Would a Santorum dropout hand Newt the nomination?
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  Would a Santorum dropout hand Newt the nomination?
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Author Topic: Would a Santorum dropout hand Newt the nomination?  (Read 1558 times)
H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« on: January 29, 2012, 11:33:26 AM »

What with his dropping in the polls and the recent news about his daughter, his campaign's all but over and most of his support would go to Gingrich. Might this finally coalesce the socons?
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Pingvin
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« Reply #1 on: January 29, 2012, 12:04:37 PM »

Yes. If they unite their powers it means that Weathercock Man is doomed.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: January 29, 2012, 12:06:47 PM »

Nope... and Newt would still lose Florida big.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2012, 12:10:20 PM »

It's a fallacy to assume that Newt would get 100% of Santorum's support if he dropped out. It would help him, but probably not enough to get the nomination.
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Frodo
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« Reply #4 on: January 29, 2012, 12:15:37 PM »

No -but it could go a long way in ensuring that Newt will go all the way to the convention floor.  Romney will still win, but he will only get the nomination by the time the Republican National Convention ends -and not a day before.  
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Simfan34
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« Reply #5 on: January 29, 2012, 12:27:40 PM »

Not necessarily, but it would certainly help his chances, especially if Santorum endorsed him.
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GLPman
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« Reply #6 on: January 29, 2012, 01:25:57 PM »

No, but it would certainly prolong the primary season and allow Newt to stay in longer.
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California8429
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« Reply #7 on: January 29, 2012, 01:32:38 PM »

He'd have to endorse at the right time with traction. For instance, days before Michigan and Arizona if he was polling in double digits. Mitt is pretty weak in Michigan for being Michigan. If Santorum could drop out at the right moment, Newt could win both states, rebound into Super Tuesday, sweep the south and swing states and move forward head strong.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #8 on: January 29, 2012, 02:01:15 PM »

It would help some. Right now Newt needs money more rhan anything. Also he needs Cain and Palin out stumping for him
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NCeriale
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« Reply #9 on: January 30, 2012, 12:50:32 AM »

Santorum endorsed Romney in '08 and I get the impression  he really does not like newt. I wouldn't assume a newt endorsement when santorum drops out
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #10 on: January 30, 2012, 01:12:39 AM »

No, it's better for the anti-Romney forces that Santorum stays in as long as possible. The way Republican delegate selection works, once Romney starts winning majorities in states, he generally gets all the delegates. If he's kept under 50%, then it stays proportional.
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Scabr
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« Reply #11 on: January 30, 2012, 09:04:27 AM »

No, it's better for the anti-Romney forces that Santorum stays in as long as possible. The way Republican delegate selection works, once Romney starts winning majorities in states, he generally gets all the delegates. If he's kept under 50%, then it stays proportional.

This, at this point. However if Santorum had dropped out after SC...
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