FL PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich leads by five
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  FL PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich leads by five
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Author Topic: FL PrimR: Public Policy Polling: Gingrich leads by five  (Read 2570 times)
Alcon
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« Reply #25 on: January 24, 2012, 02:04:08 AM »

Just watch the trend; that will decide it.

Really, are you telling me that how support changes from its current levels will dictate the eventual results of the election?  Gasp!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #26 on: January 24, 2012, 02:18:03 AM »

First truly competitive contest this season since Iowa?
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Bacon King
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« Reply #27 on: January 24, 2012, 02:25:19 AM »

Fun cross tabs:

Newt wins Cubans, Whites, and "Others". Romney wins Hispanic Non-Cubans. Funny enough, Paul actually gets 17% with Hispanic Non Cubans and 28% Others (beating out Romney in 11% and Santorum in 21%), but gets 2% of the Cuban vote. Go figure.

Much of that can be chalked up to the small sample sizes for the subgroups. Cubans were 4% of the survey, Hispanic non-Cubans were 7%, and "other" was 5%.

Some other fun data though:

Ron Paul would get almost as much of Santorum's support as Romney does, somehow.

Romney voters' second choice is Gingrich, Gingrich voters' second choice is Romney.

Everyone thinks their own candidate has the best chance to beat Obama... and everyone also thinks their own candidate is most likely to win the nomination?

9% of those who "would not support Mitt Romney" said they were voting for... Mitt Romney. Lol wut? Also, 24% of those who said they would be unwilling to vote for a candidate who has supported a state health care mandate say they plan on voting for Mitt Romney, lolol.

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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #28 on: January 24, 2012, 08:14:36 AM »

9% of those who "would not support Mitt Romney" said they were voting for... Mitt Romney. Lol wut?
They must be attracted to Romney's record on flip flopping.
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J. J.
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« Reply #29 on: January 24, 2012, 09:54:16 AM »

Just watch the trend; that will decide it.

Really, are you telling me that how support changes from its current levels will dictate the eventual results of the election?  Gasp!

No, I'm saying that those numbers are reflective, not predictive.  Two weeks ago, Gingrich had a very bad week, and Romney's numbers soared.  Then Romney had a bad week, and his numbers dropped.  Saturday was Gingrich's high point, so far.
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
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« Reply #30 on: January 24, 2012, 10:05:45 AM »

lol
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TheGlobalizer
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« Reply #31 on: January 24, 2012, 02:17:14 PM »

Congrats, Phil.  Solid third.  Well done, bro.

Paul isn't bothering with Florida because he knows that he won't get any delegates there, since it's winner take all. Of course neither will Santorum.

Yes, I know.  I was being FASS-EE-SHUSS.  ;-)
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