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Author Topic: UK local elections, May 2012  (Read 17989 times)
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #275 on: May 04, 2012, 12:44:27 pm »
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The Lib Dem in the Pentland Hills Ward was beaten by a man dressed as a penguin in first preferences.
Video or it didn't happen.





Oh. You meant polled fewer votes than. Sad
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« Reply #276 on: May 04, 2012, 12:46:21 pm »
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Glasgow seats by ward...

Linn - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 LDem
Newlands/Auldburn - 2 Lab
Greater Pollok - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Craigton - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Govan - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 GF
Pollokshields - 1 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Con
Langside - 1 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Green
Southside Central - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Calton - 2 Lab, 1 SNP
Anderston/City - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Hillhead - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Partick West - 2 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Green
Garscadden/Scotstounhill - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Drumchapel/Anniesland - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Maryhill/Kelvin - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Canal - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Springburn - 2 Lab, 1 SNP
East Centre - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Shettleston - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
North East - 3 Lab, 1 SNP

Baillieston doesn't seem to be in yet or isn't on the website or something.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #277 on: May 04, 2012, 12:50:27 pm »
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Glesgie totals according to the BBC are
Labour 44 (+5)
SNP 27 (+7)
Greens 5 (0)
LD 1 (-5)
Con 1 (0)
o/i 1 (-7)

So that'd be 3 SNP, 2 Labour?
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« Reply #278 on: May 04, 2012, 12:53:44 pm »
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It's also possible that I miscounted somewhere.
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« Reply #279 on: May 04, 2012, 01:02:54 pm »
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...and finally Leeds vote No.
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Peter
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« Reply #280 on: May 04, 2012, 04:24:11 pm »
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As somewhat predicted, a bit of a bad night for the LDs. Labour overwhelming winners both in terms of seats and votes. Greens polled second overall, and in a great number of wards.

New Council
Labour 29 (+3); LD 13 (-3); Green 5 (-); Independent 1

Lab gain 2 from LD
Lab gain 1 from IWCA
Lab gain 1 from Green
Green gain 1 from LD
Ind gain 1 from Lab

Carfax has gone Labour! Carfax. This is a very studenty ward, and in my time at Oxford, was very anti-Labour (an anti-govt time of course - I was a student in the immediate aftermath of Iraq invasion, top-up fees, etc.). The Lib Dems clearly threw everything at retaining Headington & the NW wards - there was a total collapse along the Cowley Road wards and amongst any C1/2 worker population in the NE of Oxford.
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« Reply #281 on: May 04, 2012, 04:30:32 pm »
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what particular variety is the independent cllr?
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« Reply #282 on: May 04, 2012, 04:40:14 pm »
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Ed Miliband got egged a few hours ago by the way. Made a joke about his "cracking" results on Twitter. Probably still the best day he's had of his leadership, so far.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WdFgxYJWQDw
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« Reply #283 on: May 04, 2012, 05:10:30 pm »
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what particular variety is the independent cllr?

Community campaigner, working class, thoroughly deserving of the post. Nominally labour-ish, but thoroughly rooted by a moral compass - he's the sort that'll do what he thinks is right even if it damns him in an election.
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« Reply #284 on: May 04, 2012, 05:23:33 pm »
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Anyone know where I can find archives on national equivilent vote share?
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« Reply #285 on: May 04, 2012, 06:18:57 pm »
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Glasgow seats by ward...

Linn - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 LDem
Newlands/Auldburn - 2 Lab
Greater Pollok - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Craigton - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Govan - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 GF
Pollokshields - 1 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Con
Langside - 1 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Green
Southside Central - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Calton - 2 Lab, 1 SNP
Anderston/City - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Hillhead - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Partick West - 2 SNP, 1 Lab, 1 Green
Garscadden/Scotstounhill - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Drumchapel/Anniesland - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Maryhill/Kelvin - 2 Lab, 2 SNP
Canal - 2 Lab, 1 SNP, 1 Green
Springburn - 2 Lab, 1 SNP
East Centre - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
Shettleston - 3 Lab, 1 SNP
North East - 3 Lab, 1 SNP

Baillieston doesn't seem to be in yet or isn't on the website or something.

2 Lab and 2 SNP in Baillieston. I see it's missing from the detailed results on the council website but they announced it on their twitter feed.
You left out 1 SNP in Newlands/Auldburn
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« Reply #286 on: May 05, 2012, 02:54:05 am »
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I produced a post on the prospects for the Slough local election. I can now report that the election was a triumph for the Labour Party. They won all fourteen seats up for election.

