The Tumultuous Election of 2012
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  The Tumultuous Election of 2012
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Author Topic: The Tumultuous Election of 2012  (Read 14612 times)
They put it to a vote and they just kept lying
20RP12
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« Reply #50 on: February 19, 2012, 10:05:53 PM »

My IRV

1. Johnson
2. Roemer
3. Romney
4. Obama
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #51 on: February 20, 2012, 02:26:46 AM »

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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #52 on: February 20, 2012, 12:48:25 PM »


IOWA POLL
Romney - 45%
Obama - 44%
Johnson - 1%

President Barack Obama (D-Illinois)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-Delaware) 224
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts)/Governor Luis Fortuņo (R-Puerto Rico) 138[/center]
Iowa is 45/44 and solidly Republican?
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #53 on: February 20, 2012, 01:42:20 PM »

I cannot see Johnson with more then 5% in most states, and Tennessee and Texas both seem rather high for him..
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #54 on: February 20, 2012, 03:59:53 PM »


IOWA POLL
Romney - 45%
Obama - 44%
Johnson - 1%

President Barack Obama (D-Illinois)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-Delaware) 224
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts)/Governor Luis Fortuņo (R-Puerto Rico) 138[/center]
Iowa is 45/44 and solidly Republican?
Oops. I was in a hurry, but I'll edit that Tongue.
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #55 on: February 20, 2012, 04:04:58 PM »

I cannot see Johnson with more then 5% in most states, and Tennessee and Texas both seem rather high for him..
He got 23% in a New Mexico poll, and I think 7-8% in a Texas poll. A Tennessee poll showed that 23% would vote for a "qualified independent" in an Obama/Romney match-up. So I think these numbers are pretty realistic.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #56 on: February 20, 2012, 07:25:37 PM »

I cannot see Johnson with more then 5% in most states, and Tennessee and Texas both seem rather high for him..
He got 23% in a New Mexico poll, and I think 7-8% in a Texas poll. A Tennessee poll showed that 23% would vote for a "qualified independent" in an Obama/Romney match-up. So I think these numbers are pretty realistic.
Good point Wink
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #57 on: February 21, 2012, 12:14:05 AM »

I was hoping for Johnson to receive the AE nomination, or more likely, the other libertarian...anyway, great TL!
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Crackers
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« Reply #58 on: February 22, 2012, 09:12:56 PM »

Bump! Ugh, the last update seemed so long ago... but I promise you that I will have one up tomorrow! Smiley
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #59 on: February 23, 2012, 07:01:44 PM »

Throughout September, Romney campaigns hard in the swing states. The presence of Fortuņo on the ticket helps Romney greatly in western states--Nevada, Colorado, and Texas--as well as in Florida. Johnson focuses mainly on libertarian leaning states in the west and northeast, as well as on the only states where he has emerged in double digits (New Mexico, Texas, and Tennessee). Obama, like Romney, works in the swing states. He also works to make sure that Texas and Tennessee remain close. Roemer, who is not on the ballot in every state, focuses mostly on the larger states where he has been granted access. By the first debate on October 3, the map looks like this:

President Barack Obama (D-Illinois)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-Delaware) 224
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts)/Governor Luis Fortuņo (R-Puerto Rico) 188
ARIZONA POLL
Romney - 44%
Obama - 36%
Johnson - 2%
Roemer - 1%
COLORADO POLL
Obama - 45%
Romney - 44%
Johnson - 2%
Roemer - 1%
CONNECTICUT POLL
Obama - 47%
Romney - 44%
Johnson - 2%
FLORIDA POLL
Romney - 46%
Obama - 45%
Roemer - 1%
IOWA POLL
Romney - 45%
Obama - 45%
Johnson - 1%
MISSOURI POLL
Romney - 46%
Obama - 44%
NEVADA POLL
Obama - 43%
Romney - 42%
Johnson - 2%
Roemer - 1%
NEW MEXICO POLL
Obama - 42%
Romney - 26%
Johnson - 25%
Roemer - 1%
NORTH CAROLINA POLL
Romney - 48%
Obama - 46%
OHIO POLL
Romney - 43%
Obama - 37%
Johnson - 1%
Roemer - 1%
PENNSYLVANIA POLL
Romney - 44%
Obama - 43%
Johnson - 2%
TENNESSEE POLL
Obama - 31%
Romney - 30%
Johnson - 24%
TEXAS POLL
Romney - 45%
Obama - 35%
Johnson - 13%
VIRGINIA POLL
Obama - 45%
Romney - 45%
Romney has bounced back, overcoming Johnson and once again becoming competitive with Obama in terms of the actual Electoral College vote. Roemer, so far, seems to be a non-factor. Romney hopes that, with a good debate performance on October 3, he will be able to further close the gap...
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #60 on: February 24, 2012, 12:22:38 AM »

