The FL Election Day & Results Thread

[Lief 🗽]

This isn't saying much, but (though hackish), this is - by far - Romney's best speech yet.

He is getting better with each speech. Imagine how good he'll be by the fall.

By the time he gives his concession speech, he might even sound like a human-being finally!

[Politico]

The primaries are starting to have some noticeably hilarious patterns.  More later.

Romney cleaned up with the Cubans and rich olds.  His best counties are Miami-Dade, Collier and Sumter.   Gingrich did best in rural parts of the panhandle, breaking 50% in two small counties.  That bodes well for Gingrich in much of the rest of the South.

Until you realize that another southern state does not vote between now and Super Tuesday. If Romney wins the next eight contests, I will not even be surprised if Gingrich loses Georgia, let alone Virginia and Tennessee, on Super Tuesday.

[Joe Biden 2020]

Gingrich had a horrible speech tonight.  I liked the fact that he started talking about what he would do on Day 1 in a Hypothetical Gingrich Administration before the Inauguaral Balls.  However, he was very ungracious to Governor Romney, the guy that just took him behind the woodshed.  A campaign aide later said he did call and congratulate Mitt, but he never mentioned it on air.  One thing is very apparent, Newt Gingrich is a very sore loser.  I can only imagine how he would react in a concession speech to President Obama.  That would be a "viewer discretion advised" concession speech.

I don't want a sore loser in the White House.  If by some chance he did rise from the political dead a third time and took the nomination, I would be enthusiastically supporting President Obama in November.

[Joe Biden 2020]

This isn't saying much, but (though hackish), this is - by far - Romney's best speech yet.

He is getting better with each speech. Imagine how good he'll be by the fall.

By the time he gives his concession speech, he might even sound like a human-being finally!

I'm thinking by the time he gives his farewell speech the week before January 20, 2021.

[Lief 🗽]

I would be a sore loser too if my opponent ran a literally 99% negative campaign against me and sent his campaign surrogates to constantly heckle me throughout the entire state.

[Politico]

I would be a sore loser too if my opponent ran a literally 99% negative campaign against me and sent his campaign surrogates to constantly heckle me throughout the entire state.

After South Carolina and "vulture capitalism," what did he expect?

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Mittens looked almost human in his speech tonight. It's definitely the most personable I have ever seen him. Good job!

Is it how he looked that made it a good speech? Because I was listening with the TV on in the other room and I thought it was worse than his SC speech.

[Sbane]

Mittens looked almost human in his speech tonight. It's definitely the most personable I have ever seen him. Good job!

Is it how he looked that made it a good speech? Because I was listening with the TV on in the other room and I thought it was worse than his SC speech.

I didn't think it was a great speech, but better than Newt's.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Listening to Romney's victory speech, one thing was glaringly apparent.  The man was just too damn smug.  Not confident, but condescendingly smug.  It was grating in the extreme.  Considering that Mitt doesn't have much substance, he needs to work on his style.  He is only doing well because he has been campaigning for six years, has a ton of money to throw around, and Newt has personal flaws he has been able to exploit.    Problem is, in November, he'll be facing an opponent that will have also been campaigning for six years, will have a ton of money to throw around, and who does not have much in the way of personal flaws.  At this point Romney's only hope is that we have a deep double dip recession of the sort Obama cannot blame on the Republicans, and I don't see it.

Bleh!  More divided government coming up at a time we can't afford it.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Herman Cain on CNN!!

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Newt apparently didn't call to congratulate Mitt. He reminds us why 58% of Americans hate him.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

THIS ONE'S FOR YOU:

You can practically smell the artifice.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Mitt down to 46%. Final should be 46%-32%.

2 points!

[Lief 🗽]

goddamnit I didn't change my prediction to >40%

[homelycooking]

Homely's famous comprehensive maps are back in town once again:

[Averroës Nix]

GOP turnout looks like 1.85 million compared with 1.95 million in 2008.

In fact, only SC so far had more turnout than 2008. IA, NH, FL are all down.

121501 > 118696

248475 > 239793

And all the votes in Florida are not in yet.

Crack, it's a powerful drug.

He's referring to turnout among Republican identifiers. It makes greater sense to consider this number rather than total turnout when only one party is holding competitive primaries. From FiveThirtyEight:

[Torie]

The primaries are starting to have some noticeably hilarious patterns.  More later.

Romney cleaned up with the Cubans and rich olds.  His best counties are Miami-Dade, Collier and Sumter.   Gingrich did best in rural parts of the panhandle, breaking 50% in two small counties.  That bodes well for Gingrich in much of the rest of the South.

Until you realize that another southern state does not vote between now and Super Tuesday. If Romney wins the next eight contests, I will not even be surprised if Gingrich loses Georgia, let alone Virginia and Tennessee, on Super Tuesday.

Newt is a safe bet to lose Virginia because he is not on the ballot.

[Torie]

Newt apparently didn't call to congratulate Mitt. He reminds us why 58% of Americans hate him.

I think the stake has really been put into Newt's heart this time Dukie (his bio just sucks, along with everything else, so it is far more than just being smashed in one critical winner take all primary), and he just won't be getting out of his coffin again to suck blood when it is night time again. But I loathe the man so much, I know I am not really objective. But that is what I think is the case FWIW. The thing is, all else aside, is that Mittens has the inside track to win the delegates, just like McCain did (with machine states like NY giving most of their delegates to him, while true proportional states fractionate). Ditto California, which is really what finished Romney off last time against McCain. There CD's with no Pubs get to determine just as many delegates, as CD's with a ton of Pubs, after giving half the delegates or something on a winner take all basis.

[J. J.]

One think that Mitt did tonight was expand his support.

[5280]

One think that Mitt did tonight was expand his support.

If he can expand his support to evangelicals, DINOs, for the general election then he has the race locked.

[Eraserhead]

GOP turnout looks like 1.85 million compared with 1.95 million in 2008.

In fact, only SC so far had more turnout than 2008. IA, NH, FL are all down.

121501 > 118696

248475 > 239793

And all the votes in Florida are not in yet.

Crack, it's a powerful drug.

He's referring to turnout among Republican identifiers. It makes greater sense to consider this number rather than total turnout when only one party is holding competitive primaries. From FiveThirtyEight:

I wonder why South Carolina was such a major outlier...

[Tender Branson]

Posted by: CaDan

"This user is currently ignored."

This is fun !

[Torie]

Quite a post above. Most of us are big admirers of Nate Silver.

[Oakvale]

I'm still baffled as to what Silver's done to inspire such bile. He's a harmless statistics geek that most us enjoy reading.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm still baffled as to what Silver's done to inspire such bile. He's a harmless statistics geek that most us enjoy reading.

tehgay