Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 29, 2014, 03:42:42 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Don't forget to get your 2013 Gubernatorial Endorsements and Predictions in!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Congressional Elections (Moderator: Joe Republic)
| | |-+  North Carolina 2012 Congressional Races
« previous next »
Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 9 Print
Author Topic: North Carolina 2012 Congressional Races  (Read 17644 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #25 on: February 04, 2012, 02:35:15 am »
Ignore

GOD DAMMIT!!!



Sad


[gives hug]




Btw, what are the odds that the latest map with be overruled by the courts?

I don't think the courts would throw out NC-11. Sad All the litigation would likely deal with NC-1 and NC-12.

The only potential argument you could make about NC-11 is that Asheville is being removed from its historical community of interest.
Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #26 on: February 04, 2012, 06:57:47 pm »
Ignore

I'm planning on doing NC-08 soon,

I was sifting through some numbers and this really shows the huge amount of crossover support Perdue had in eastern NC.

In the parts Lenior county in the 7th district, Obama got 28%, Hagan got 35% but Perdue got 51%. Pretty impressive.  Surely McIntyre could do better than the 40% I gave him there.
Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #27 on: February 09, 2012, 09:45:55 pm »
Ignore

I'll post this here as well.

Some possible replacements for Sue Myrick:

- State Sen. Bob Rucho. My Senator Sad. The mastermind behind the so-called "fair and legal" Republican redistricting maps. He Chaired the Senate redistricting Committee and drew the maps; much like Brad Miller did 10 years ago. He lives in Matthews. From what I've seen, he has a good relationship with Myrick.

- State Rep. Ruth Samuleson. My representative Sad . Her district includes the more affluent parts of south-central Mecklenburg county.

- House Speaker Thom Tillis. Lives in northern Mecklenburg county. Still I'm not sure he'd want to run for Congress; with the Republicans having likely control of the Assembly for the next decade, his position as Speaker should be pretty secure. I've heard rumors that he plans to run against Hagan in 2014.

- John Lassiter. He was on the Charlotte city council and ran against Anthony Foxx for Charlotte mayor in 2009, losing by 3,000 votes. Haven't heard much from him since.

- Robert Pittenger. Preceded Rucho in Senate District 39. Very rich. He ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2008, but lost 51-46 to Walter Dalton. Pittenger hasn't ruled out a Congressional run.
Logged


vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 271
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 0.87

View Profile
« Reply #28 on: February 10, 2012, 03:19:29 pm »
Ignore

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #29 on: February 10, 2012, 04:02:53 pm »
Ignore

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.
Logged


vern1988
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 271
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.48, S: 0.87

View Profile
« Reply #30 on: February 10, 2012, 05:31:37 pm »
Ignore

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.

NOOOOOOO!!!! She was a good congresswoman... Sad
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #31 on: February 10, 2012, 06:57:06 pm »
Ignore

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.

NOOOOOOO!!!! She was a good congresswoman... Sad

As her constituent, I beg to differ!
Logged


krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5759


View Profile
« Reply #32 on: February 27, 2012, 01:01:10 pm »
Ignore

Filings:

McIntyre has not yet filed.








NC-1 G. K. Butterfield (D-Inc)

NC-2 Sonya Holmes (R), Clement F. Munno (R), Renee Ellmers (R-Inc)

NC-3 Erik Anderson (D), Walter B. Jones (R-Inc), Frank Palombo (R)

NC-4 David Price (D-Inc), George Frank Hutchins (R)

NC-5 Elisabeth Motsinger (D), Virginia Foxx (R-Inc)

NC-6 Billy Yow (R), Jim Allen (R) Howard Coble (R-Inc), Lawrence (Larry) Sharp (LIB)

NC-7 Ilario Gregory Pantano (R), Randy Crow (R), David Rouzer (R)

NC-8 Larry Kissell (D-Inc), Marcus W. Williams (D), Richard Hudson (R), Vernon Robinson (R), Fred F. Steen II (R), Scott Keadle (R), John M. Whitley (R)

NC-9 (OPEN) Jennifer Roberts (D), Jim Pendergraph (R), Michael Shaffer (R), Mike Steinberg (R), Dan Barry (R), Andy Dulin (R), Edwin B. Peacock III (R), Ric Killian (R), Jon Gauthier (R), Curtis Campbell (LIB)

NC-10 Patsy Keever (D), Timothy Murphy (D), Ken H. Fortenberry (R), Patrick McHenry (R-Inc)

NC-11 (OPEN) Tom Hill (D), Cecil Bothwell (D), Mark Meadows (R), Chris Petrella (R), Kenny West (R), Spence Campbell (R),  Jeff Hunt (R), Ethan Wingfield (R)

NC-12 Mel Watt (D-Inc)

NC-13 (OPEN) Bernard A. Holliday (D), George Holding (R), Paul Y. Coble (R)
Logged
krazen1211
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5759


View Profile
« Reply #33 on: February 27, 2012, 01:01:53 pm »
Ignore

Legislative


House (120 seats)
64 seats have Democratic candidates (30 unopposed)
86 seats have Republican candidates (52 unopposed)
34 seats are contested by both parties
4 seats (H19, H34, H60, H114) have no candidates yet

61 of the 64 Democrats would have to win in November for Democrats to regain control.