Didn't the GOP learn their lesson of picking no-names as VP candidates?  I personally like Fortuno, but might he pick someone with a higher profile, but not too high (Jindal, etc.)?  Otherwise, I'm really enjoying this TL
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Crackers
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« Reply #61 on: February 24, 2012, 09:59:12 AM »

Didn't the GOP learn their lesson of picking no-names as VP candidates?  I personally like Fortuno, but might he pick someone with a higher profile, but not too high (Jindal, etc.)?  Otherwise, I'm really enjoying this TL
Eh. I really thought that a Hispanic running-mate would be great, and Fortuņo was the only potential I could think of who hadn't been elected just in 2010.

Anyway, thanks for reading! Next update: the debates!!! Cheesy
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #62 on: February 25, 2012, 01:40:56 AM »

Didn't the GOP learn their lesson of picking no-names as VP candidates?  I personally like Fortuno, but might he pick someone with a higher profile, but not too high (Jindal, etc.)?  Otherwise, I'm really enjoying this TL
Eh. I really thought that a Hispanic running-mate would be great, and Fortuņo was the only potential I could think of who hadn't been elected just in 2010.

Anyway, thanks for reading! Next update: the debates!!! Cheesy

Look forward to it!  (psssssst...Martinez!)
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #63 on: February 26, 2012, 02:15:10 PM »

Didn't the GOP learn their lesson of picking no-names as VP candidates?  I personally like Fortuno, but might he pick someone with a higher profile, but not too high (Jindal, etc.)?  Otherwise, I'm really enjoying this TL
Eh. I really thought that a Hispanic running-mate would be great, and Fortuņo was the only potential I could think of who hadn't been elected just in 2010.

Anyway, thanks for reading! Next update: the debates!!! Cheesy

Look forward to it!  (psssssst...Martinez!)
Look at the bolded text, please Wink.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #64 on: February 26, 2012, 04:32:29 PM »

Didn't the GOP learn their lesson of picking no-names as VP candidates?  I personally like Fortuno, but might he pick someone with a higher profile, but not too high (Jindal, etc.)?  Otherwise, I'm really enjoying this TL
Eh. I really thought that a Hispanic running-mate would be great, and Fortuņo was the only potential I could think of who hadn't been elected just in 2010.

Anyway, thanks for reading! Next update: the debates!!! Cheesy

Look forward to it!  (psssssst...Martinez!)
Look at the bolded text, please Wink.

Whoops, thought you said you wanted a 2010 freshly elected person.  Sorry Wink
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #65 on: February 29, 2012, 10:00:12 AM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #66 on: February 29, 2012, 11:32:45 PM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.

Go Ronny go...go...go Ronny go go go.....
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #67 on: March 01, 2012, 11:22:28 AM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.

Go Ronny go...go...go Ronny go go go.....
Paul isn't running in the general...
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #68 on: March 01, 2012, 10:50:13 PM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.

Go Ronny go...go...go Ronny go go go.....
Paul isn't running in the general...

I'm disappointed in him.  Well then go Jessie Ventura, or let me go get my Rand Paul / Marco Rubio 2016 mug
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #69 on: March 02, 2012, 09:47:18 AM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.

