Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread

[Meeker]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well not necessarily "bad" news but it's not "campaign winning good news".

[Lief 🗽]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

yeah but I want my two points

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.

[Torie]

Fax has Santorum up by 4 votes, with the Clinton County precinct out, a county which went for Romney by a bit. But Rove says a GOP operative told him the digits may have been transposed in two precincts in Story, undercounting Romney's vote. So ... who knows?

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

yeah but I want my two points

Me too... I'll be pissed if I changed my prediction for nothing.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA

[TJ in Oregon]

Yeah Santorum is up by 4 votes with one precinct to go. It's Ward 2, Precinct 2 in Clinton City in Clinton County. FWIW Romney won Ward 2 Precinct 1 by 22-8 over Santorum. Not sure what that means but I'd suspect it's more likely to see Romney win than Santorum.

[MaxQue]

The Google fusionsheet is saying Santorum by 4, too.

Where is the fusion  sheet?

Link was given a few pages ago.

https://www.google.com/fusiontables/DataSource?dsrcid=2475248

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA

AP and register just got rid of them too.

[tmthforu94]

Tonight is a win for both Santorum and Romney - Romney is now pretty much guaranteed to have no real opposition in Iowa, and Santorum, who people thought for the longest time would be done after Iowa, will now be able to make his case in South Carolina. I think a Romney win would make it bigger for him and a Santorum win would make it bigger for him, but both men have plenty to smile about after tonight/this morning.

[Meeker]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.

I suppose... both can call it a win but I think the result will be more impactful on Romney than Santorum in the end.

[muon2]

Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA

Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Holy Crap...someone is about to win this caucus with less than 10 votes.

At that point, neither candidate can call it a definitive win, although a virtual tie helps Santorum much more, since Romney theoretically had a lead in the polls.

I disagree... a tie maintains the status quo which is bad news for Santorum.

Well, I think Romney will win anyway, but in terms of who can call it a "win" tonight, I think that's Santorum.

I suppose... both can call it a win but I think the result will be more impactful on Romney than Santorum in the end.

No matter who won tonight, I think Romney was going to win.

[Torie]

Yeah Santorum is up by 4 votes with one precinct to go. It's Ward 2, Precinct 2 in Clinton City in Clinton County. FWIW Romney won Ward 2 Precinct 1 by 22-8 over Santorum. Not sure what that means but I'd suspect it's more likely to see Romney win than Santorum.

Rove says that if the 75 votes in the missing precinct in Clinton go 5% for Romney like the rest of the county, then it is a TIE. That leaves the Story County story about the two precincts where there may have been a data entry error. Anyway, the odds of a TIE are going up! Wouldn't that be grand?  

[tmthforu94]

Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA

Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.

And the rigging begins...

Not sure how this will effect things. lol

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

So, would these precincts in Storey help or hurt Romney?

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Suddenly 7 counties aren't at 100% here.

http://www.politico.com/2012-election/map/#/President/2012/Primary/IA

Sounds like the state party has let it be known that they are getting revisions from those counties.

The 6 counties that are amending all have Santorum ahead of Romney (although in some cases Paul is winning the county). Clinton county has 1 precinct that never reported and Romney is leading there.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

On Twitter, people are saying Romney won by 14 votes.

[Meeker]

Romney campaign is telling reporters they won by 14 votes.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Darn, CNN, I was tricked into thinking we had a projection.  Silly me...

[Lief 🗽]

fukc this sh**t

[J. J.]

It looks they corrected Story. it was off by ten, but that number might have been included.

Just announced.  Romney wins by 14 votes.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Romney's team is claiming he won by 14 votes.

[Reginald]

Yuck

[Torie]

Rove says the drop to a 4 vote lead for Santorum was due to the Story County correction, and that Santorum and Romney agree on the totals for the remaining Clinton County precinct, and that Mittens statewide wins by 14 votes. So if true, the count is done.