Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

After seeing those results, I think that's the case: both Edwards and Huckabee won in a landslide there.

[Smash255]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

[ilikeverin]

"Sigourney Plank Van Buren" likely includes parts of the city of Sigourney and Plank and Van Buren townships.  I suspect it might be a slightly larger precinct for the county.

EDIT: Sigourney seems to be slightly more Romney-friendly, for the county.

[muon2]

Why is this taking so long!?!?!?!

Think of this as 0.1% of the precincts having problems. That's not very much. There can be a phone glitch, car breakdown carrying ballots, or some other problem with those precincts. I've seen dozens of perfectly valid events that hold up one precinct. You won't normally notice it unless the race come down to the last precinct in.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

From the AP: "Iowa state GOP official Doug Heye said Tuesday there will be no recount, even if Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney are exceptionally close when the vote count is finished.

Heye said votes were counted under the supervision of campaign representatives, who certified the totals. He said the numbers were double-checked when they were reported to state officials, and there is no reason to check them again."

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

[cinyc]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Both counties have precincts that Romney or Santorum won.  And we don't know the precinct size, which varies, so....

[M]

Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

After seeing those results, I think that's the case: both Edwards and Huckabee won in a landslide there.

There must be some Missouri influence, and Missouri (especially rural Missouri) has more Southern influence than any other Midwestern state.

Good indicator of Santorum's problem - to win, or even make a real go of it, as the stronger conservative, you need to win the South. I'm not sure that Santorum will resonate there. Gingrich and Perry could have been viable, at least as Huckabee/Edwards like sectional candidates.

This nomination is all over but the shouting, barring late entries.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

[BushKenya]

John King on CNN said the two precincts are from Clayton and Lee Counties according to his conversations with the State Republican Party

[Lief]

Romney's lead from 97% of Clinton is 65 votes. If the remaining 3% is the same ratio of Romney:Santorum isn't that just +2 more votes for Romney?

[Torie]

Why did Perry do so well in southern Iowa? Do they speak with a twang and say ya'll in those parts?

A bit. And they are the poorest counties in Iowa, with the poorest soil. I would have to look at a map though.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

[Governor Scott]

That Steve King endorsement would've had this wrapped up hours ago.

[Senator MaxQue]

I calculated with the Google table and Excel gives me Santorum leading by 19 right now, not 18.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Both counties have precincts that Romney or Santorum won.  And we don't know the precinct size, which varies, so....

Right, but this is the best we can do

[Lief]

Yeah Inks, but Romney already has +46 of that +47. You're double-counting.

[Smash255]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

FAIL

[BushKenya]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

According to the State Republican Party, the outstanding are in Clinton and Lee counties, not Keokuk as the politico map suggests.

[M]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

That math would be correct if all but one precinct were out in those counties.

[N.i.K.]

Romney just took the lead on Google, apparently.

[Inks.LWC Supports Chuck Hagel]

Yeah Inks, but Romney already has +46 of that +47. You're double-counting.

Hehe... I'm a math minor... fail.

[Senator MaxQue]

If the 2 precincts that remain vote in the same proportion as the rest of their respective counties, Romney will win by 30 votes.

Might want to check your math...

I rounded wrong... 29.  But what's wrong with that?

If they vote like the rest of their counties, Romney won't net more than a couple of votes.

Clinton: 29/30 reporting.

Romney has 386.  386/29*30 = 399
Santorum has 321.  321/29*30 = 332

Keokuk: 15/16 reporting.

Romney has 73.  73/15*16 = 78
Santorum has 92.  92/15*16 = 98

Romney 399+78 = 477
Santorum 332+98 = 430

Giving Romney a lead of 47.

Santorum leads by 18 now, so 47-18 = 29.

Oh, God.

There is a slight problem with those maths.
The reported precincts are already added to the current total!

[ag]

Check your math again ))

[Keystone Phil]

Is the entire CNN team drunk right now?