Who is the stronger Not-Romney candidate: Gingrich or Santorum?
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  Who is the stronger Not-Romney candidate: Gingrich or Santorum?
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Poll
Question: The stronger Not-Romney candidate is:
#1
Newt Gingrich
 
#2
Rick Santorum
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 29

Author Topic: Who is the stronger Not-Romney candidate: Gingrich or Santorum?  (Read 436 times)
greenforest32
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« on: February 07, 2012, 11:28:21 PM »

Santorum is performing stronger than I expected

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=146561.0
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #1 on: February 07, 2012, 11:29:06 PM »

This is very obvious now.
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: February 07, 2012, 11:29:25 PM »

Whichever one Romney hasn't just spent $20 million attacking.
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King
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« Reply #3 on: February 07, 2012, 11:31:30 PM »

It's always been Santorum.  His negatives are social issues which Obama can use against him in the general, but if Romney were to try it he'd fall to single digits in the primaries.

As for the general, I think Santorum's far more populist than people give him credit for and can connect with swing voters.  I don't think it will enough to win, but he won't embarrass the party, compromise its conservative core, and set it back by delaying a stronger field in 2016.
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #4 on: February 08, 2012, 12:22:19 AM »

Santorum could pick Karen Handel as his VP. It wouldn't matter. Barring a major international incident, Obama and the economy will be the most important factors in November.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #5 on: February 08, 2012, 02:02:43 AM »

Santorum's always been stronger. Glad to see the results finally show this to be the case tonight.

Newt did well in South Carolina - but Santorum did better in South Carolina than Newt did in MN and CO.

Santorum also did better in MN than Newt in SC, and MN wasn't considered to be a significant Santorum state until tonight, whereas SC was do or die for Newt.

Also - 3 Obama states are now gone for Romney. IA, MN and CO.

365 EVs for Obama - (-7) for Iowa, (-10) for MN and (-9) for CO.

That takes Romney down to 339, -1 for NE.

338-200 for the Anti-Romney, and that includes NC.

331-207 (minus NC + UT + AK).

PA + OH + MI + WI + IN + IL is the battleground right now.  To swing the nomination away from Romney - the Anti-Romneys have to win 60 EVs from the Battleground.

PA + OH + WI + IN is enough. Even if Romney manages to hold IL and MI, he still has to win one of PA or OH or WI or IN to get to 50 percent of the delegates.

Romney just lost presumptive front runner status, as I believe he is behind in all 4 of these states. But, it's a narrow thing and certainly not a guarantee.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: February 08, 2012, 02:03:49 AM »

Whichever one Romney hasn't just spent $20 million attacking.

So true.
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