New Hampshire Prediction Thread
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Prediction Thread  (Read 13152 times)
Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
ModernBourbon Democrat
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« Reply #125 on: January 10, 2012, 11:56:47 PM »

Romney
Paul/Huntsman
Huntsman/Paul
Santorum/Gingrich
Everyone else

I'll go with

Romney: 29-45%
Paul: 16-28%
Huntsman: 11-26%
Santorum: 4-15%
Gingrich: 4-15%
The rest: Irrelevant most likely

That's not a prediction, that is "plausible results".

Its hard to tell, since independents are apparently showing up big but unlike Iowa they aren't as likely to swing Paul by 50% margins. Despite the fact that I'll probably be wrong, here goes:

Romney: 33%
Paul: 23%
Huntsman: 19%
Santorum: 10%
Gingrich: 6%

There you go. My wild guess.

Oh hey, I was right on (practically to the decimal point) with Paul, pretty close with Huntsman/Santorum, and went 4/5 in terms of getting the order right (I was off with Santorum/Gingrich, but then I said earlier those two are interchangeable in New Hampshire).

I guess that makes me a boss.
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
ModernBourbon Democrat
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,294


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #126 on: January 11, 2012, 07:19:38 AM »


You were no more accurate than most of posters who made predictions in this thread.

Most of the posters who made predictions in this thread put Huntsman in the mid twenties and/or Paul in the teens.

I basically slapped it together near the end, going 4/5 in terms of accuracy is good enough for me
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