Maine Prediction Thread

[Torie]

Romney - 100
Paul - 0
Santorum - 0
Gingrich - 0

Don't think this will be the result. Sarcasm dully noted.

It kind of reflects my opinion of predicting caucus results, particularly if there are not some reliable polls out there. It is sort of like predicting what kind of trouble I will successfully find two weeks hence.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Paul - 38
Romney - 37
Santorum - 15
Gingrich - 8

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Momentum means less especially in Maine because it's a week-long primary process.

[Averroës Nix]

42% Paul
37% Mittens
13% Santorum
8% Gingrich
 

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Maybe Romney will surprise us all...

Romney 38%
Paul 32%
Santorum 21%
Gingrich 9%

If Santorum gets into the 20% territory, Paul wins, not Romney.

I'm going to go with:

Romney:38%
Paul:37%
Santorum:15%
Gingrich: 10%

If all the caucuses were happening tomorrow, I think Paul would win it because of Romney support that would shift to Santorum:

Paul: 37%
Romney: 36%
Santorum:18%
Gingrich: 9%

Not much of a shift, but some of the people who caucused for Romney as the anti-Paul would likely have caucused for Santorum had they known how well he was gonna do last Tuesday.

[Reginald]

Romney 38%
Paul 34%
Santorum 17%
Gingrich 9%

[Tender Branson]

40% Romney
32% Paul
15% Santorum
13% Gingrich

[© tweed]

Gingrich 52
Paul 20
Romney 18
Perry 7
Santorum 2
Cain 1

[Eraserhead]

Gingrich 52
Paul 20
Romney 18
Perry 7
Santorum 2
Cain 1

I'd support those results.

[Niemeyerite]

Paul 39%
Romney 35%
Santorum 19%
Gingrich 7%

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Non-rounded prediction:

Paul: 43%
Romney: 36%
Santorum: 13%
Gingrich: 8%

[Thomas D]

Paul 39
Romney 34
Santorum 18
Newt 8

[Volrath50]

I'm going to predict a Santorum win, so that I look particularly awesome in the event he pulls off a huge upset again.

Santorum 32
Paul 30
Romney 28
Gingrich 10

[Oakvale]

I don't know or really care (it's Maine, come on), but I'll just take a wild guess.

Romney: 38%
Paul: 34%
Santorum: 20%
Gingrich: 6%
Staph infection: 2%

[Eraserhead]

Why's there so much Maine hate?

[Volrath50]

Why's there so much Maine hate?

Maine's one of my favorite states, because it reminds me of New Brunswick, where my family is from. :-/

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Why's there so much Maine hate?

No polls, probably.

[Beet]

I think it's going to be close

Romney 35
Paul 33
Santorum 24
Gingrich 6

[Beet]

I could be way underestimating Paul. It all depends on how representative Androscoggin county is of the state-wide shift.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

1. Paul/Romney
2. Romney/Paul
3. Santorum
4. Gingrich

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

1. Paul/Romney
2. Romney/Paul
3. Santorum
4. Gingrich

Well aren't you adventurous

[Oakvale]

I don't know or really care (it's Maine, come on), but I'll just take a wild guess.

Romney: 38%
Paul: 34%
Santorum: 20%
Gingrich: 6%
Staph infection: 2%

Heh, I overestimated the staph infection and slightly underestimated Paul, but I'm pretty happy with this.

[Yelnoc]

I'm not going to bother with numbers, but I have a feeling Paul will disappoint.

Called it

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

1. Paul/Romney
2. Romney/Paul
3. Santorum
4. Gingrich

I may or may not have been right!

[TheGlobalizer]

Romney - 100
Paul - 0
Santorum - 0
Gingrich - 0

In terms of earned media and the "takeaway", this ends up being the closest answer.