When will Santorum drop out?
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  When will Santorum drop out?
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Question: Santorum will drop out:
#1
Before Florida
 
#2
After Florida but before Super Tuesday
 
#3
After Super Tuesday
 
#4
He will stick through the entire primary
 
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Total Voters: 52

Author Topic: When will Santorum drop out?  (Read 2362 times)
greenforest32
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« on: January 21, 2012, 11:43:44 PM »

?
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President von Cat
captain copernicus
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2012, 11:52:47 PM »

Double posting FTW.
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President von Cat
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2012, 11:53:14 PM »

After Florida, though I don't expect it to impact Newt's polling. Santorum has no momentum from SC, no organization in Florida, and no money.
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greenforest32
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2012, 11:59:29 PM »

I could see him waiting for the FL results before dropping out

I am hoping he has some decency and drops out before Florida though

Mittbot must be crushed
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2012, 12:12:17 AM »

Depends. If he somehow was beaten by Paul in Florida (which, frankly, is about a million in one chance) he'd almost certainly drop out immediately in outrage and endorse Newt or Romney. Seeing as how that's effectively impossible, I'd peg it to occur some time after Super Tuesday, where he'll more likely than not flounder with Newt taking his support away (if he doesn't, it's almost certainly indicative of a Romney comeback and win).
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2012, 12:14:29 AM »

He'll slowly bleed support to Gingrich
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: January 22, 2012, 12:26:47 AM »

For now he feels he has the right to go on because he won in iowa. He will go to the debates and watch the polls. If he's going nowhere he might pull out before florida, but probably not until after
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: January 22, 2012, 12:32:35 AM »

Whenever his campaign runs out of money to pay for day-to-day operations.
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RI
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« Reply #8 on: January 22, 2012, 12:51:50 AM »
« Edited: January 22, 2012, 12:55:38 AM by realisticidealist »

If I were Santorum, I'd mostly skip Florida and concentrate in the short term on the Minnesota caucuses and the Missouri primary. Missouri doesn't award any delegates, but Gingrich isn't on ballot, meaning that he should get most of the anti-Romney vote with a little work in the state, and a win is a win.

After that, I'd go all in on Michigan to try to get at least a strong second place. On Super Tueday, Ohio is a must win and states like Oklahoma and North Dakota are strong possibilities too. If he can at least split Super Tuesday with Gingrich (assuming he hasn't imploded by then), I think Santorum would at the very least be right back in the race.
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RodPresident
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« Reply #9 on: January 22, 2012, 01:19:18 AM »

I think that he won't go so precipitate in dropping out (Huntsman could have a good momentum with Mitt's collapse at SC). Skip Florida and try to attract some of the former Perry endorsements, like Sandoval and Jindal. If he gets Sandoval's endorsement, try something at Nevada and Colorado, but if not, Minnesota is a best bet. He should wait at least until Colorado and Minnesota, that he can see a clear view if Newt is going to stay.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #10 on: January 22, 2012, 02:13:06 AM »

If I were Santorum, I'd mostly skip Florida and concentrate in the short term on the Minnesota caucuses and the Missouri primary. Missouri doesn't award any delegates, but Gingrich isn't on ballot, meaning that he should get most of the anti-Romney vote with a little work in the state, and a win is a win.

After that, I'd go all in on Michigan to try to get at least a strong second place. On Super Tueday, Ohio is a must win and states like Oklahoma and North Dakota are strong possibilities too. If he can at least split Super Tuesday with Gingrich (assuming he hasn't imploded by then), I think Santorum would at the very least be right back in the race.

Skipping Iowa isn't a death-knell... but skipping Florida would be.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #11 on: January 22, 2012, 02:24:33 AM »

If I were Santorum, I'd mostly skip Florida and concentrate in the short term on the Minnesota caucuses and the Missouri primary. Missouri doesn't award any delegates, but Gingrich isn't on ballot, meaning that he should get most of the anti-Romney vote with a little work in the state, and a win is a win.

After that, I'd go all in on Michigan to try to get at least a strong second place. On Super Tueday, Ohio is a must win and states like Oklahoma and North Dakota are strong possibilities too. If he can at least split Super Tuesday with Gingrich (assuming he hasn't imploded by then), I think Santorum would at the very least be right back in the race.

Skipping Iowa isn't a death-knell... but skipping Florida would be.

Why? He's pretty much guaranteed to get third with Paul skipping the state as well. There's nothing for him to gain from it delegate-wise unless Gingrich collapses.
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Pyro
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« Reply #12 on: January 22, 2012, 02:36:15 AM »

Not long after Florida. He'd just be wasting time if he doesn't end up in the top 2.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: January 22, 2012, 09:17:58 AM »

Hopefully he stays in for a while and splits the vote enough that Dr. Paul can win a few caucuses with 30% of the vote.
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