Florida county map prediction

[Bacon King]

I wouldn't be too surprised to see Santorum win a couple of Panhandle counties, and I also imagine Romney will win a few random counties up there due to a Santorum/Gingrich vote split. Romney definitely carries Leon County, too- BRTD has that right, though I'd put the margin as >40% unless Ron Paul has a really good showing from FSU (I wouldn't be surprised).

Romney certainly carries the Jacksonville area again, and he'll probably do pretty well throughout much of the I-4 corridor. Gingrich certainly wins Miami, though, if PPP's racial crosstabs are accurate.

[Bacon King]

Here's my best guess:

[Bacon King]

Here's my best guess:

7 counties I called for Romney that went for Gingrich
6 counties I called for Gingrich that went for Romney
54 counties called for the correct candidate

Will do percentages later, maybe. The biggest mistake seemed to be trusting that the PPP crosstabs which showed that Cubans supported Gingrich would translate into him winning Miami-Dade. Ended up being Romney's best county.

You think Gainesville will go for Newt?

Granted I suspect all the non-redneck people there are Democrats. The Republicans are probably like that Koran-burning idiot pastor.

Called it I knew that UF would make it Paul's best county, and there's certainly enough extreme evangelicals there give Santorum a fair amount of the vote as well. One would think that based on median income, the county would go for Romney, but enough of the rich are liberals to give Newt the edge.

[Bacon King]

Looking through the predictions, there seemed to be a buck: how did Romney end up doing so well in Dade County? He not only did well, he actually did better in Dade County than in any other county. It actually makes sense to me, but was it leaning heavily for Gingrich a few days ago?

Cubans make up a majority of Dade's GOP electorate. Several polls were saying that Gingrich was winning among Cubans, but it seems like they voted en masse for Romney.

PS: nice avatar!