Labour won three seats from the Conservatives. That included one ward won by a majority of two, after four recounts. This is the second closest result since the present unitary authority council was first elected in 1997, before Slough became a unitary authority area in 1998. The closest result, in the same ward as this year's close result (Langley St Mary's), was a tie for the third seat in a whole council election. After a roll of dice, the Conservative candidate was credited with a casting vote to defeat his Independent Langley Resident rival.

Labour won the Central ward seat, held by Independent councillor Pervez Choudhry (originally elected for Labour in 2008). Choudhry tried to be re-elected in Baylis and Stoke ward. Despite his recent bigamy conviction, the councillor was the runner up in his new ward with 426 votes (21.57 per cent).

Labour also won four seats from the Britwellian, Independent, Liberal and Liberal Democrat group (one each won from Independent Britwellian Resident and Liberal Democrat incumbents and gains from retiring Liberal and Independent councillors). The BILLD group is no more. Only one Liberal Democrat councillor remains, from the non Labour or Conservative councillors who were the largest group on the council in 2004.

The party breakdown of the council is Labour 35, Conservative 5 and Liberal Democrat 1. The Labour overall majority of 29 is the largest from 1997 (when the majority was 27 - 34 Labour councillors opposed by 4 Conservative and 3 Liberal members).

Labour's vote in 2012 was 14,811. This was 56.38%, beating the previous record in 1997 of 53.82%.

The Conservative vote of 6,215 (23.66%), was the second lowest percentage vote for them from 1997 when they got 21.46%.

The Liberal Democrat vote of 1,186 (4.51%) was the worst from 1997. Three of the four Lib Dem candidates finished behind a UKIP rival in the ward results.

UKIP jumped from nowhere to 2,822 votes (10.74% of the borough wide poll). However none of the UKIP candidates was anywhere near being elected. All fourteen of them finished third with a vote range from 5.33% to 19.48%
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« Reply #287 on: May 05, 2012, 10:57:25 am »
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Has anyone mentioned the penguin yet?
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« Reply #288 on: May 05, 2012, 12:15:50 pm »
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Cardiff:



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« Reply #289 on: May 05, 2012, 04:20:07 pm »
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« Reply #290 on: May 05, 2012, 07:44:40 pm »
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Just noticed while randomly looking at the Sheffield results that Paul Scriven actually came a pretty poor third in Broomfield. lol.
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« Reply #291 on: May 06, 2012, 12:40:03 am »
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North East;

Changes from 2008, with those in brackets not contesting this time around.

Regions;

Tyne & Wear
Lab 58.3% (+20.8%)
Con 16.6% (-7.4%)
Lib 13.2% (-10.4%)
Ind  5.1% (-0.7%)
Rig  2.5% (-5.2%)
 UKI 1.3% (+1.3%)
 BNP 0.5% (-6.1%)
 Prg 0.5% (-0.3%)
 N-F 0.2% (+0.1%)
 [FEP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
Lef  2.3% (+1.1%)
 Grn 1.5% (+0.9%)
 Lib*0.6% (+0.1%)
 TUS 0.1% (+0.1%)
 Com 0.0% (+0.0%)
 [LfL 0.0% (-0.0%)]
Oth  1.9% (+1.9%)
 Nc1  1.9% (+1.9%)

Hartlepool
Lab 34.8% (+3.2%)
Ht1 22.6% (+22.6%)
Con 13.5% (-8.8%)
Ind 12.9% (-5.5%)
UKI 11.0% (-0.1%)
Lib  4.1% (-9.8%)
BNP  1.0% (-1.7%)

Tyne & Wear;