Senate (50 seats)
26 seats have Democratic candidates (8 unopposed)
41 seats have Republican candidates (23 unoppsed)
18 seats are contested by both parties
1 seat (S14) has no candidates yet
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #34 on: February 27, 2012, 01:21:19 pm »
Ignore

Filings:

McIntyre has not yet filed.

Except he has...
Logged


Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29212
United States


View Profile
« Reply #35 on: February 27, 2012, 09:48:06 pm »
Ignore

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?
Logged

He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again! Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!



Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #36 on: February 27, 2012, 10:22:30 pm »
Ignore

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...


Logged


Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29212
United States


View Profile
« Reply #37 on: February 28, 2012, 12:45:32 am »
Ignore

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

Do you mean Bladen? Tongue

I am more interested in his impact on the primary.
Logged

He's BACK!!! His Time Has Come Once Again! Now We're All Gonna Die! No One is Safe From His Wrath!



Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #38 on: February 28, 2012, 01:44:32 am »
Ignore

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

Do you mean Bladen? Tongue

I am more interested in his impact on the primary.

OMG, thats funny...Balden. lol

He seems like a pretty fringe candidate to me...I say still more or less a two-way contest between Rouzer and Pantano.
Logged


I'm JewCon in name only.
Klecly
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 923
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.61, S: 6.52

View Profile
« Reply #39 on: March 03, 2012, 02:28:41 pm »
Ignore

I'm going to miss my congresswoman, Myrick.


If Ruth Samuelson, or Thom Tillis run I'll back them.
Logged

only back for the worldcup
Lewis Trondheim
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 58783
India


View Profile
« Reply #40 on: March 03, 2012, 02:34:19 pm »
Ignore

We live in the greatest nation in the world, and I am committed to sustaining the values that have made America great and increasing the opportunities that will help us blaze a path forward," McIntyre said in a statement.

LMAO. Talk about utterly contentless fluff.
Logged

"The secret to having a rewarding work-life balance is to have no life. Then it's easy to keep things balanced by doing no work." Wally



"Our party do not have any ideology... Our main aim is to grab power ... Every one is doing so but I say it openly." Keshav Dev Maurya
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #41 on: March 10, 2012, 07:03:18 pm »
Ignore

I updated the candidates list with the official filings.
Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #42 on: March 12, 2012, 07:41:16 pm »
Ignore

Pantano is up 2:1 on Rouzer. It makes sense, since Pantano has more name recognition after running districtwide last cycle and Rouzer's only base is in Johnston county. No word on the general election though...
« Last Edit: March 12, 2012, 07:44:18 pm by MilesC56 »Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #43 on: March 14, 2012, 10:43:22 am »
Ignore

McHenry wins Buncombe county GOP straw poll 41-23 over Ken Fortenberry.

At the forum, Fortenberry told the 70 or so attendees that it was time for a change in leadership. "If you love what's happening in Washington then continue the course, keep sending the same people up there," he said. Alluding to the fact that McHenry is serving his fourth consecutive term after first being elected to congress at the age of 29, he added: "We don't need a career politician who has never had a real job."

lol



Over in the 9th, retiring Sue Myrick endorsed in the crowded 10-way GOP primary. She endorsed Mecklenburg county commissioner Jim Pendergraph. McHenry endorsed 2008 Lt. Gov. loser Bob Pittenger.
« Last Edit: March 14, 2012, 10:48:03 am by MilesC56 »Logged


Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #44 on: March 22, 2012, 02:17:18 pm »
Ignore

Well, this makes my day a bit better.
Logged


I'm JewCon in name only.
Klecly
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 923
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.61, S: 6.52

View Profile
« Reply #45 on: March 24, 2012, 07:29:29 pm »
Ignore

my G-d, Kissell just can't be beaten, can he? lol
Logged

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #46 on: March 24, 2012, 09:18:11 pm »
Ignore

my G-d, Kissell just can't be beaten, can he? lol

He has as a lot of blue-collar and rural appeal.

I think his vote against the healthcare bill will help him.

Even though its an internal poll, its still good news.
Logged


Gravis Marketing
brittain33
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12723


View Profile
« Reply #47 on: March 26, 2012, 09:14:07 am »
Ignore

Kissell is not going to win reelection unless his opponent is quite weak and Obama has coattails in the right places. I just don't see it. "Given sufficient resources..." Kissell is a lousy fundraiser.
Logged
I'm JewCon in name only.
Klecly
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 923
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.61, S: 6.52

View Profile
« Reply #48 on: March 30, 2012, 04:02:28 pm »
Ignore

It's an internal poll? lol...


Also, I thought it was Shuler and McIntrye who voted against Healthcare? Not Kissell.

Logged

Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14224
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 3.65

View Profile
« Reply #49 on: March 30, 2012, 04:10:29 pm »
Ignore

It's an internal poll? lol...


Also, I thought it was Shuler and McIntrye who voted against Healthcare? Not Kissell.



All 3 of them voted no on its passage, but McIntyre was the only one to actually vote for its repeal.
Logged


Pages: 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 7 ... 9 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines