The Great Brazil Topic

[RodPresident]

What are "substitution deputies"? Could someone please explain that?

Brazil legislative system is elected by open list with parties that can be united for election, but not for . But legislators can leave to serve in cabinets (federal, statewide and state capitals). Then, legislators can be replaced by legislators that stayed behind in list until legislators go back. In senate, "substitution senators" are elected in same ticket, usually campaign financers or family members, like Raimundo Lira (PMDB-PB), chairman of Senate Impeachment Committee who replaced Vital do Rego who went to a lifelong job to Audit Court and is now implicated in bribes of Lava Jato. They replace congressman if they get elected to another position too, like to be mayor or senators (who have eight years-term), usually, to become governors.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

So, Dilma is suspended and Temer is now (acting) President.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Temer's cabinet looks ... Bad.

[jaichind]

On the same day Dilma is suspended Petrobas came out with Q1 results with losses of BRL1.25 billion versus profit of BRL5.33 billion in Q1 2015.  How ironic.

[Vega]

Temer's cabinet looks ... Bad.

Yeah, all-male and no visible minorities.

[MaxQue]

Temer's cabinet looks ... Bad.

Yeah, all-male and no visible minorities.

What did you expected from a coup leader?

[StateBoiler]

Great article on this from Brian Winter of Americas Quarterly. Argues that Rousseff deserves credit for standing up to corruption but that she was totally out of her league in the presidency.

http://americasquarterly.org/content/final-defense-dilma-rousseff

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Meanwhile, if you take a cynical view of politics, Rousseff being impeached is excellent news for Lula to win power again next election. If the country had continued downhill with Rousseff in charge her full term, his party probably wouldn't've won then.

[buritobr]

My long analisys of what went wront with the Workers' Party (PT) and what went wrong with the PT's opposition.
In Portuguese
http://www.trincheiras.com.br/2016/05/pt-por-que-deu-pt/

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[buritobr]

Michel Temer's Ministry of Justice is Alexandre de Moraes, former Secretary of Public Security of the state of São Paulo during Geraldo Alckmin's administration (PSDB). In this administration, the riot police used to be very violent against students' demonstrations.
Well, Temer was not elected president, he has the intention to cut social expenditure and make labor legislation more "flexible". We can imagine why did he choose his guy to be his minister...

[DanPrazeres]

Michel Temer's Ministry of Justice is Alexandre de Moraes, former Secretary of Public Security of the state of São Paulo during Geraldo Alckmin's administration (PSDB). In this administration, the riot police used to be very violent against students' demonstrations.
Well, Temer was not elected president, he has the intention to cut social expenditure and make labor legislation more "flexible". We can imagine why did he choose his guy to be his minister...

And, important say, he is known as the PCC (Primeiro Comando da Capital/First Capital's Command, the biggest brazilian organized crime faction) lawyer.

[buritobr]

Pictures of the anti-Temer rally that took place yesterday at Cinelândia, Rio de Janeiro. Maybe, 15k people were there.
http://www.trincheiras.com.br/2016/05/1023/

There were speeches of the representatives Jandira Feghalli (PCdoB), Jean Wyllys and Marcelo Freixo (PSOL), leaders of students' organizations, the leader of the homeless people's movement.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Temer's cabinet looks ... Bad.

Yeah, all-male and no visible minorities.

The Agriculture, Education and Justice Secs seen like real pieces of work.

[buritobr]

The cast and crew of Aquarius, a highly-regarded Brazilian film in Cannes, held aloft banners proclaiming ‘A coup took place in Brazil’ and ‘We will resist’ at the official première

http://www.theguardian.com/film/2016/may/17/brazil-is-not-a-democracy-aquarius-premiere-cannes-red-carpet-protest

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[buritobr]

No good News for Michel Temer and Romero Jucá

[RodPresident]

Minister of Planning and Budget Romero Jucá (PMDB-RR) is first casualty of Temer's cabinet. He resigned after wiretapping between him and former senator Sérgio Machado (PMDB-CE), who served as CEO of Transpetro (oil transport Petrobras subsidiary) about stopping Operação Lava Jato. They talked about stopping Lava Jato and that Dilma's impeachment was the only way to do it. They talked about PSDB links to corruption schemes (They were leaders of Cardoso's government and were members of PSDB before supporting Lula), saying that "Aécio will be first to be eaten". There are talks that Machado is doing a plea bargain and have tapes with Renan Calheiros and José Sarney.

[ag]

The only way out of this mess that would have any chance of restoring legitimacy of governance is an early election. Ok, they have the Olympics, fine. Olympics will be closing on Aug. 21st. Campaign should start on Aug. 22nd. And till that a purely apolitical technocratic cabinet should be appointed, on condition of not approving any major policies or expenditures. Anything else is just too dangerous.

