NC: PPP - Obama leads Romney by one, ties with Santorum

[DrScholl]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/01/santorum-ties-obama-in-nc-romney-down-one.html#more

Q10 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 46%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 45%
Undecided....................................................... 9%

Q12 If the candidates for President this year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Rick
Santorum, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 46%
Rick Santorum................................................ 46%
Undecided....................................................... 8%

[NVGonzalez]

Very troubling numbers for the Republicans. If they can't win NC they can't win the election.

[redcommander]

How the fyuck is Santorum doing better than Romney?

[tmthforu94]

How the fyuck is Santorum doing better than Romney?

He probably does better with conservative Democrats who view social issues very important.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

Pollsters didn't specify which Romney will be on the ballot

[pbrower2a]

How the fyuck is Santorum doing better than Romney?

He probably does better with conservative Democrats who view social issues very important.

Probably.

[Napoleon]

Actually, he might be losing 2 or 3 points from the right to the undecided option due to his Mormon faith.

[krazen1211]

Not an issue. The undecideds are mostly Republican and independent whites.

[Jacobtm]

Not an issue. The undecideds are mostly Republican and independent whites.

You forget how many Yankees live in North Carolina these days.

Not all independent whites in NC are R-leaning anymore. Not to mention the growing Latin-American population...

[auburntiger]

Republicans won't make the same mistake and take NC for granted, same with Indiana.
It will be a VERY interesting dynamic in NC with the DNC, combined with an unpopular governor, and a redistricting nightmare for Dems.
I'm not saying that Obama won't win here again, given the state will be about 4 points to the right of the national average, down from 7. But, as mentioned above, the state politics could be a factor. 2008 was a perfect year for democrats here.
In the end, North Carolina will be about even or a point more Dem than Florida, but a tad more republican than Ohio or virginia.

Basically, I think republicans will pick up NC around 3-5%.

[krazen1211]

Not an issue. The undecideds are mostly Republican and independent whites.

You forget how many Yankees live in North Carolina these days.

Not all independent whites in NC are R-leaning anymore. Not to mention the growing Latin-American population...

Romney of course performs acceptably among Yankee votes in general. The poll shows Romney and Santorum winning independents by 20%.

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

Not an issue. The undecideds are mostly Republican and independent whites.

You forget how many Yankees live in North Carolina these days.

Not all independent whites in NC are R-leaning anymore. Not to mention the growing Latin-American population...

Romney of course performs acceptably among Yankee votes in general. The poll shows Romney and Santorum winning independents by 20%.

They are winning the independent vote by 20% and are still in a statistical tie with Obama?  That can't be right

[DrScholl]

The approval numbers are once again the only thing to look at. Obama's favorable is 13 points better than Romney's. End of story.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Not an issue. The undecideds are mostly Republican and independent whites.

You forget how many Yankees live in North Carolina these days.

Not all independent whites in NC are R-leaning anymore. Not to mention the growing Latin-American population...

Romney of course performs acceptably among Yankee votes in general. The poll shows Romney and Santorum winning independents by 20%.

They are winning the independent vote by 20% and are still in a statistical tie with Obama?  That can't be right

Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,
press 2. If you are an independent or identify
with another party, press 3.
Democrat ........................................................ 48%
Republican...................................................... 34%
Independent/Other.......................................... 18%

Winning 60% of indies nets you 11% amongs all voters. (34+11=45).