Home 2012 Election Results Election Info Weblog Wiki Search Email Site Info Store

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
May 19, 2013, 05:18:02 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  International Elections (Moderator: Sibboleth)
| | |-+  2012 Elections in Germany		 « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 30 Print
Author Topic: 2012 Elections in Germany  (Read 32093 times)
Californian Tony
Antonio V
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24625
France


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -4.87

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #275 on: April 27, 2012, 06:54:24 am »
Ignore
What's going on with FDP ?
Logged


Truer today than it was yesterday.


"A good portion of this country has created an alternate universe. I call this place were these folks live Bullsh*t Mountain. The denizens of Bullsh*t Mountain believe many things: they believe that a Kenyan Muslim President has fundamentally changed the relationship between government and the people of this country."

Jon Stewart
Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4339
Belgium


View Profile
« Reply #276 on: April 27, 2012, 07:32:51 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Finissons-en ! on April 27, 2012, 06:54:24 am
What's going on with FDP ?

They've been down so long it must have started to look like up to their potential voters.
Logged
Quote from: Superique on October 18, 2012, 10:19:25 pm
Who is Richard Garrison Porter?
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #277 on: April 29, 2012, 12:02:15 pm »
Ignore
My NRW Wahlomat results:

96/112 Family Party
92/112 Animal Rights Party
90/112 ÖDP
90/112 The Party
87/112 Left
86/112 Free Voters
84/112 Greens
83/112 BIG
80/112 SPD
79/112 Pirates
76/112 FBI
64/112 NPD
56/112 pro NRW
51/112 FDP
50/112 CDU
44/112 AUF
43/112 Party of Reason

http://www1.wahl-o-mat.de/nrw2012/main_app.php
Logged
Hans-im-Glück
Franken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8271
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #278 on: April 29, 2012, 12:54:23 pm »
Ignore
Ma NRW-Wahlomat result

SPD     77/94
LEFT    77/94
Green  70/94
Piraten 64/94
Free Voters  56/94
FDP     45/94
CDU    45/94
NPD    39/94
Logged
a Person
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3229
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.30

View Profile
« Reply #279 on: April 30, 2012, 03:50:31 am »
Ignore
Die Linke 71/94
Freie Waehler 68/94
SPD 67/94
B '90/Die Gruenen 65/94
Piraten 58/94
NPD 47/94
FDP 46/94
CDU 42/94

Huh.
Logged

Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #280 on: April 30, 2012, 05:08:34 am »
Ignore
New SH poll by Infratest dimap:

 32% SPD
 30% CDU
 13% Greens
   9% Pirates
   6% FDP
4.5% SSW
2.5% Left
   3% Others

FDP-surge !!!
Logged
DL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 739
Canada
View Profile
« Reply #281 on: April 30, 2012, 10:00:36 am »
Ignore
In a case like S-H where its very touch and go as to whether the math will be there or not for an SPD/Green/SSW government and if that does work it may that a Grand Coalition is the only possible government - suddenly it becomes critical which party is the largest since it would supply the Premier....if the polls show a near toss-up between the SPD and CDU for biggest party - could you start to have some "strategic voting" by supporters of smaller parties who might vote SPD to make sure that the SPD is the largest party and that its leader becomes premier no matter what?>
Logged
RedPrometheus
Full Member
***
Posts: 157


View Profile
« Reply #282 on: May 04, 2012, 02:06:22 am »
Ignore
Quote from: DL on April 30, 2012, 10:00:36 am
In a case like S-H where its very touch and go as to whether the math will be there or not for an SPD/Green/SSW government and if that does work it may that a Grand Coalition is the only possible government - suddenly it becomes critical which party is the largest since it would supply the Premier....if the polls show a near toss-up between the SPD and CDU for biggest party - could you start to have some "strategic voting" by supporters of smaller parties who might vote SPD to make sure that the SPD is the largest party and that its leader becomes premier no matter what?>

I have the strong impression that the right-wing tends more to strategic voting. So the FDP could suffer. I don't believe that the Pirate voters would vote strategically.
Logged
Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
RedPrometheus
Full Member
***
Posts: 157


View Profile
« Reply #283 on: May 04, 2012, 02:11:15 am »
Ignore
A new poll for SH by GMS:

CDU: 32%
SPD: 33%
Greens: 12%
FDP: 6%
Left: 2%
Pirates: 8%
SSW: 4%
Others: 3%

A majority for SPD/Greens/SSW with 49% compared to 46% for CDU/FDP/Pirates.

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/schleswig-holstein.htm

And another one for Berlin by Forsa:

CDU: 23%
SPD: 28%
Greens: 16%
FDP: ?
Left: 10%
Pirates: 15%
Others: 8%

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/berlin.htm
Logged
Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
RedPrometheus
Full Member
***
Posts: 157


View Profile
« Reply #284 on: May 04, 2012, 02:32:05 am »
Ignore
And a number of new polls for NRW:

PollsterCDUSPDGreensFDPLeftPiratesOthers
Forsa 2.5. 32%37%10%5%3%10%3%
YouGov 3.5.31%36%11%5%4%10%?
Infratest 3.5.30%38,5%11%6%4%7,5%3%
FGW 4.5.31%38%11%6%3%8%3%

http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/nrw.htm

The latest polls show a stabilizing majority for Red-Green.
Logged
Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20474
Germany
View Profile
« Reply #285 on: May 04, 2012, 03:17:54 am »
Ignore
Stabilizing majority? They may gez it, but I'd be rather worried if I were them.
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
RedPrometheus
Full Member
***
Posts: 157


View Profile
« Reply #286 on: May 04, 2012, 04:18:54 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Franzl on May 04, 2012, 03:17:54 am
Stabilizing majority? They may gez it, but I'd be rather worried if I were them.