Gateshead           Newcastle           North Tyneside      South Tyneside      Sunderland
Lab 66.1% (+24.0%)  Lab 50.1% (+18.3%)  Lab 58.0% (+20.2%)  Lab 57.2% (+19.8%)  Lab  61.3% (+21.8%)
Lib 21.1% (-13.4%)  Lib 27.6% (-18.2%)  Con 34.2% (-9.4%)   Ind 21.3% (-3.9%)   Con  20.8% (-11.2%)
Con  8.0% (-4.8%)   Nc1  8.0% (+8.0%)   Lib  7.3% (-8.4%)   Con 12.4% (-3.5%)   Lib   5.6% (-6.0%)
Lib* 1.9% (-1.1%)   Con  7.6% (-5.9%)   N-F  0.4% (-0.1%)   Prg  3.6% (-2.2%)   UKI   5.0% (+5.0%)
Grn  1.3% (+1.3%)   Ind  3.4% (+2.4%)   [BNP 2.1% (-2.1%)]  BNP  3.2% (-6.0%)   Ind   4.7% (-1.7%)
TUS  0.7% (+0.7%)   Grn  2.6% (+1.1%)   [Grn 0.3% (-0.3%)]  Lib* 1.7% (+1.7%)   Grn   2.2% (+2.2%)
Ind  0.6% (-1.2%)   BNP  0.4% (-5.2%)                       Grn  0.5% (-0.9%)   N-F   0.2% (+0.2%)
N-F  0.2% (+0.2%)   Com  0.1% (+0.1%)                       [Lib 5.0% (-5.0%)]  [BNP 10.2% (-10.2%]
[BNP 5.8% (-5.8%)]  TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)                                           [LfL  0.1% (-0.1%)  
                    [FEP 0.5% (-0.5%)]
                    [UKI 0.2% (-0.2%)]
                    [LfL 0.0% (-0.0%)]


Swings from 2011 (you can see the results in more detail at the old thread):

Hartlepool: Lab to Ht1 16.7% (!)
Gateshead: Lib to Lab 1.3%
Newcastle: Lib to Lab 1.3%
N. Tyneside: Con to Lab 1.9%
S. Tyneside: Ind to Lab 2.0%
Sunderland: Con to Lab 3.3%

Tyne & Wear: Con to Lab 2.4%

« Last Edit: May 07, 2012, 09:38:35 pm by Leftbehind »Logged

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« Reply #292 on: May 06, 2012, 01:22:23 am »
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Anyone know where I can find archives on national equivilent vote share?

http://www.parliament.uk/briefing-papers/RP11-43.pdf
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« Reply #293 on: May 06, 2012, 04:53:59 am »
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Oxford vote shares by ward



Interesting to look at the comparisons over the past 6 years:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/User:Newprogressive/Oxfordmaps

A complete LD retreat into its core wards , and a general expansion of the Labour/Green vote (2010 is an exception for the Greens as the general election affects local voting intentions).

Also Carfax ward has now been represented by a councillor for all 4 parties over the last few years:

Labour (2012 -)
Lib Dem (2002-2007; 2008-2012; 2010 - )
Green (2002-2010)
Conservative (2007-2008), though only due to defection
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« Reply #294 on: May 06, 2012, 09:48:33 am »
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Nice maps. Great post on Slough as well GaryJ.
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« Reply #295 on: May 06, 2012, 12:39:07 pm »
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Rallings and Thrasher have released their vote share (changes from 2011):

Lab 39% (+2%)
Con 33% (-5%)
Lib 15% (-1%)
Oth 13% (+4%)

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« Reply #296 on: May 08, 2012, 05:08:07 am »
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Some fun facts from Edinburgh;

Largest Party by Ward (vote share)

SNP Almond, Pentland Hills, Drum/Brae/Gyle, Leith, Craigentinny/Duddingston
LAB Forth, Sighthill/Gorgie, Leith Walk, Liberton/Gilmerton, Portobello/Craigmillar
CON Inverleith, Corstorphine/Murrayfield, Colinton/Fairmilehead, Meadows/Morningside. City Centre
GRN Fountainbridge/Craiglockheart, Southside/Newington

Largest Green Party shares (over 10%)

Fountainbridge/Craiglockheart 24.1%
Leith Walk 20.3%
Southside/Newington 20.0%
Meadows/Morningside 19.8%
Leith 18.9%
Portobello/Craigmillar 18.5%
City Centre 17.1%
Inverleith 14.9%

And for fun; Labour and the SNP are going into power together.
« Last Edit: May 08, 2012, 05:11:46 am by afleitch »Logged

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« Reply #297 on: May 08, 2012, 06:40:59 am »
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Just noticed while randomly looking at the Sheffield results that Paul Scriven actually came a pretty poor third in Broomfield. lol.

Yes, there are quite a few people around who don't like him very much.  Plus the Greens fought hard and the Lib Dems are going to have to work to avoid Broomhill following Central's path.  (Though Central was never a Lib Dem stronghold in the way Broomhill was.)

If you want some more lols look at the Tory performances in the inner west (and some parts of the outer west, like Ecclesall); many of these areas were Tory strongholds until the 1980s and in some cases until the early 1990s.

