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| | |-+  2004: Mission Accomplished!
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Author Topic: 2004: Mission Accomplished!  (Read 4524 times)
IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #75 on: May 28, 2014, 06:16:37 pm »
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Owens picks Alexander for VP



Presidential Poll (End of First Week of September)
48% Edwards/Obama
47% Owens/Alexander

September 7th, 2008 - A little over a week earlier, Owens finally revealed his VP choice, and it turned out to be his late choice, Tennessee Senator Lamar Alexander. Doubling down on a moderate image, Alexander brings to the ticket loads and loads of experience, both in the executive branch and the legislative branch. In his speech, he went after the administration for their legislative agenda, calling all of it "a distraction, a bunch of far left pipe dreams". He's a surprising pick, and doesn't add much to the ticket electorally, but most observers see Alexander as someone who would be a strong Vice President.

The Republican National Convention went better than the Democratic one. Heavily critical of the administration, they jabbed the administrations attempts at accomplishments, and championed a more moderate vision for healthcare reform. As soon as Governor Owens spoke, he shed the image of a gaffe machine quickly, with a speech that knocked out the park wonkish details about the economy, healthcare, entitlements, and the infrastructure system. Talk radio wasn't especially happy about the speech, but overall, the convention strongly boosted Owens chances.

Leading up to the debates, Edwards started to sink more and more. The economy continually tanking, both the Housing and the Automotive industry falling apart. The Edwards administration is keen on passing a Wall Street Bailout, against the wishes of several key Democrats. Still, the President is leveraging his link to several Republican moderates to pass the key piece of legislation. Owens and Alexander both support a bailout of Wall Street. Edwards has also tacked a more populist route to go even further, pushing a plan to bailout all people who were hurt in the Housing crisis, proposing the government take up all of their bad debt. Owens has criticized the plan as a "desperate attempt to gain points" and "completely unrealistic and would do significant harm to the national debt"



New Jersey Senate Poll
49% Fmr. Congressman Dick Zimmer (R)
44% Congressman Rob Andrews (D)

Congressman Rob Andrews continues to be one of the worst candidates in New Jersey history, and the worst candidate of the 2008 field. CREW has endorsed Former Congressman Dick Zimmer for the Senate seat in New Jersey, as well as several Democratic publications in the state of New Jersey. Ethical questions continue to pile on the Congressman, including a misuse of campaign funds for trips to Scotland and Los Angeles. Democrats are bailing on his candidacy because of his record - voting to ban flag burning, voting to invade Iraq, and even signing Grover Norquist's Taxpayer Pledge. Consistently offending people of both sides, Zimmer has been winning the election by merely existing.
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Speaker Spiral
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« Reply #76 on: May 28, 2014, 06:43:22 pm »
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How long are you planning on continuing this on for?
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #77 on: May 28, 2014, 07:32:32 pm »
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How long are you planning on continuing this on for?

It's never consistent, I usually quit these things in the middle, but I hope 2016 Presidential ends it, hopefully with a little epilogue.
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #78 on: May 28, 2014, 08:37:13 pm »
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The Debates - Overshadowed by Hard Economic Times



First Debate - 58% Owens, 40% Edwards
VP Debate - 56% Alexander, 35% Obama
Second Debate - 55% Edwards, 42% Owens
Third Debate (DRAW) - 48% Edwards, 48% Owens

Edwards Approval Rating
42% Approve
57% Disapprove

Presidential Poll (Late October)
53% Owens/Alexander
44% Edwards/Obama

October 2008 - The debates proved to be a hard affair, both for President John Edwards and Senator Barack Obama. In the first debate and the VP debate, Owens and Alexander clobbered the team over their record and pushed their own ideas of a large scale infrastructure push, a moderate healthcare reform package, and a tax overhaul program, while knocking the President's idea to bailout every single person in debt thanks to the housing crisis. The President seemed tired and impatient, almost as if he wanted to get out. Obama seemed to ramble endlessly in a professerly way, while Alexanders answers were sharp.

Even when Edwards knocked Owens out in the second debate, the economy started to crater tremendously. After passing the Alexander amended Auto Bailout, Wall Street began to fall even harder. Even with his foreign policy successes, Edwards approval ratings cratered to their lowest level since before the primaries. Owens was right all along: the polling was the most volatile we've seen since the 80s. It looked like Owens and Alexander were headed to the White House, which turned our attention to Senate races...



Virginia Senate Poll
48% Fmr. Governor Mark Warner (D)
48% Governor Tom Davis (R)

When Mark Warner originally planned on running for Senate, I bet he couldn't imagine having another incredibly tough race. Against all other opponents, Warner led by 10 or more, even Former Governor Jim Gilmore and Senator George Allen. However, when incredibly popular Governor Tom Davis decided to run, the pot was shook up and we saw the most competitive race for Virginia Senate since, well, the last time Warner went up against Warner. The two have been within the margin of error the entire race, battling with eachothers records, and it looks as though they are equally matched. Many headlines are calling Mark Warner's campaign for Senate the best campaign of the year, but we will see whether the campaign can pull off a victory in a deeply Republican year.



