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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #775 on: October 19, 2012, 05:03:01 PM »

Supremes rule on Etobicoke Centre next week.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/story/2012/10/19/optiz-wreznewskyj-scoc-thurs-oct25.html
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EarlAW
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« Reply #776 on: October 19, 2012, 09:27:02 PM »

RIP Lincoln Alexander
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #777 on: October 20, 2012, 07:35:14 AM »


That would be a brutal by-election for the Tories.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #778 on: October 21, 2012, 09:40:07 AM »

They had doubts about both evidence and witness credibility in the July hearing, so we'll see how that turns out. I'd be surprised if we retained it in 2015.

Speaking of by-elections, the troika of Calgary Centre, Durham and Victoria have been called for Nov. 26.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/inside-politics-blog/2012/10/by-election-watch-calgary-centre-durham-and-victoria-voters-head-to-polls-on-nov-26.html
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #779 on: October 24, 2012, 09:57:20 PM »

First Charbonneau domino topples: Gilles Vaillancourt, who's "temporarily" stepping aside. Depends how quickly police find the cash.

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/canada/anti-corruption-raid-in-quebec-banks-reports-say-laval-mayor-targeted-175675701.html
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MaxQue
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« Reply #780 on: October 24, 2012, 11:05:11 PM »

At least, news are refraining of using the word "surprising" in all that story, given the name of the current witness.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #781 on: October 25, 2012, 09:27:47 AM »

Supremes: Ted Opitz remains the MP for Etobicoke Centre.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/10/25/pol-supreme-court-etobicoke-centre-ruling.html
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Holmes
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« Reply #782 on: October 29, 2012, 07:27:32 AM »

Forum Ontario numbers with different Liberals leaders.

Dwight Duncan
PC 40% / NDP 39% / LIB 16% / GRN 4%

Deb Matthews
PC 38% / NDP 36% / LIB 20% / GRN 5%

Kathleen Wynne
PC 35% / NDP 36% / LIB 22% / GRN 6%

George Smitherman
PC 36% / NDP 35% / LIB 23% / GRN 5%

Michael Bryant
PC 39% / NDP 37% / LIB 18% / GRN 5%

Brad Duguid
PC 36% / NDP 38% / LIB 20% / GRN 5%

The moral is, the Liberals need a leader from Toronto... in order to get above 20% support. Smiley Someone got a fork?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #783 on: October 29, 2012, 07:30:03 AM »

Didn't poll Pupatello, though I doubt she'd poll much better.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #784 on: October 30, 2012, 05:06:55 PM »

Charbonneau update: Tremblay was allegedly in the room when illegal financing was discussed. If true, manure, meet fan.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/national/testimony-in-quebec-corruption-probe-directly-implicates-montreal-mayor/article4754334/

In less disturbing municipal news, Chow would whup Ford in a 2-way matchup.

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2012/10/30/matt-gurney-fords-dumb-mistakes-make-mayor-olivia-chow-more-likely/
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EarlAW
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« Reply #785 on: October 30, 2012, 05:30:14 PM »

Forum Ontario numbers with different Liberals leaders.

Dwight Duncan
PC 40% / NDP 39% / LIB 16% / GRN 4%

Deb Matthews
PC 38% / NDP 36% / LIB 20% / GRN 5%

Kathleen Wynne
PC 35% / NDP 36% / LIB 22% / GRN 6%

George Smitherman
PC 36% / NDP 35% / LIB 23% / GRN 5%

Michael Bryant
PC 39% / NDP 37% / LIB 18% / GRN 5%

Brad Duguid
PC 36% / NDP 38% / LIB 20% / GRN 5%

The moral is, the Liberals need a leader from Toronto... in order to get above 20% support. Smiley Someone got a fork?

Interesting. I know we just did a poll for a non-profit client that showed the NDP ahead. It was conducted just after McGuinty resigned.

Woot. We dont want to lose her federally, though


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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #786 on: October 30, 2012, 05:46:48 PM »

Ah, Montreal.
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Holmes
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« Reply #787 on: October 31, 2012, 07:24:03 AM »
« Edited: October 31, 2012, 07:26:22 AM by Holmes »

40% approval for Ford!?!!?!?!???! Do I live in the same city as these people??