I'll do some swing maps and vote share maps for Sheffield at some point over the next few days.
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« Reply #298 on: May 08, 2012, 02:26:10 pm »
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I'm working on my maps. Worth noting how Labour have bounced back rurally in the north of Scotland. They are still, in many cases a distant third, but the collapse of the Lib Dems has seen some old patterns of support be re-affirmed.
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« Reply #299 on: May 08, 2012, 05:12:58 pm »
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North West

Regions;

Lancashire          Greater Manchester  Merseyside
Lab 52.0% (+19.4%)  Lab 52.0% (+19.6%)  Lab 56.9% (+24.2%)
Con 28.7% (-10.1%)  Con 21.6% (-11.2%)  Con 14.9% (-10.2%)
Lib 11.3% (-7.4%)   Lib 13.3% (-10.5%)  Lib 13.4% (-17.5%)
Ind  3.6% (-0.1%)   Ind  3.9% (+1.8%)   Ind  1.1% (+0.8%)
Rig  3.1% (-0.9%)   Lef  4.8% (-0.2%)   Lef  7.6% (+2.0%)
 UKI  1.5% (+1.1%)   Grn  3.7% (+0.8%)   Grn  5.1% (+1.8%)
 BNP  1.1% (-2.0%)   CAc  0.6% (-1.2%)   Lib* 1.7% (-0.3%)
 EDP  0.1% (+0.1%)   TUS  0.2% (+0.2%)   TUS  0.6% (+0.6%)
 E-1  0.1% (-0.2%)   Res  0.2% (+0.1%)   SLP  0.1% (+0.1%)
 N-F  0.1% (+0.1%)   Pir  0.0% (+0.0%)   SEq  0.0% (+0.0%)
 DNt  0.0% (+0.0%)   Com  0.0% (+0.0%)   [S-A 0.1% (-0.1%)]
 [New 0.1% (-0.1%)]  Lib* 0.0% (+0.0%)   [USP 0.1% (-0.1%)]
Lef  1.1% (+0.3%)    [LfL 0.1% (-0.1%)]  [Com 0.0% (-0.0%)]
 Grn  1.1% (+0.4%)   [S-A 0.0% (-0.0%)] Rig  5.2% (+0.7%)
 [LfL 0.0% (-0.0%)] Rig  4.3% (+0.6%)    UKI  4.8% (+2.7%)
Oth  0.2% (-1.4%)    UKI  3.0% (+2.4%)   BNP  0.2% (-2.2%)
 FDw  0.2% (-1.4%)   BNP  0.9% (-1.9%)   EDP  0.2% (+0.2%)
                     EDP  0.4% (+0.4%)   BFr  0.1% (+0.1%)
                     N-F  0.0% (+0.0%)   N-F  0.0% (+0.0%)
                     Dm1  0.0% (+0.0%)  Oth  0.8% (-0.1%)
                     [E-1 0.1% (-0.1%)]  Sou  0.4% (+0.0%)
                    Oth                  14K  0.3% (-0.2%)
                     [You 0.1% (-0.1%)]

Cheshire;

Halton             Warrington
Lab 72.7% (+34.6%) Lab 54.3% (+26.2%)
Lib 12.4% (-18.2%) Con 22.0% (-9.6%)
Con 10.0% (-17.4%) Lib 20.1% (-16.7%)
Ind  4.9% (+4.9%)  Grn  2.2% (+0.8%)
[Grn 3.5% (-3.5%)] UKI  1.3% (+1.3%)
[Cit 0.4% (-0.4%)] [Ind 1.1% (-1.1%)]
                   [BNP 1.0% (-1.0%)]

Cumbria;

Carlisle           South Lakeland  
Lab 47.3% (+16.7%) Lib 44.9% (n/a)
Con 28.8% (-12.0%) Con 40.8% (n/a)
Lib  7.4% (-6.5%)  Lab  9.7% (n/a)
UKI  6.9% (+6.9%)  Grn  4.2% (n/a)
Grn  4.9% (+4.9%)  UKI  0.4% (n/a)
Ind  3.9% (-1.5%)
TUS  0.4% (+0.4%)
BNP  0.3% (-8.3%)
[EDP 0.7% (-0.7%)]

Greater Manchester;

