Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread  (Read 54977 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« on: January 03, 2012, 06:57:35 PM »
When do caucuses usually end in Iowa?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #1 on: January 03, 2012, 07:16:32 PM »
So, as usual, I have to be out tonight.  Got my phone running on minimum so my battery lasts all night though. Wink
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #2 on: January 03, 2012, 07:21:27 PM »
Dana is probably doing analysis for FOX tonight.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #3 on: January 03, 2012, 08:12:29 PM »
Looks like my pick for Santorum may have been wrong.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #4 on: January 03, 2012, 08:16:20 PM »
Plus, I don't think the undecided crowd is likely to swing to Paul.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #5 on: January 03, 2012, 08:20:19 PM »
And past results have shown entrance/exit polls are better for showing demographics than actual results.  What's the MoE for the entrance poll?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #6 on: January 03, 2012, 08:23:52 PM »
It didn't have to be high in 08, but it couldve been an outlier. I don't like them because usually stronger supporters will consent to the poll, so leaners tend not to want to (especially for entrance polls).
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #7 on: January 03, 2012, 08:31:11 PM »
If Paul does win, he's the only one with a shot at beating Romney (although he still won't).
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #8 on: January 03, 2012, 08:34:22 PM »
Paul leads with 1 percent reporting.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #9 on: January 03, 2012, 08:46:22 PM »
Santorum leads 1ith 24 against paul's 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2012, 08:53:59 PM »
Let's go Rick... I've got $200 if he wins this or gets second.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2012, 08:58:20 PM »
4% in. Santoeum 24 paul 24 mitt 22
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2012, 09:03:14 PM »
8 percent in. Paul 24 santorum 23. Mitt 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #13 on: January 03, 2012, 09:10:00 PM »
10 in. Paul 24. Romney 24. Santorum 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #14 on: January 03, 2012, 09:13:06 PM »
13 in. Paul 24. Romney 23. Santorum 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #15 on: January 03, 2012, 09:20:45 PM »
15 in. Paul 24. Santorum 23. Romney 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #16 on: January 03, 2012, 09:26:18 PM »
15 in. Paul 24. Santorum 23. Romney 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #17 on: January 03, 2012, 09:30:55 PM »
22 in. Santorum, romney, paul, tied at 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #18 on: January 03, 2012, 09:49:59 PM »
31 in. Romney 24. Santorum 23. Paul 23
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #19 on: January 03, 2012, 10:02:15 PM »
I'd like romney to win, but Santorum would give my prediction skills an ego boost
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #20 on: January 03, 2012, 10:07:28 PM »
46% in. Santorum 24. Romney 24. Paul 22. First time in a while it's been more than a 1% lead.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #21 on: January 03, 2012, 10:14:13 PM »
I've got another $300 I can put in to the IEM for a candidate (good if they win first OR second). What's my best bet based on the county results so far?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #22 on: January 03, 2012, 10:18:58 PM »
I was thinking of doing Santorum (I put in 200 last night when he was at $.50), but how safe of a bet is it?  It's hard for me without seeing county data.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #23 on: January 03, 2012, 10:26:05 PM »
So are the caucuses over and they're waiting on results or are areas still caucusing?
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
Inks.LWC
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,011
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: -2.78

P P
« Reply #24 on: January 03, 2012, 10:37:46 PM »
54% in. Santorum 24. Romney 24. Paul 22
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