinton County precinct, and that Mittens statewide wins by 14 votes. So if true, the count is done.
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When asked how it feels to be on a ticket with Wendy Long and Donald Trump freshman Rep. John Katko (R) responded Thats why God made scotch.
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