Bolton             Bury               Manchester         Oldham             Rochdale
Lab 51.8% (+19.4%) Lab 51.0% (+21.3%) Lab 64.5% (+21.5%) Lab 54.7% (+23.2%) Lab 53.3% (+22.0%)
Con 28.7% (-13.1%) Con 28.6% (-18.3%) Lib 14.1% (-16.3%) Lib 24.6% (-13.0%) Con 26.6% (-3.9%)
Lib 12.3% (-8.0%)  Lib  9.3% (-7.5%)  Grn  8.3% (-0.0%)  Con 14.8% (-9.6%)  Lib 15.3% (-20.8%)
Grn  4.6% (+2.1%)  UKI  8.8% (+8.7%)  Con  6.4% (-7.8%)  Ind  2.2% (+0.1%)  Ind  3.2% (+2.0%)
Ind  1.2% (+1.1%)  EDP  1.1% (+0.4%)  Ind  2.4% (+2.4%)  Res  2.0% (+2.0%)  UKI  0.6% (+0.6%)
EDP  0.9% (+0.9%)  Grn  1.1% (+1.1%)  UKI  2.1% (+1.7%)  UKI  1.3% (+1.3%)  N-F  0.4% (+0.4%)
BNP  0.4% (-0.8%)  [BNP 5.0% (-5.0%)] TUS  0.9% (+0.9%)  Grn  0.3% (-1.0%)  EDP  0.4% (+0.4%)
[You 0.9% (-0.9%)] [Ind 0.7% (-0.7%)] BNP  0.5% (-1.4%)  [BNP 1.8% (-1.8%)] [BNP 0.8% (-0.8%)]
[LfL 0.6% (-0.6%)]                    Pir  0.3% (+0.3%)  [E-1 1.3% (-1.3%)]
                                      Res  0.1% (-0.6%)
                                      Dm1  0.1% (+0.1%)
                                      Com  0.0% (+0.0%)
                                      [LfL 0.7% (-0.7%)]
                                      [S-A 0.3% (-0.3%)]

Salford            Stockport          Tameside           Trafford           Wigan
Lab 53.7% (+18.9%) Lab 33.4% (+17.5%) Lab 58.1% (+16.5%) Lab 41.8% (+15.2%) Lab 56.2% (+18.7%)
Con 20.3% (-13.7%) Lib 31.0% (-8.6%)  Con 20.4% (-16.1%) Con 39.5% (-8.9%)  Ind 18.7% (+9.8%)
Lib  8.2% (-13.1%) Con 25.3% (-9.9%)  UKI  8.7% (+6.0%)  Lib  9.3% (-7.8%)  Con 14.5% (-11.6%)
UKI  5.4% (+5.1%)  UKI  3.2% (+2.1%)  Grn  6.7% (+2.6%)  Grn  7.5% (+0.4%)  CAc  4.3% (-9.7%)
BNP  3.8% (+0.2%)  Ind  3.2% (-0.0%)  Ind  3.6% (+1.5%)  Ind  0.2% (-0.0%)  Lib  3.1% (-5.5%)
Ind  2.4% (-0.0%)  Grn  2.0% (-0.3%)  EDP  1.6% (+1.6%)  UKI  1.7% (+1.3%)  BNP  1.5% (-1.8%)
Grn  2.2% (+2.2%)  BNP  1.8% (-0.8%)  BNP  0.9% (-8.6%)  [BNP 0.2% (-0.2%)] Grn  0.7% (+0.7%)
CAc  2.1% (-1.4%)  Lib* 0.0% (+0.0%)  [Lib 3.5% (-3.5%)]                    UKI  0.6% (-0.7%)
EDP  1.0% (+1.0%)                                                           TUS  0.3% (+0.3%)
TUS  0.7% (+0.7%)                                                           [Res 0.3% (-0.3%)]


Lancashire;

Blackburn w/Darwen Burnley            Chorley            Hyndburn           Pendle            
Lab 61.2% (+23.8%) Lab 52.6% (+24.8%) Lab 52.1% (+17.0%) Lab 54.4% (+12.5%) Lab 40.6% (+16.4%)
Con 29.7% (+0.2%)  Lib 33.5% (-3.8%)  Con 32.4% (-13.3%) Con 34.3% (-15.6%) Con 28.8% (-10.4%)
Lib  6.8% (-14.4%) Con  5.6% (-13.3%) Ind  7.7% (-2.7%)  Ind  6.9% (+4.6%)  Lib 23.4% (-5.7%)
Fdw  0.9% (-7.1%)  BNP  5.3% (-9.6%)  UKI  4.4% (+4.4%)  UKI  3.7% (+3.7%)  BNP  2.9% (-2.2%)
BNP  0.7% (-0.3%)  UKI  2.9% (+2.9%)  Lib  2.2% (-5.6%)  Lib  0.6% (-3.5%)  Grn  1.8% (+1.8%)
Grn  0.4% (-0.7%)  [E-1 1.0% (-1.0%)] Grn  1.2% (+1.2%)  [Grn 1.8% (-1.8%)] EDP  1.3% (+1.3%)
Ind  0.2% (-0.8%)                     [New 1.1% (-1.1%)]                    UKI  0.8% (+0.8%)
[E-1 0.7% (-0.7%)]                                                          DNt  0.4% (+0.4%)
                                                                            [Ind 2.4% (-2.4%)]