Why is that?
Logged
Political Matrix

E: -7,74
S: -5,22
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #287 on: May 06, 2012, 11:07:09 am »
Ignore
ARD Exit Poll for SH:

30.5 CDU
29.5 SPD
14.0 Greens
  8.5 FDP
  8.0 Pirates
  4.5 SSW
  2.5 Left
  2.5 Others
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #288 on: May 06, 2012, 11:08:41 am »
Ignore
ZDF Exit Poll:
Logged
Hans-im-Glück
Franken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8271
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #289 on: May 06, 2012, 11:09:14 am »
Ignore
Schleswig-Holstein

ZDF 18:00

CDU 30,5
SPD 30,5
Greens 13,0
FDP  8,5
Piraten  8,5
SSW  4,5
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #290 on: May 06, 2012, 11:09:52 am »
Ignore
Meh, FDP (overpolling !)

Tongue
Logged
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20474
Germany
View Profile
« Reply #291 on: May 06, 2012, 11:12:46 am »
Ignore
Interesting. Kubicki should never be underestimated Smiley
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
Hans-im-Glück
Franken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8271
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #292 on: May 06, 2012, 11:16:16 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Franzl on May 06, 2012, 11:12:46 am
Interesting. Kubicki should never be underestimated Smiley

Kubicki is a real fighter, but he made a campaign against the federal FDP.
Logged
I left.
Franzl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20474
Germany
View Profile
« Reply #293 on: May 06, 2012, 11:19:36 am »
Ignore
Quote from: Hans-im-Glück on May 06, 2012, 11:16:16 am
Quote from: Franzl on May 06, 2012, 11:12:46 am
Interesting. Kubicki should never be underestimated Smiley

Kubicki is a real fighter, but he made a campaign against the federal FDP.

Sure, and that's the only way to survive. Wink
Logged
I've lost interest in the forum and I've wasted far too much time here.

To those I consider forum friends, it's been nice and I hope to keep contact in some form.

Cheers.
Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4339
Belgium


View Profile
« Reply #294 on: May 06, 2012, 11:57:46 am »
Ignore
30.5+13.0+4.5=48.0

30.5+8.5+8.0=47.0

Very close, but does anyone really believe the FDP is going to go up from here? Personally I'd be already amazed at them actually coming in at 8.5. (Dismayed perhaps, but amazed and somewhat satisfied the Pirates didn't come in 4rd.)
Logged
Quote from: Superique on October 18, 2012, 10:19:25 pm
Who is Richard Garrison Porter?
Hashemite
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30158
Paraguay


Political Matrix
E: -1.29, S: -7.30


View Profile WWW
« Reply #295 on: May 06, 2012, 12:05:42 pm »
Ignore
What on earth did the FDP do to be able to win such a good result?
Logged


Quote
20:12   oakvale   Taylor Swift's 22 was originally titled 75 in reference to her ex Flanby's proposed tax rate

Quote
20:49   Snowstalker   yes, but i'm the kind of fascist who would have backed the allies
20:57   Snowstalker   sadly, it's a legitimate ideology tarnished by the incompetent mussolini and the vile hitler
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #296 on: May 06, 2012, 12:05:42 pm »
Ignore


Seats:

22 SPD
10 Greens
  3 SSW

22 CDU
  6 FDP
  6 Pirates

The "Danish Traffic Light" leads Black-Yellow by 35-34 seats.
Logged
Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4339
Belgium


View Profile
« Reply #297 on: May 06, 2012, 12:09:11 pm »
Ignore
If the Pirates cause that 1 seat to flip that's one more joke that isn't funny anymore.
Logged
Quote from: Superique on October 18, 2012, 10:19:25 pm
Who is Richard Garrison Porter?
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 27966
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -5.39

P P P

View Profile
« Reply #298 on: May 06, 2012, 12:12:18 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Sharif Hashemite on May 06, 2012, 12:05:42 pm
What on earth did the FDP do to be able to win such a good result?

They have a good frontrunner with Kubicki.

Kubicki has a 54% approval rating in the ARD exit poll, compared to 18% for the guy who heads the federal FDP (what was his name ? Roessler ?) ...
Logged
Hans-im-Glück
Franken
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8271
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -5.94, S: -3.30

View Profile
« Reply #299 on: May 06, 2012, 12:13:31 pm »
Ignore
Quote from: Sharif Hashemite on May 06, 2012, 12:05:42 pm
What on earth did the FDP do to be able to win such a good result?

Wolfgang Kubicki, the leader of the S-H FDP, is very popular and in an poll 66% of the voters of the FDP said that the vote the FDP only because him.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 30 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines
Forums Directory