Chances at this point

[NHI]

I know this has been asked many times before, but now with Florida decided and Romney looking more and more like the eventual nominee I ask this question: What are his chances against Obama, at this point?

[minionofmidas]

20ish? Better than the other three's, for reasons I'm somewhat at a loss to figure out. Think John Kerry at this point of 2004 and remember more went right than wrong for him over the course of spring and summer.

[GLPman]

It's only February. There's still time for things to go wrong for Romney OR Obama. At this point, I'd place Obama's re-election chances at around 70-75%.

[Vosem]

Perhaps 2-1 Obama. Chances of a large Obama victory remain rather slim, though.

[The Mikado]

Perhaps 2-1 Obama. Chances of a large Obama victory remain rather slim, though.

This is pretty reasonable.  This election will (probably) not be a 2008 style blowout.

[tpfkaw]

Too early to predict until after Labor Day.

[© tweed]

I think a bit better than Kerry04.  Obama's low approvals leave a window open and if the Euro debt fiasco implodes it could pose a mirror of the Lehman moment.  but a lot of that stuff is purely hypothetical, we can't know much about its probability or consequences or etc.  between 3:2 and 2:1 Obama.

[Torie]

Romney might be a slight favorite if the CBO projections of unemployment popping back up to 9% by election time prove accurate. 

[TheGlobalizer]

I'd bet Romney but I wouldn't touch the spread.

[Eraserhead]

I know this has been asked many times before, but now with Florida decided and Romney looking more and more like the eventual nominee I ask this question: What are his chances against Obama, at this point?

They're not good.

[Penelope]

I know this has been asked many times before, but now with Florida decided and Romney looking more and more like the eventual nominee I ask this question: What are his chances against Obama, at this point?

Very low.

Too early to predict until after Labor Day.

at this point?