Preston            Rossendale         West Lancashire
Lab 46.9% (+18.9%) Lab 46.8% (+16.2%) Lab 56.5% (+19.7%)
Con 29.3% (-11.6%) Con 35.6% (-9.4%)  Con 35.9% (-18.3%)
Lib 14.6% (-9.4%)  Lib  7.9% (-6.4%)  Grn  4.1% (+1.0%)
Ind  6.9% (+0.8%)  Ind  7.0% (+2.9%)  Ind  2.4% (+0.8%)
Grn  1.3% (+1.1%)  UKI  1.4% (+1.4%)  Lib  0.6% (+0.6%)
E-1  1.0% (+0.6%)  N-F  1.1% (+1.1%)  UKI  0.4% (-3.8%)
[LfL 0.3% (-0.3%) [BNP 6.0% (-6.0%)]

Merseyside;

Knowsley           Liverpool          Sefton             St Helens          Wirral
Lab 78.9% (+26.1%) Lab 64.5% (+25.5%) Lab 48.4% (+26.4%) Lab 62.0% (+25.0%) Lab 44.6% (+19.0%)
Lib 10.5% (-21.8%) Lib 13.1% (-21.5%) Lib 18.8% (-13.0%) Con 12.9% (-6.8%)  Con 30.6% (-13.0%)
14K  3.8% (-1.7%)  Grn  7.3% (+0.6%)  Con 16.7% (-18.0%) Lib 12.4% (-25.3%) Lib 10.9% (-11.7%)
Con  3.7% (-3.4%)  Lib* 5.4% (-1.5%)  UKI 11.7% (+4.9%)  Grn  8.0% (+8.0%)  UKI  7.4% (+5.0%)
TUS  1.5% (+1.5%)  Con  4.6% (-3.9%)  Sou  2.1% (+0.3%)  Ind  3.5% (+3.5%)  Grn  5.9% (+1.0%)
Ind  1.2% (+1.0%)  UKI  1.4% (+1.3%)  Grn  1.5% (+1.2%)  BNP  0.9% (-4.7%)  Ind  0.4% (+0.2%)
N-F  0.2% (+0.2%)  Ind  1.2% (+0.5%)  Ind  0.4% (+0.4%)  SEq  0.1% (+0.1%)  TUS  0.1% (+0.1%)
[BNP 1.2% (-1.2%)] TUS  1.1% (+1.1%)  TUS  0.3% (+0.3%)                     BNP  0.1% (-0.5%)
[USP 0.5% (-0.5%)] EDP  0.6% (+0.6%)  [BNP 1.8% (-1.8%)]                    [Lib*0.1% (-0.1%)]
[Grn 0.2% (-0.2%)] SLP  0.4% (+0.3%)  [S-A 0.5% (-0.5%)]
                   BFr  0.2% (+0.2%)  [Com 0.1% (-0.1%)]
                   BNP  0.2% (-3.2%)
                   [USP 0.1% (-0.1%)]

Swings since 2011;

Greater Manchester      Merseyside
Bolt. Con to Lab 3.6%   Know. Lib to Lab 2.3%
Bury. Con to Lab 3.9%   Livr. Lib to Lab 3.2%
Manc. Lib to Lab 2.6%   Seft. Lib to Lab 2.0%
Oldh. Lib to Lab 0.4%   StHe. Con to Lab 3.0%
Roch. Con to Lab 1.0%   Wirr. Con to Lab 2.0%
Salf. Con to Lab 1.6%
Stoc. Lib to Lab 0.0%   Mers. Con to Lab 3.0%
Tame. Con to Lab 3.1%
Traf. Con to Lab 2.6%
Wiga. Con to Lab 3.4%

GtrM. Con to Lab 2.9%

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