Maine results thread.

[wormyguy]

Ugh, they stole another one.  This one blatant if the Watch the Vote people can come through.

Considering than state GOP is controled by Paulites...

Uh, no.  The state convention was briefly taken over by tea partiers, who included some Paulites, but they didn't replace any of the party leadership.

[Meeker]

Paul's campaign is increasingly proving to be nothing more than a paper tiger.

[Torie]

[Mittens]is so intertwined with the private dictatorships that seek to destroy us every day,

What on Earth is this all about?  

[Grad Students are the Worst]

It's close enough that Ron Paul still has a chance at actually winning it, though.

Really?  How much is left?  If it's just a few scattered caucuses, Paul is screwed.  If this is some sort of weird "optional, some caucus sites do it" kinda thing, I guess Paul's still in it if he gets lucky.

I assume it's the former, though, since Intrade just went to like 99.9% Romney.

All of Washington County is still out, but, yeah, they aren't going to make up 200 vote margin.  Last cycle there were only 192 votes cast in that county according to what I saw earlier.

Not to mention that I wouldn't be surprised if Washington County were Romney's best county in the state.

Turnout was actually up over 2008, which is mildly hilarious.

[realisticidealist]

Worst part is that they aren't going to release the town-by-town vote until Monday.

[Thomas D]

From Twitter

PublicPolicyPolling:
You couldn't get elected UNC Student Body President with Romney's Maine vote total

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Apparently, about 16% of precincts aren't included in the straw poll, which may indicate that more than Washington County is outstanding.  Still, it'd have to be a pretty decent Paulslide.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

[shua]

So are the results just going to come all at once in one big dump? Pretty anti-climactic but I guess preferable to the Nevada mess.

Everything except Washington County will come in at once, where the caucuses were pushed back a week due to snow. If it's close, we might not know the winner until next week.

And somehow I have this instinct that Washington County is Mittens country. It's bucolic, incredibly scenic, probably relatively high income, and well salted with old line Yankees. But it's a caucus so ...

And it's a week later, so the game may be a bit different by then to boot.

It's relatively low-income, with an economy based on fish and berries.

[Nagas]

Romney did worse in a state that is in Romney's backyard, backed him with over 52% of the vote in 2008, and Romney has been running for President for 6 years.

[Torie]

It's close enough that Ron Paul still has a chance at actually winning it, though.

Really?  How much is left?  If it's just a few scattered caucuses, Paul is screwed.  If this is some sort of weird "optional, some caucus sites do it" kinda thing, I guess Paul's still in it if he gets lucky.

I assume it's the former, though, since Intrade just went to like 99.9% Romney.

Paul may not be "screwed" in the metaphysical sense. As noted in that other thread I started, he may be doing the lord's work for the "perfect" one.    It is kind of interesting how the personalities play off one another. I mean, Newt is really closest to Mittens in some ways on the issues (kind of frightening, but I said "kind of" rather than "replicates"), yet Newt and Mittens seem to loathe one another. And Mittens agrees with Paul on next to nothing, yet they seem to like and respect one another. Go figure. Meanwhile Perry hated Mittens I think mostly because he was jealous of his IQ. At least Newt had the grace not to point out just how low Perry's was.  

[Grad Students are the Worst]

Somehow I confused Washington and York Counties...Washington County is the poorest county in Maine.  Sorry.

I'm not clear on why McCain won there, but in such ridiculously self-selective caucus environments, there may not be a demographic explanation.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

This poor bastard. Let this guy win something!

[Torie]

This poor bastard. Let this guy win something!

Well Alaska and LDS-lite Wyoming are out there.

[Keystone Phil]

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

[Lіef]

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Paul will probably have a majority of delegates at the state convention.

[All life is a blur of Republicans and meat.]

Will Romney speak?

[True Federalist]

Other than more of Gingrich's supporters switching to Santorum than I expected, this was pretty much as I thought it would be, Romney squeaking a win out over Paul.  No need for me to change my predictions based on tonight's results.

[Politico]

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

[Torie]

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Paul will probably have a majority of delegates at the state convention.

Sure if Rick throws his votes to Paul.  Newt doesn't have any votes to speak of.    Mittens is not going to allow his votes to be stolen by having Paulites go to the convention that are part of his quota. His operatives are on the ground in Maine.

Of more import, is that the destruction of Newt is moving rather fast now, with his twin anemic showings at CPAC and Maine today. So the odds continue to go up, that Rick will get his rather clean shot at Mittens, muddied only by Paulites, who Mittens needs now more than ever, since I don't think many of them would gravitate to Mittens if Paul exits.

[wormyguy]

Oh, btw, over at the Ron Paul Forums, the mood is furious... at Ron Paul.  Kinda belies the whole "cult" notion.

examples:

OK, if this is true, why are we even bothering? Face it, HE HAD IOWA, but then he bungled the foreign policy question, one of my Army buddies lives there and we are both big Paul fans and he told me in his town he almost literally felt the life of the campaign be sucked out after that moment.

Ron could win, despite all the odds, I am out there talking to voters all the time, this whole "media" thing is overblown, it is Ron himself refusing to get a debate coach, you can't continue to ignore this. I do not say this to insult Ron, he is a great guy, but his speaking abilities (or inability) is killing his chances.

You know what? Why the heck should Fox give his speech air time when he never wins? In fact, I turned the TV off as soon as I saw the results. Ron stayed home yesterday and it's nobody's fault but his. At some point, the candidate has to actually, you know, campaign for the office he claims to seek. He only enters the race reluctantly, then people raise millions of dollars and spend lots of time for him. What does he do to thank them? He rests in Clute.

You are either running for president or you are just jerking off. Now you know which on Ron is doing. I'm tearing up my delegate form and saying  it. Just like he did to everyone who supports him. One stinking extra day on the trail and he might very well have gotten 200 more votes.

I have been complaining around here the last few days because the campaign cannot count on winning delegates. The party will never let someone who loses every race win the nomination. It will simply not happen. So, Ron stayed home and grasped defeat from the jaws of victory.

We had to beg him to come to NV in 2008. We got him delegates to the national convention, and he was pissed at us. Seriously. But we cut him some slack because he really didn't have a chance. But this time, he did have a chance, albeit slim, and he chose to go home. I am now going home and he can beg forgiveness from everyone he let down on his own time.

Lol, CNN cut the coverage...

Do you blame them? Ron is giving the same stump speech he's delivered after every primary.

[Keystone Phil]

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

Ok, yes, at Romney HQs, that is certainly the story. His "sweeping" victory here will carry him over all of the others just like his landslide victory helped him coast just days later in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

[MOP]

This blows. My brokered convention dreams are being snuffed out again.

Romney's just going to flatten Santorum with ads in Michigan and that's that. F**k!

Don't lose heart yet! Remember when we all thought that Romney would win South Carolina and that would be the end of it? There's still time!

[Politico]

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

Ok, yes, at Romney HQs, that is certainly the story. His "sweeping" victory here will carry him over all of the others just like his landslide victory helped him coast just days later in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

4:30-onward of this video is what we're going to do to your boy if he becomes a monstrosity like Gingrich:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3I2rDZAJQg

[Governor Scott]

All right, which one of you guys did this?