Honestly I'd be willing to consider a bet on him losing Virginia to Paul at this point. It wouldn't be any less embarrassing than many of his previous defeats.
you really shouldn't bet then bro.
Romney is like an NFL team that goes 9-7 but was good the previous year and has a solid run game and a good defense and a borderline Hall-of-Fame head coach, so you expect them to perform when the chips or down, or something. he transcends his 1-2 career record.
I'd said I'd be willing to consider a bet, not take any one. If Paul was trading at like 15% to win Virginia on InTrade (I haven't checked the actual numbers) I would definitely be willing to buy that. If it was like 20s or 30s, probably not.
The way he was crushed in Missouri is arguably a bigger upset than Virginia to Paul would be, even if the former was meaningless.