Go Ronny go...go...go Ronny go go go.....
Paul isn't running in the general...

I'm disappointed in him.  Well then go Jessie Ventura, or let me go get my Rand Paul / Marco Rubio 2016 mug
Ventura isn't running either...it's either Johnson or Roemer, dude.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #70 on: March 05, 2012, 02:17:44 AM »

Yet another bump. The next update will definitely come before the weekend.

Go Ronny go...go...go Ronny go go go.....
Paul isn't running in the general...

I'm disappointed in him.  Well then go Jessie Ventura, or let me go get my Rand Paul / Marco Rubio 2016 mug
Ventura isn't running either...it's either Johnson or Roemer, dude.

Whoops, Oh yeah.  Damn!  Johnson should have run for senate.  Otl too.
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #71 on: March 05, 2012, 10:25:12 AM »

This update is LONG overdue. Here you guys go! Cheesy

October 3, 2012
The first presidential debate, held at the University of Colorado in Denver, centers on foreign policy. President Obama defends his withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S.'s successful role in toppling the Qaddafi regime in Libya, and--more so than anything else--his order to kill Osama bin Laden in May 2011. Romney, on the other hand, criticizes Obama for "hastening" withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan, stating that "now those nations are just two bloodbaths". He also said that the U.S. "went soft" on Libya, claiming that "we could have, and should have, taken Qaddafi down ages earlier than when we actually did".

Overall, voters seem to think that Obama won that debate.
Who won the debate?
Obama - 41%
Romney - 37%
No one -  15%
Undecided/No opinion - 7%

President Barack Obama (D-Illinois)/Vice-President Joe Biden (D-Delaware) 224
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-Massachusetts)/Governor Luis Fortuņo (R-Puerto Rico) 170
ARIZONA POLL
Romney - 43%
Obama - 36%
Johnson - 3%
Roemer - 1%
COLORADO POLL
Obama - 46%
Romney - 43%
Johnson - 3%
Roemer - 1%
CONNECTICUT POLL
Obama - 48%
Romney - 43%
Johnson - 2%
FLORIDA POLL
Romney - 45%
Obama - 45%
Roemer - 1%
IOWA POLL
Obama - 46%
Romney - 45%
Johnson - 1%
MISSOURI POLL
Romney - 47%
Obama - 44%
NEVADA POLL
Obama - 44%
Romney - 43%
Johnson - 3%
Roemer - 1%
NEW MEXICO POLL
Obama - 40%
Johnson - 29%
Romney - 24%
Roemer - 1%
NORTH CAROLINA POLL
Romney - 49%
Obama - 45%
OHIO POLL
Romney - 41%
Obama - 38%
Johnson - 2%
Roemer - 1%
PENNSYLVANIA POLL
Romney - 43%
Obama - 43%
Johnson - 2%
TENNESSEE POLL
Romney - 32%
Obama - 30%
Johnson - 23%
TEXAS POLL
Romney - 47%
Obama - 34%
Johnson - 12%
VIRGINIA POLL
Obama - 46%
Romney - 44%
After what most would term a mediocre debate performance, Romney has slipped and the crucial state of Ohio now has strayed into swing state territory. Johnson continues to increase his prevalence in the race, with Roemer still remaining a mere also-ran.
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #72 on: March 14, 2012, 12:17:41 PM »

Bump. New update is definitely going to be up today.
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #73 on: March 14, 2012, 09:30:18 PM »

Bump. New update is definitely going to be up today.

This has it's own tab on my iPad.  Just sharing. Wink
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Is Totally Not Feeblepizza.
Crackers
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« Reply #74 on: March 15, 2012, 12:12:46 PM »

Bump. New update is definitely going to be up today.

This has it's own tab on my iPad.  Just sharing. Wink
I'm really glad that you enjoy it so much, but at this rate I think it's pretty clear that I'll never be finished with it. If anyone else wants to continue it for me, just PM me.
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