[Dan the Roman]

The only way out of this mess that would have any chance of restoring legitimacy of governance is an early election. Ok, they have the Olympics, fine. Olympics will be closing on Aug. 21st. Campaign should start on Aug. 22nd. And till that a purely apolitical technocratic cabinet should be appointed, on condition of not approving any major policies or expenditures. Anything else is just too dangerous.

I believe the constitution neither allows for early elections, nor for a constitutional amendment to allow for them.

[ag]

The only way out of this mess that would have any chance of restoring legitimacy of governance is an early election. Ok, they have the Olympics, fine. Olympics will be closing on Aug. 21st. Campaign should start on Aug. 22nd. And till that a purely apolitical technocratic cabinet should be appointed, on condition of not approving any major policies or expenditures. Anything else is just too dangerous.

I believe the constitution neither allows for early elections, nor for a constitutional amendment to allow for them.

I do not believe that to be true. If I get the relevant provision right this is it:

Article 81

Art. 81. In case the positions of the President and the Vice President of the Republic are vacant, election shall be held within 90 days of the vacancy in the latter position.

1. If the vacancies are produced during the last two years of the presidential term, the election for both positions shall be held 30 days after the latter vacancy, by the National Congress, as provided for by law.

2.  In every case, those elected shall compelte the term of their predecessors.

The last Brazilian election was held on October 4/26 2014, Dilma started her second term on Jan. 1 2015, the term is 4 years. If both she and Temer were to resign tomorrow, elections would have to be held within 90 days. No problem whatsoever.

[buritobr]

I think that a new election is the best solution for the political crisis.

But a new election can take place only if both Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer resign. Or if Michel Temer resign after the end of Dilma's impeachment process.
If he resign until December 31th 2016 (first half of the term), the new election will be direct. If he resign after December 31th 2016, the Congress will vote for the new president.

Michel Temer will resign only if there is a big pressure.
I think that, unfortunately, he will be the president until December 31th 2018.

[MaxQue]

Indeed, it's quite rare that coup leaders leave power without being forced to.

[ag]

I think that a new election is the best solution for the political crisis.

But a new election can take place only if both Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer resign. Or if Michel Temer resign after the end of Dilma's impeachment process.
If he resign until December 31th 2016 (first half of the term), the new election will be direct. If he resign after December 31th 2016, the Congress will vote for the new president.

Michel Temer will resign only if there is a big pressure.
I think that, unfortunately, he will be the president until December 31th 2018.

Well, there will be pressure. At least as much pressure as Dilma faced. The question is, when is it coming to head: before or after the end of the year. It is hard to see how he survives to the end of the current term once sh**t truly hits the fan.

I have a suggestion. They should somehow get Pele into Congress, have him appointed Speaker, have Temer resign and have Pele be president for the Olympics, with election happening shortly thereafter. This is, probably, the only way Brazil avoids being a scray laughing stock right at the moment all the attention is on it.

[RodPresident]

I think that a new election is the best solution for the political crisis.

But a new election can take place only if both Dilma Rousseff and Michel Temer resign. Or if Michel Temer resign after the end of Dilma's impeachment process.
If he resign until December 31th 2016 (first half of the term), the new election will be direct. If he resign after December 31th 2016, the Congress will vote for the new president.

Michel Temer will resign only if there is a big pressure.
I think that, unfortunately, he will be the president until December 31th 2018.

Well, there will be pressure. At least as much pressure as Dilma faced. The question is, when is it coming to head: before or after the end of the year. It is hard to see how he survives to the end of the current term once sh**t truly hits the fan.

I have a suggestion. They should somehow get Pele into Congress, have him appointed Speaker, have Temer resign and have Pele be president for the Olympics, with election happening shortly thereafter. This is, probably, the only way Brazil avoids being a scray laughing stock right at the moment all the attention is on it.

Romário is already in Senate.
But things are getting uglier for PMDB. Now, in more one of Machado tapes, former Transpetro CEO is talking about that he helped the traitor and usurper acting President Michel Temer to finance Gabriel Chalita's failed campaign to mayor of São Paulo. And there are talks about a Machado tape with Temer.

[Ebsy]

You would think these idiots would stop talking about shady s[Inks] on telephones that might be tapped.

[RodPresident]

You would think these idiots would stop talking about shady s[Inks] on telephones that might be tapped.

Machado taped not on phone, but during personal meetings with barons. As he served in Senate, he still had links with Senate masters, like Sarney, Calheiros and Jucá.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Judge requests arrest warrant for four of the biggest PMDB names: ex-president Jose Sarney, Senate Speaker Renan Calheiros, ex-lower house Speaker Eduardo Cunha and party leader Romero Juca.