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Virginia puts Bush over top...
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Topic: Virginia puts Bush over top... (Read 3157 times)
King
intermoderate
YaBB God
Posts: 22216
Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
on:
January 06, 2005, 07:34:54 pm »
At the Senate confirmation, Virginia put Bush/Cheney at 278 EVs
«
Last Edit: January 06, 2005, 07:38:02 pm by King
»
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A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #1 on:
January 06, 2005, 07:37:25 pm »
So the Old Dominion finally did something important again. It's still not quite as cool as having 4 of the first 5 presidents, but hey, we'll come back...
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WalterMitty
YaBB God
Posts: 18845
Political Matrix
E: 1.68, S: -2.26
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #2 on:
January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm »
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
im proud of my birth state.
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Will F.D. People
bgrieser
Jr. Member
Posts: 78
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #3 on:
January 06, 2005, 09:12:43 pm »
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
I believe Governor Warner said that it was going to be "in play".
WA HA HA HA . . .
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TJN2024
YaBB God
Posts: 5474
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #4 on:
January 06, 2005, 09:57:43 pm »
Quote from: Will F.D. People on January 06, 2005, 09:12:43 pm
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
I believe Governor Warner said that it was going to be "in play".
WA HA HA HA . . .
Yes, most definetly a rediculous statement
most democrats see the state becoming closer soon, i believe the opposite will be true, VA,NC,GA,FL, andTX will soon become even greater electoral prizes and they will all be republican
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agcatter
agcat
YaBB God
Posts: 3758
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #5 on:
January 07, 2005, 12:22:49 am »
Yeah, I remember Senator I Sue You Edwards was supposed to make NC competitive. Haha
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London Man
Silent Hunter
YaBB God
Posts: 5590
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #6 on:
January 07, 2005, 05:35:52 am »
Quote from: agcat on January 07, 2005, 12:22:49 am
Yeah, I remember Senator I Sue You Edwards was supposed to make NC competitive. Haha
Mr Edwards now.
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TheCommentator
AL098
Jr. Member
Posts: 66
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #7 on:
January 07, 2005, 10:27:01 am »
Virginia did not actually put Bush over the top.
Since Bush would have needed 268 rather than 286 to lose, no state with less than 18 electoral votes made a difference in the outcome.
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A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #8 on:
January 07, 2005, 10:32:28 am »
He's talking about the order in which the votes were counted before Congress. Virginia put Bush at 278 EVs.
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True Democrat
true democrat
YaBB God
Posts: 7530
Political Matrix
E: 1.10, S: -2.87
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #9 on:
January 07, 2005, 01:21:44 pm »
Quote from: TN2024 on January 06, 2005, 09:57:43 pm
Quote from: Will F.D. People on January 06, 2005, 09:12:43 pm
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
I believe Governor Warner said that it was going to be "in play".
WA HA HA HA . . .
Yes, most definetly a rediculous statement
most democrats see the state becoming closer soon, i believe the opposite will be true, VA,NC,GA,FL, andTX will soon become even greater electoral prizes and they will all be republican
Virginia is going to be a real swing state in 2008. The same margin was kept as 2000 (I know it was actually larger considering Nader) even as Bush increased his national popular vote. Virginia, along with North Carolina, are two states where Bush didn't substantially increase his popular vote.
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A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #10 on:
January 07, 2005, 01:29:11 pm »
LOL! You refuted your own point! The Nader factor wore off.
Bush INCREASED his share of the vote in Virginia to 54%.
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So the Heroes Fall
BRTD
YaBB God
Posts: 68059
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #11 on:
January 07, 2005, 01:56:06 pm »
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
im proud of my birth state.
Hardly any worse than believing that Washington was in play. Bush only did a point better in Virginia than Kerry did in Washington.
Hell, remember the people thinking Bush could pick up Vermont?
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King
intermoderate
YaBB God
Posts: 22216
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #12 on:
January 07, 2005, 06:43:02 pm »
Quote from: 21 Year Old Sex Crazed BRTD on January 07, 2005, 01:56:06 pm
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
im proud of my birth state.
