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| | |-+  Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
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Question: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Over   -19 (42.2%)
Under   -26 (57.8%)
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Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?  (Read 629 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: January 06, 2012, 09:05:48 am »
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?
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2012, 01:00:26 pm »
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Guessing over.  But, I was wrong about him in Iowa.
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2012, 01:26:52 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.
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“They cheated us again and again, made decisions behind our back, presenting us with completed facts. That’s the way it was with the expansion of NATO in the East, with the deployment of military infrastructure at our borders. They always told us the same thing: 'Well, this doesn't concern you.'" -Vladimir Putin
TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2012, 03:04:40 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?
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redcommander
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2012, 03:17:03 pm »
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Under. He underperformed polling in Iowa.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: January 06, 2012, 05:37:57 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?

Yeah, how is he in freefall?

I'd guess under too though. Probably 17-19% or so.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2012, 05:55:59 pm »
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Looks like Newt is the only person in a freefall here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-1581.html
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2012, 06:39:55 pm »
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'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.
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“They cheated us again and again, made decisions behind our back, presenting us with completed facts. That’s the way it was with the expansion of NATO in the East, with the deployment of military infrastructure at our borders. They always told us the same thing: 'Well, this doesn't concern you.'" -Vladimir Putin
A-Bob
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« Reply #8 on: January 06, 2012, 07:29:36 pm »
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Under. He needed an Iowa win to jump up. Still possible though.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: January 06, 2012, 07:52:03 pm »
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'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.

RCP average is currently at 20%.  Most recent polling is in the 17-21 range.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: January 11, 2012, 07:36:14 am »
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Congrats to everyone who said "over"!
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