North Carolina 2012 Congressional Races

[MilesC56]

GOD DAMMIT!!!

[gives hug]




Btw, what are the odds that the latest map with be overruled by the courts?

I don't think the courts would throw out NC-11. All the litigation would likely deal with NC-1 and NC-12.

The only potential argument you could make about NC-11 is that Asheville is being removed from its historical community of interest.

[MilesC56]

I'm planning on doing NC-08 soon,

I was sifting through some numbers and this really shows the huge amount of crossover support Perdue had in eastern NC.

In the parts Lenior county in the 7th district, Obama got 28%, Hagan got 35% but Perdue got 51%. Pretty impressive.  Surely McIntyre could do better than the 40% I gave him there.

[MilesC56]

I'll post this here as well.

Some possible replacements for Sue Myrick:

- State Sen. Bob Rucho. My Senator . The mastermind behind the so-called "fair and legal" Republican redistricting maps. He Chaired the Senate redistricting Committee and drew the maps; much like Brad Miller did 10 years ago. He lives in Matthews. From what I've seen, he has a good relationship with Myrick.

- State Rep. Ruth Samuleson. My representative . Her district includes the more affluent parts of south-central Mecklenburg county.

- House Speaker Thom Tillis. Lives in northern Mecklenburg county. Still I'm not sure he'd want to run for Congress; with the Republicans having likely control of the Assembly for the next decade, his position as Speaker should be pretty secure. I've heard rumors that he plans to run against Hagan in 2014.

- John Lassiter. He was on the Charlotte city council and ran against Anthony Foxx for Charlotte mayor in 2009, losing by 3,000 votes. Haven't heard much from him since.

- Robert Pittenger. Preceded Rucho in Senate District 39. Very rich. He ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2008, but lost 51-46 to Walter Dalton. Pittenger hasn't ruled out a Congressional run.

[vern1988]

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

[MilesC56]

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.

[vern1988]

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.

NOOOOOOO!!!! She was a good congresswoman...

[MilesC56]

Is Sue Myrick not running for re-election?

Nope, she's retiring.

NOOOOOOO!!!! She was a good congresswoman...

As her constituent, I beg to differ!

[krazen1211]

Filings:

McIntyre has not yet filed.








NC-1 G. K. Butterfield (D-Inc)

NC-2 Sonya Holmes (R), Clement F. Munno (R), Renee Ellmers (R-Inc)

NC-3 Erik Anderson (D), Walter B. Jones (R-Inc), Frank Palombo (R)

NC-4 David Price (D-Inc), George Frank Hutchins (R)

NC-5 Elisabeth Motsinger (D), Virginia Foxx (R-Inc)

NC-6 Billy Yow (R), Jim Allen (R) Howard Coble (R-Inc), Lawrence (Larry) Sharp (LIB)

NC-7 Ilario Gregory Pantano (R), Randy Crow (R), David Rouzer (R)

NC-8 Larry Kissell (D-Inc), Marcus W. Williams (D), Richard Hudson (R), Vernon Robinson (R), Fred F. Steen II (R), Scott Keadle (R), John M. Whitley (R)

NC-9 (OPEN) Jennifer Roberts (D), Jim Pendergraph (R), Michael Shaffer (R), Mike Steinberg (R), Dan Barry (R), Andy Dulin (R), Edwin B. Peacock III (R), Ric Killian (R), Jon Gauthier (R), Curtis Campbell (LIB)

NC-10 Patsy Keever (D), Timothy Murphy (D), Ken H. Fortenberry (R), Patrick McHenry (R-Inc)

NC-11 (OPEN) Tom Hill (D), Cecil Bothwell (D), Mark Meadows (R), Chris Petrella (R), Kenny West (R), Spence Campbell (R),  Jeff Hunt (R), Ethan Wingfield (R)

NC-12 Mel Watt (D-Inc)

NC-13 (OPEN) Bernard A. Holliday (D), George Holding (R), Paul Y. Coble (R)

[krazen1211]

Legislative


House (120 seats)
64 seats have Democratic candidates (30 unopposed)
86 seats have Republican candidates (52 unopposed)
34 seats are contested by both parties
4 seats (H19, H34, H60, H114) have no candidates yet

61 of the 64 Democrats would have to win in November for Democrats to regain control.

Senate (50 seats)
26 seats have Democratic candidates (8 unopposed)
41 seats have Republican candidates (23 unoppsed)
18 seats are contested by both parties
1 seat (S14) has no candidates yet

[MilesC56]

Filings:

McIntyre has not yet filed.

Except he has...

[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

[MilesC56]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

[Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

Do you mean Bladen?

I am more interested in his impact on the primary.

[MilesC56]

Who is Randy Crow? What county is he based in?

Balden. McIntyre is going to get at least 70% there...

Do you mean Bladen?

I am more interested in his impact on the primary.

OMG, thats funny...Balden. lol

He seems like a pretty fringe candidate to me...I say still more or less a two-way contest between Rouzer and Pantano.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

I'm going to miss my congresswoman, Myrick.


If Ruth Samuelson, or Thom Tillis run I'll back them.

[Vasall des Midas]

Filings:

McIntyre has not yet filed.

Except he has...

We live in the greatest nation in the world, and I am committed to sustaining the values that have made America great and increasing the opportunities that will help us blaze a path forward," McIntyre said in a statement.

LMAO. Talk about utterly contentless fluff.

[MilesC56]

I updated the candidates list with the official filings.

[MilesC56]

Pantano is up 2:1 on Rouzer. It makes sense, since Pantano has more name recognition after running districtwide last cycle and Rouzer's only base is in Johnston county. No word on the general election though...

[MilesC56]

McHenry wins Buncombe county GOP straw poll 41-23 over Ken Fortenberry.

At the forum, Fortenberry told the 70 or so attendees that it was time for a change in leadership. "If you love what's happening in Washington … then continue the course, keep sending the same people up there," he said. Alluding to the fact that McHenry is serving his fourth consecutive term after first being elected to congress at the age of 29, he added: "We don't need a career politician who has never had a real job."

lol


Over in the 9th, retiring Sue Myrick endorsed in the crowded 10-way GOP primary. She endorsed Mecklenburg county commissioner Jim Pendergraph. McHenry endorsed 2008 Lt. Gov. loser Bob Pittenger.

[MilesC56]

Well, this makes my day a bit better.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

my G-d, Kissell just can't be beaten, can he? lol

[MilesC56]

my G-d, Kissell just can't be beaten, can he? lol

He has as a lot of blue-collar and rural appeal.

I think his vote against the healthcare bill will help him.

Even though its an internal poll, its still good news.

[Gravis Marketing]

Kissell is not going to win reelection unless his opponent is quite weak and Obama has coattails in the right places. I just don't see it. "Given sufficient resources..." Kissell is a lousy fundraiser.

[I'm JewCon in name only.]

It's an internal poll? lol...


Also, I thought it was Shuler and McIntrye who voted against Healthcare? Not Kissell.

[MilesC56]

It's an internal poll? lol...


Also, I thought it was Shuler and McIntrye who voted against Healthcare? Not Kissell.

All 3 of them voted no on its passage, but McIntyre was the only one to actually vote for its repeal.