Maine results thread.

[J. J.]

Maine used to be a part of Massachusetts so this is really a home state win for Romney. Should be disregarded.

It would be, if were were talking about the 1824 election.

[Meeker]

Maine used to be a part of Massachusetts so this is really a home state win for Romney. Should be disregarded.

It would be, if were were talking about the 1824 election.

More pro-Romney spin.

[J. J.]

Maine used to be a part of Massachusetts so this is really a home state win for Romney. Should be disregarded.

It would be, if were were talking about the 1824 election.

More pro-Romney spin.

Of course, we could look at 1800, because Mormonism wouldn't be an issue. 

[Torie]

All this fuss over the opinion of 6,000 people - about 3-4 precincts in the real world. Amazing. The Atlas Forum could have just all moved to Maine, and swung the damn thing to Paul (after getting the Torie Mittbot types too stoned or smashed or both to get out of bed). Well, I already have posted my opinion of caucuses, but I guess I should say it again - they suck!

[J. J.]

It is significant because Paul was expected to win.  Romney not merely has a good showing but wins and wins the CPAC straw poll.

He wins AZ and MI, and most of the states on Super Tuesday, and this thing is over by the Ides of March.

[RI]

Town map:

[Joe Republic]

It is significant because Paul was expected to win.

No, it was hoped that Paul would win.  There hadn't been a poll in Maine since October, so nobody expected anything.

Romney not merely has a good showing but wins

... with 12% less than before.  Which continues a theme, of course.

Nobody had a good showing in Maine.  Turnout was pathetic.

[Torie]

What do the grey and the brown represent on the map?  Surely Newt didn't win anything (or did he?), so we have 4 colors but only 3 potential winners.

[RI]

What do the grey and the brown represent on the map?  Surely Newt didn't win anything (or did he?), so we have 4 colors but only 3 potential winners.

Dark grey is a tie, Light grey didn't have a caucus. I'm not sure what you mean by brown, but it's probably a high Santorum or Paul percentage town. I'm using Dave's color scheme.

Newt won four towns (he's blue) and "Other" won one (dark purple).

[Hatman 🍁]

What do the grey and the brown represent on the map?  Surely Newt didn't win anything (or did he?), so we have 4 colors but only 3 potential winners.

Dark grey is a tie, Light grey didn't have a caucus. I'm not sure what you mean by brown, but it's probably a high Santorum or Paul percentage town. I'm using Dave's color scheme.

Newt won four towns (he's blue) and "Other" won one (dark purple).

Who is other?

What do the grey and the brown represent on the map?  Surely Newt didn't win anything (or did he?), so we have 4 colors but only 3 potential winners.

Considering how low some of the numbers are, it is conceivable that Gingrich carried a few towns with a couple of voters.

[RI]

The Maine GOP hasn't broken down was "Other" means, but it could be Uncommitted or anyone really (maybe Huntsman?). "Other" randomly carried the town of Otis, where it got all 3 votes.

The towns Gingrich won were Deer Isle (6 of 19 votes), Hiram (2 of 5 votes), Medway (1 of 1 vote), and St. Albans (3 of 4 votes).

[they don't love you like i love you]

Meh. I'm upset at losing the points and the fact that Paul won't have any states on the map most likely, but I don't think this changes anything as far as the race for the nom goes. Paul was never a threat to Romney and I was always predicting he'll limp to the nomination.

[MaxQue]

Medway (1 of 1 vote).

So much for the secrecy of votes...

[Hatman 🍁]

so, did most of Washington County not vote yet?

[MaxQue]

so, did most of Washington County not vote yet?

Yes, they reported to vote to the next week due to snow falls.

[Alcon]

It is significant because Paul was expected to win. 

Not really.  Intrade had Romney up in Maine until this afternoon, when Paul was "expected to win" for a few hours.

[tpfkaw]

A member of the Ron Paul forums had this to say on 2/05:

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He followed it up today:

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[Tender Branson]

Ah yeah, about what I expected ...

2 more points for my predictions I think. Is it certain that Romney won't get more than 40% ?

Now 2 and 1/2 weeks of "vacation" ...

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

It was probably stolen.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

It was probably stolen.

I hope your not being sarcastic, because I agree.

[Averroës Nix]

As I said earlier, so many Paul ballots have been thrown into so many rivers that he's bound to win a few coastal states.

Anyway, after months of hearing about Ron Paul's enthusiasm and organization, we've seen that he's incapable of meaningfully increasing turnout among his supporters even his best states. He should dominate low-turnout caucuses, but we've discovered that it's unlikely he'll be able to top 1/3 of the vote even in contests like these.

"Ninja delegates" or no, he's not generating the coverage that he could with a win, and his campaign is doomed to wither if he cannot manage tahat.

[BigSkyBob]

Gentlemen, please. Nothing serious here from Romney and the usual from Paul. Move along now.

Romney has more delegates and just as many states as the fiscally counterfeit conservative, so that's the story now.

Here's a story for you. During one of Lou Gehrig's last games there was a slow grounder hit toward the hole between first base and second. Gehrig covered the base, the picture fielded the ball, and slowly tossed it underhand to Gehrig. Gehrig caught the ball forcing out the batter.
The pitcher and second baseball rushed to tell Lou "good job!" It was a routine play.
 
What we saw in Maine was the pathetic spectacle of a has-been politician nearly blowing a certain victory to a man whom, presumably, believes it should be legal to serve dog at restaurants!

[tpfkaw]

Hah, the Washington County caucus was delayed exactly until the University of Maine at Mathias was on break.  Nothing to see here...

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Hah, the Washington County caucus was delayed exactly until the University of Maine at Mathias was on break.  Nothing to see here...

I think Paul and Santorum will still improve their showing compared to Romney.

[Alcon]

Per @fivethirtyeight:

"Maine neglected to count results from caucuses in Waterville, and Waldo County, which were strong for Paul in 2008."

Bangor Daily Nwes - "Pressure mounting for GOP caucus reconsideration"
http://bangordailynews.com/2012/02/14/politics/elections/pressure-mounting-for-gop-caucus-reconsideration/