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| | |-+  Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
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Question: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?
Over   -19 (42.2%)
Under   -26 (57.8%)
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Total Voters: 45

Author Topic: Ron Paul over/under 21.45% in New Hampshire?  (Read 619 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: January 06, 2012, 09:05:48 am »
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?
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2012, 01:00:26 pm »
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Guessing over.  But, I was wrong about him in Iowa.
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tweed
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« Reply #2 on: January 06, 2012, 01:26:52 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #3 on: January 06, 2012, 03:04:40 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?
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redcommander
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« Reply #4 on: January 06, 2012, 03:17:03 pm »
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Under. He underperformed polling in Iowa.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #5 on: January 06, 2012, 05:37:57 pm »
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over would be a pretty serious shock, he's in freefall.  more likely he finishes third than >21.5%.

Where are you seeing a freefall?

Yeah, how is he in freefall?

I'd guess under too though. Probably 17-19% or so.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: January 06, 2012, 05:55:59 pm »
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Looks like Newt is the only person in a freefall here:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/new_hampshire_republican_presidential_primary-1581.html
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tweed
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« Reply #7 on: January 06, 2012, 06:39:55 pm »
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'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.
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A-Bob
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« Reply #8 on: January 06, 2012, 07:29:36 pm »
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Under. He needed an Iowa win to jump up. Still possible though.
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #9 on: January 06, 2012, 07:52:03 pm »
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'freefall' is too strong a term.  but he has peaked and is probably flatlined at 16-18% max.  he had to win Iowa to become some sort of ironic right-wing alternative to Romney.

RCP average is currently at 20%.  Most recent polling is in the 17-21 range.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: January 11, 2012, 07:36:14 am »
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Congrats to everyone who said "over"!
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