Hardly any worse than believing that Washington was in play. Bush only did a point better in Virginia than Kerry did in Washington.
Hell, remember the people thinking Bush could pick up Vermont?
The GOP Convention bounce put Bush within 5 points of NY and IL, so at one point and time people thought of it...imagine if Bush had won the debates...LANDSLIDE I say...
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The Man From G.O.P.
TJN2024
YaBB God
Posts: 5474
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #13 on:
January 10, 2005, 10:32:53 pm »
Quote from: True Democrat on January 07, 2005, 01:21:44 pm
Quote from: TN2024 on January 06, 2005, 09:57:43 pm
Quote from: Will F.D. People on January 06, 2005, 09:12:43 pm
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
I believe Governor Warner said that it was going to be "in play".
WA HA HA HA . . .
Yes, most definetly a rediculous statement
most democrats see the state becoming closer soon, i believe the opposite will be true, VA,NC,GA,FL, andTX will soon become even greater electoral prizes and they will all be republican
Virginia is going to be a real swing state in 2008. The same margin was kept as 2000 (I know it was actually larger considering Nader) even as Bush increased his national popular vote. Virginia, along with North Carolina, are two states where Bush didn't substantially increase his popular vote.
you guys said that 4 years ago.........
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Alcon
Moderators
YaBB God
Posts: 31289
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #14 on:
January 11, 2005, 10:38:08 am »
Quote from: TN2024 on January 10, 2005, 10:32:53 pm
Quote from: True Democrat on January 07, 2005, 01:21:44 pm
Quote from: TN2024 on January 06, 2005, 09:57:43 pm
Quote from: Will F.D. People on January 06, 2005, 09:12:43 pm
Quote from: WalterMitty on January 06, 2005, 08:26:01 pm
remember all the talk of kerry possibly winning virginia?
I believe Governor Warner said that it was going to be "in play".
WA HA HA HA . . .
Yes, most definetly a rediculous statement
most democrats see the state becoming closer soon, i believe the opposite will be true, VA,NC,GA,FL, andTX will soon become even greater electoral prizes and they will all be republican
Virginia is going to be a real swing state in 2008. The same margin was kept as 2000 (I know it was actually larger considering Nader) even as Bush increased his national popular vote. Virginia, along with North Carolina, are two states where Bush didn't substantially increase his popular vote.
you guys said that 4 years ago.........
Virginia is very slowly trending Democrat, but it won't be a swing state in 2008 without a good, moderate populist like Bayh, in which case we won't need it. Whether it keeps trending until it becomes a battleground is impossible to know, but it will take good time.
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n/c
A18
YaBB God
Posts: 23972
Political Matrix
E: 9.23, S: -6.35
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #15 on:
January 11, 2005, 10:51:45 am »
Virginia will not go for Bayh.
The State has become more Republican in every one of the last four elections.
Logged
The Duke
JohnD.Ford
YaBB God
Posts: 9424
Political Matrix
E: 0.13, S: -1.23
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #16 on:
January 12, 2005, 03:34:19 am »
In 2096 when a Democrat finally wins VA, the Democrats here will all say "I told you it was trending Democrat!".
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Jim Valvano
Liberty
YaBB God
Posts: 1326
Re: Virginia puts Bush over top...
«
Reply #17 on:
January 13, 2005, 06:29:08 pm »
Virginia's voting record is very easily divided into 3 distinct phases. The first was from 1789 to 1820 where it merely voted for the Virginian regardless of party. This phase came to an end in 1824 when no Virginian ran. The second phase was from 1828 to 1948 where it voted for the Democrat all but 3 time (in 1860 when the Democrats had a schism, in 1872 when the carpetbaggers were in control, and in 1932 due mainly to Smith's Catholicism). This phase came to an end with the Eisenhower elections. The third and current phase began in 1952, since then it has voted Republican every time except 1964. Based on how infrequently Virginia shifts loyalties, I would say the Republicans are safe here for a few more elections.
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