Official Iowa Caucus Results Thread

[tmthforu94]

Not trying to sound arrogant, but I've been following Iowa pretty closely the past few days. Mitt Romney has managed to receive little negative press (fun fact: There were no TV attack ads this past weekend that attacked only Mitt Romney). He also received a string of endorsements from Iowa media, and his crowds have been enormous.

Not necessarily saying Romney's a lock to win the state. I just don't see any realistic scenario where he finishes lower than third, unless something crazy happens in the next 3 hours.

[tmthforu94]

Romney's right around where he was at 4 years ago in many of the counties I've looked at, so considering 25% would probably win this, I feel somewhat confident. I think Romney's going to be considered "a winner" regardless of what place he gets, as it's obviously going to be razor-thin either way.

[tmthforu94]

How are the Democratic caucus's going?

Hmm, my guess is Obama is winning, but who knows/who cares?

[tmthforu94]

A lot of those counties where Santorum is running strong are mostly in and Romney is leading in Dubuque.  My guess is Romney does no worse than 2md.  He might win it.

As Dubuque goes so goes Iowa???

Haha, I think Huckabee took a distant third there in 2008.

[tmthforu94]

Romney now has a 24-23-23 lead.

[tmthforu94]

Haha, I found something interesting on Entrance Polls - Romney has a nice lead on those making over 100k, but also has a moderate lead on those with no college education. Hmm...

[tmthforu94]

Talk on Fox is that Santorum can use Top 3 Iowa performance to win the nom.....

Santorum isn't even as strong as Huckabee was 4 years ago, and look how Huckabee turned out.

[tmthforu94]

Santorum has now pushed his lead to 300 votes.

[tmthforu94]

Dubuque still has a lot to report, and Woodbury isn't even reporting. Things certainly aren't even close to being over for Romney. Very happy with how tonight is going.

[tmthforu94]

I would be fine with Santorum winning - Romney's only threat in New Hampshire is Paul, and a third place showing here will likely keep him from getting the momentum he needs for New Hampshire. Santorum will be able to compete in South Carolina and Florida, but probably doesn't have the organization and money needed to win both of them, especially considering that Gingrich will be going all out in South Carolina, as will Perry.

If you had told me a month ago Romney would be taking a close second in Iowa, I would be giddy.

[tmthforu94]

Santorum has about a 50 vote lead. Anyone still think Paul could win this?

[tmthforu94]

Based off Google, of the 5 counties not reporting, 2 of them went with Romney in 2008.

[tmthforu94]

As crazy as it is, Cain could be the spoiler - he's at 53.

[tmthforu94]

Well, Perry has officially won Taylor and Union counties.

[tmthforu94]

Romney now leads by 25 votes!

[tmthforu94]

Romney now leads by 25 votes!

Read it again, 125 votes!

Just caught that!

If you have heart problems, I suggest you step away from the TV or computer right now. This is going to be a crazy new 30 minutes or so.

[tmthforu94]

They're stalling on those last 10 in Dubuque. If those go good for Romney, that could put him over the top.

[tmthforu94]

Even if Romney eeks out Santorum it looks like he will come short on his 2008 showing of 25.2% and 30k votes. Paul more than doubled his suuprt but Romney spent millions to stay the same (or actually drop)

Yeah, lets ignore the fact that in 2008, Romney focused heavily in Iowa, and in 2012, he didn't really start campaigning aggressively there until a week or two ago.

[tmthforu94]

I'm not sure why Romney fans are so excited.

1. Romney is basically going to tie Rick Santorum, a guy who was going nowhere as soon as last week. People are so desperate to not have Romney that they fueled Santorum to the top. Are you really going to celebrate that?

2. Romney didn't improve on his 2008 record, and he's only in 1st is because so many folks split the social conservative vote. With no Perry or Bachmann (who now have no chance), Santorum would be up by nearly 20% more.

3. The race gets harder for Romney now, because tonight's losers are as good as gone, and their support will undoubtedly shift to Santorum.

Once again...Romney barely paid attention to Iowa this time, and is extremely close to winning it. NO Republican has ever won both Iowa and New Hampshire. Romney is going to have a ton of momentum if he comes out the winner in both states.

[tmthforu94]

LOL, Gingrich's speech is so pathetic.

[tmthforu94]

Santorum will win, the three counties left will go to him, possibly one to Paul with him in second. With 13 votes down he'll end up on top.

Monona went to Romney in 2008, and still, only 74% in Dubuque.


I think Gingrich is so pathetic. He attacks Romney for going negative, then proceeds to start attacking Romney. When Gingrich attacks Romney, he's telling the truth. It's not being attacker. What an arrogant, bitter man. What a whiny, crybaby. How will he act when Obama throws hundreds of millions in attack ads at him?

[tmthforu94]

Even if Romney eeks out Santorum it looks like he will come short on his 2008 showing of 25.2% and 30k votes. Paul more than doubled his suuprt but Romney spent millions to stay the same (or actually drop)

Yeah, lets ignore the fact that in 2008, Romney focused heavily in Iowa, and in 2012, he didn't really start campaigning aggressively there until a week or two ago.

YOUR SUPPORTING A ING RINO. A MAN WHO GIVES TAX DOLLARS TO ABORTION CLINICS.

IT SAYS ALOT ABOUT YOU THAT YOU SUPPORT A CANDIDATE THAT HASNT GOT A BACKBONE OR A PRINCIPAL.

Do you think people will think you're smart if you type in all caps?

[tmthforu94]

Romney threw millions into this state over the last two months Tmth, don't try to dumb down his loss. He lost, he'll still win New Hampshire on have a good chance in SC if no conservative backs out. This isn't the end of his campaign, but it is a bad loss for him tonight.

Romney lost? I haven't received that memo yet.

Gingrich isn't the victim. He's an arrogant prick who has a horrible past, and deserves getting attacked for it.

[tmthforu94]

First results from Monana and Rick Perry is leading.

Santorum is up with 4 precincts in.

For comparision, Romney won with 35% there in 2008.

[tmthforu94]

Bachmann doesn't sound like she's dropping out tonight.