Univision/ABC News: Another poll has Obama ahead among Hispanics

[Tender Branson]

Nationally (2008: 67-31 Obama):

67% Obama
25% Romney

70% Obama
22% Gingrich

63 percent of Latinos nationally say they approve of the job Obama is doing, with 29 percent saying they strongly support his performance in office. 31 percent disapprove.

In addition, 72 percent say they have a favorable impression of the president, while a large chunk of Latino voters do not feel the same way about the Republican candidates — 42 percent say they have an unfavorable view of Gingrich and 41 percent say they have an unfavorable view of Romney.

...

In Florida only (2008: 57-42 Obama):

50% Obama
40% Romney

52% Obama
38% Gingrich

Another indication of the unique make-up of Florida’s Hispanic community is the fact that Cubans in the state side with Romney over Obama 54 percent to 34 percent, while Puerto Ricans back Obama 67 percent to 23 percent. Others favor Obama over Romney 52 percent to 36 percent.

In the Sunshine State, where about one in 10 likely Republican primary voters are Latino, Mitt Romney has a large, 26-point lead over his closest rival Newt Gingrich, 49 percent to 23 percent among Latino Republicans.

Among all Florida Latinos, the margin is 35 to 20 in favor of Romney, with 21 percent undecided.

...

The Univision News/ABC News survey was conducted in English and Spanish by Latino Decisions from Jan. 16-23, 2011. The results are based on a sample of 500 Latino registered voters nationally and 517 Latino registered voters in Florida. Each sample has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/01/obama-leads-by-wide-margins-among-latinos-but-florida-in-play-for-gop

[Tender Branson]

Not bad because Bush won FL Hispanics by 56-44 in 2004 ...

[Lief 🗽]

There is literally no realistic way the Republicans can win the general election if they are under 30% with Hispanics.

[pbrower2a]

In view of these states I can see an effective trade of Florida for Arizona... still a losing proposition for any GOP nominee.

[King]

If Romney is at 25 percent nationwide after getting 40 in Florida, he might in or near single digits in the Southwest. That blocks him from any realistic chance of winning Nevada or New Mexico and gives Obama opportunity in Arizona, Colorado, and Texas.

The looming Mexican Romneys issue could also rear its head.

[Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.]

Rubio

[memphis]

Rubio

Cause Ferraro and Palin did wonders for the female vote. It just doesn't work that way. It did back in 1960 for JFK and Catholics. Times have changed.
Plus, Rubio is Cuban, and the GOP is going to win the Cuban vote anyway. Doesn't make much of a connection for the Mexicans and Central Americans who are the bulk of Hispanic voters throughout the country.
The GOP had 2 options a decade ago when the Hispanic explosion became blindingly obvious. They could either become pro-immigration reform or resign themselves to permanent minority status, but become like Enron executives and take all the money on the way out. They chose the second option.

[ag]

Rubio

That will help w/ Cubans in Florida, sure. How about doing smthg about all those Mexicans?

[Chaddyr23]

Claro que si! El president es el mejor por su gente latina.

[5280]

I think it would make sense to sell off the southwest US and California to Mexico, pay off some of the debt. Also, might have a more competitive general election that way.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

If by 'competitive' you mean 'blatantly bent towards the side that you are supporting', then sure.

[Tender Branson]

I think it would make sense to sell off the southwest US and California to Mexico, pay off some of the debt. Also, might have a more competitive general election that way.

What's the price of this region ? Can Mexico even afford to buy it ? I doubt Mexico could even buy Arizona, not to mention Texas or California ...

I also incl. OK, because I think many Americans would be happy if they could sell Oklahoma to Mexico.

[CultureKing]

¡Que viva el presidente! ¡El Pueblo Latino le da apoyo a su re-elección!

[ag]

What's the price of this region ? Can Mexico even afford to buy it ? I doubt Mexico could even buy Arizona, not to mention Texas or California ...

I think we should just opt for New Mexico - it shouldn't be too expensive and would not involve to many majority-Anglo areas that might protest ))

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

If the GOP is under 30% with Hispanics the GOP can say bye to New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado and maybe even Arizona will be in play.  Democrats at 70%+ would also likely pull Texas to a single digit loss

[Reginald]

These numbers probably reflect the poor Republican candidates more than any sort of significant Hispanic trend to the Democrats, correct? But it'll be interesting to see when (if?) the Republicans start trying to appeal en masse to Hispanics, and what exactly that appeal entails. I mean, if they're ever pulling numbers like these twenty years from now, they're screwed.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Good to see that Newt's efforts at winning Hispanics over, did so well.

[The_Texas_Libertarian]

These numbers probably reflect the poor Republican candidates more than any sort of significant Hispanic trend to the Democrats, correct? But it'll be interesting to see when (if?) the Republicans start trying to appeal en masse to Hispanics, and what exactly that appeal entails. I mean, if they're ever pulling numbers like these twenty years from now, they're screwed.

That is how I see it.  The GOP with their negative attitude is undoubtedly causing these numbers

[pbrower2a]

These numbers probably reflect the poor Republican candidates more than any sort of significant Hispanic trend to the Democrats, correct? But it'll be interesting to see when (if?) the Republicans start trying to appeal en masse to Hispanics, and what exactly that appeal entails. I mean, if they're ever pulling numbers like these twenty years from now, they're screwed.

Republicans are not going to win the bulk of Hispanic voters with "trickle-down" economics or with anti-education stances.  If anything that is one way in which to lose.