NC: Public Policy Polling: Bowles the only Democrat that comes close to beating McCrory
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  NC: Public Policy Polling: Bowles the only Democrat that comes close to beating McCrory
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Author Topic: NC: Public Policy Polling: Bowles the only Democrat that comes close to beating McCrory  (Read 602 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: January 30, 2012, 12:10:35 PM »

New Poll: North Carolina Governor by Public Policy Polling on 2012-01-29

Summary: D: 42%, R: 44%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2012, 12:11:10 PM »

"By far the strongest Democratic candidate would be Erskine Bowles, who trails McCrory only 44-42 in a hypothetical contest. Bowles notably trails McCrory by only 19 points with whites, a group that Perdue lost by 25 points with in 2008.

The only reason Bowles isn't ahead of McCrory at this point is that he's getting just 71% of the black vote but assuming he ended up receiving the requisite 90-95% of it that Democrats are accustomed to that would make him the favorite. "
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,177
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2012, 12:16:31 PM »

Candidate
   

Favorability with Democrats

Kay Hagan
   

+40 (58/18)

Erskine Bowles
   

+38 (53/15)

Bob Etheridge
   

+27 (40/13)

Richard Moore
   

+27 (36/9)

Brad Miller
   

+24 (35/11)

Anthony Foxx
   

+20 (32/12)

Dan Blue
   

+18 (30/12)

Charles Meeker
   

+14 (25/11)

Mike McIntyre
   

+8 (19/11)

Walter Dalton
   

+8 (26/18)

Heath Shuler
   

+7 (23/16)

Allen Joines
   

+5 (14/9)

Bill Faison
   

-5 (13/18)
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2012, 12:55:57 PM »

Even Democrats don't like Faison; he shouldn't be in the race.


Only three Democrats are above 50% name recognition:


Hagan- 76%
Bowles- 69%
Etheridge- 52%
Miller- 46%
Foxx- 45%
Shuler- 44%
Blue- 44%
Moore- 43%
Dalton- 43%
Meeker- 39%
McIntyre- 35%
Faison- 32%
Joines- 31%

McCrory is at 76%.
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