42% think he's been a good influence! Good grief!! Even my family in Northern Ontario talk about the embarrassing stuff he's done and they can't even name another Toronto mayor.
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Orion0
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« Reply #788 on: October 31, 2012, 01:57:37 PM »

40% approval for Ford!?!!?!?!???! Do I live in the same city as these people??

42% think he's been a good influence! Good grief!! Even my family in Northern Ontario talk about the embarrassing stuff he's done and they can't even name another Toronto mayor.

I think it speaks to the fact that while ford has definite shortcomings with regards to being media friendly (friendly in general perhaps?) his political agenda has serious support. The canceling of the personal vehicle tax, coupled with the surplus from 2011 (among other issues) are probably still holding his support at such levels.

On another front, Lethbridge college has a poll of Alberta federal voting intentions over here: http://www.threehundredeight.com/2012/10/detailed-breakdown-of-alberta-federal.html and while it's nothing shocking (cons at 50+% support? You don't say!) It did offer a couple interesting points. What would it take to shift Alberta's politics in a major way? And would the libs and NDP benefit from conceding contests to the other resulting in a more even 2-party like race?

I tend to think that the latter is a great idea for the non-cons. pick a riding or 2 and dont run a candidate, urging support for the other. When I lived in Edmonton it seemed that the ridings that could be picked up (Ed centre, east and strathcona) were contested so heavily by big recognizable names for both the NDP and libs, it resulted in a 3 way split. Take Edmonton centre, add the lib and NDP % from 2011 together (22.4 and 25.4) and its almost equal to con support at 48%. Any traction there or are agreements like that too controversial to work?
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EarlAW
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« Reply #789 on: October 31, 2012, 02:55:13 PM »

While it would be great for the average voter, I would vote for a fringe party before voting Liberal.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #790 on: November 03, 2012, 01:24:20 PM »

NPD-QC or no NPD-QC, 'tis the question.

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/canada/ndp-divided-on-setting-up-quebec-party-with-priority-on-taking-down-harper-177096131.html

LOL McGuinty.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/11/02/pol-mcguinty-exit-interview-the-house.html
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #791 on: November 04, 2012, 07:48:03 AM »

I saw a poll that had the Liberals with JT as leader polling at 39%. Perhaps the NDP should be focusing on not going back to 3rd place.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #792 on: November 04, 2012, 08:08:09 PM »

BOOM: Vaillancourt goes down, will resign. Cheesy Is Tremblay next?

http://fr.canoe.ca/infos/quebeccanada/archives/2012/11/20121104-175159.html
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MaxQue
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« Reply #793 on: November 04, 2012, 09:31:18 PM »

I saw a poll that had the Liberals with JT as leader polling at 39%. Perhaps the NDP should be focusing on not going back to 3rd place.

Not needed. Justin Trudeau is an awful politician, it will go down as soon Canadians hear him.
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Holmes
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« Reply #794 on: November 05, 2012, 08:24:53 AM »

McGuinty is such a whiny, lying, self-entitled asshole who thinks everything should just be handed to him on a silver platter. Maybe he'll never go down electorally, but hopefully the gas plant scandal is brought to everyone's attention during his retirement.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #795 on: November 05, 2012, 06:55:03 PM »

Various news outlets are reporting than the mayor of Montreal will resign at 7PM, tonight.

http://www.lapresse.ca/actualites/regional/montreal/201211/05/01-4590621-le-maire-tremblay-quittera-la-mairie.php
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #796 on: November 05, 2012, 07:18:16 PM »

The end of an era, but as soon as he took that leave and nominated an acting mayor the outcome was predictable. So will Coderre create a new party or pick up what's left of the UM banner?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #797 on: November 05, 2012, 08:52:09 PM »

Marois/Marceau will bring down their first budget 2 weeks from tomorrow.

http://www.ledevoir.com/politique/quebec/363212/le-gouvernement-marois-deposera-son-budget-le-20-novembre
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #798 on: November 05, 2012, 10:00:24 PM »


Odds of a winter election?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #799 on: November 06, 2012, 07:44:57 AM »

None. After the opposition's stupid fauxmanship on the Premier's Address (i.e. Throne Speech) they won't want to trigger an election barely 2 months after the change in government. Plus the Liberals are leaderless and up to their necks in Charbonneau sleaze. If Marois called their bluff, IMO she'd either get a majority or very close to it.
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