Arkansas Senate Poll
51% Fmr. Governor Mike Huckabee (R)
46% Senator Mark Pryor (D)

Another strong Democratic campaign is that of Senator Mark Pryor, who has spent the year hard defending his seat against Former Governor Mike Huckabee. Still, at every point, he trails the Governor, even when he's outspending him 2-1, and running vigorously across the state. Voters have seen the economic crash and are looking to boot Mark Pryor as a result of the crash, deciding to change horses after the first term.
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #79 on: May 29, 2014, 10:09:35 pm »
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Owens to defeat Edwards





Former Governor Bill Owens (R-CO)/Senator Lamar Alexander (R-TN) - 52.1%, 331 EV's
President John Edwards (D-NC)/Senator Barack Obama (R-IL) - 46.6%, 207 EV's
Others - 1.3%, 0 EV's

After Wisconsin was called for Owens surprisingly earlier, things were basically over for the President. As expected, Edwards culled most of the undecideds in the end, but the economy basically sunk any chance Edwards had of being re-elected (and his approval numbers are only heading downward).

Senate races on the edge were largely pulled by Owens strong coat-tails. The biggest case of that was Tom Davis in Virginia, who was tied or within the margin of error with Mark Warner the entire race. He won by less than a percent, no doubt helped by the Owens ticket's significant margin in the state. Similar South Dakota, where Kristi Noem pulled ahead of Tim Johnson, even as the Johnson campaign had pulled to a lead in the last week of polling.

In the run-off for Lousiana Senator, Mary Landrieu will be facing Congressman Rodney Alexander. Democrats were hoping to face John N. Kennedy for the seat, but with Alexander with the nomination, Democrats find it hard to believe that Landrieu can pull it out. Count this one as an extra seat for the Republicans. Owens is within range of having a Super Majority.

Alaska - 48.9% Ted Stevens, 48.3% Mark Begich
Arkansas - 50.3% Mike Huckabee, 48.6% Mark Pryor
Colorado - 53.3% Wayne Allard, 45.4% Mark Udall
Iowa - 49.6% David Young, 49.4% Tom Harkin
Lousiana - 41.4% Mary Landrieu, 26.7% Rodney Alexander, 17.4% John Kennedy, 14.5% Jay Dardenne
Michigan - 50.5% Carl Levin, 48.4% Terri Land
Minnesota - 47.4% Norm Coleman, 38.8% Al Franken, 13.8% Dean Barkley
Montana - 55.9% Denny Rehberg, 42.2% Pat Williams
New Hampshire - 57.6% John Sununu, 40.2% Sylvia Larsen
New Jersey - 48.4% Dick Zimmer, 44.7% Rob Andrews, 6.1% Tom Glick
New Mexico - 51.8% Tom Udall, 47.3% Steve Pearce
Oregon - 58.9% Gordon Smith, 38.2% Steve Novick
South Dakota - 49.7% Kristi Noem, 49.3% Tim Johnson
Virginia - 49.3% Tom Davis, 48.7% Mark Warner
West Virginia - 53.2% Shelley Moore Capito, 45.4% Jay Rockefeller

Senate
59 Republicans
39 Democrats
1 Independent
1 Seat Still in Contention
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« Reply #80 on: May 29, 2014, 10:12:27 pm »
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Great!!!
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Clinton1996
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« Reply #81 on: May 29, 2014, 10:19:00 pm »
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And Obama probably killed his chances in 2012 by becoming associated with Edwards.
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« Reply #82 on: May 29, 2014, 10:19:26 pm »
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And Obama probably killed his chances in 2012 by becoming associated with Edwards.

Eh
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Economic: -6.32
Social: -4.17

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« Reply #83 on: May 30, 2014, 12:05:22 am »
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Essentially a flip from RL - interested to see what Republicans do with the Presidency and filibuster-proof majority in the Senate.
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Upset: Hogan wins in Maryland
Bold Prediction: Deal wins outright, avoiding a runoff
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« Reply #84 on: May 30, 2014, 08:59:22 am »
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God damn Mark Warner: you choked the Senate seat away.....AGAIN.

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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #85 on: May 30, 2014, 01:39:55 pm »
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December 2008 - the Run-Off


In the weeks leading to the run-off, many expected Congressman Rodney Alexander to run away with the election. What actually happened was Mary Landrieu ran the strongest campaign anyone could run in 4 weeks. She criticized Alexanders party switch, knocked his connections to lobbyists and Governor Jindal, and made a strong case for her staying in the Senate due to her increasing seniority and stances on Lousiana's energy future. In the first count, Mary Landrieu was actually ahead by 498 votes.

Louisiana Senate Results (First Count)
711,464 Votes - Senator Mary Landrieu
710,966 Votes - Congressman Rodney Alexander

However, both candidates agreed to a recount, and that recount noticed a missing couple thousand votes and those votes put Congressman Rodney Alexander ahead by 112.

Louisiana Senate Results (First Count)
713,013 Votes - Congressman Rodney Alexander
712,901 Votes - Senator Mary Landrieu

The Senator will be challenging the result all the way to the Lousiana Supreme Court, where it looks the winner of the election will not be inaugurated in time, and as a result, the seat will remain vacant until a winner is declared.

In the mists of the Economic Crash, President Edwards has signed the auto bailout and the Wall Street bailout, both measures that the President claims will help to fix the economy. Economic Conservatives in the Republican Party fears these measures only prop up a failing business that is destined to fail, but Governor Owens and Senator Alexander, moving to the White House, both approve of these measures and are willing to go along with them. Governor Owens has produced a plan to get the economy off the ground using tax credits and infrastructure spending, which has some members of both parties going after it.
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #86 on: May 31, 2014, 08:39:21 pm »
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January 2009 - Inauguration, Cabinet Fights



Bill Owens, 45th President of the United States

Cabinet Nominees
Secretary of State - Robert Kagan
Secretary of Treasury - [new nominee next month]
Secretary of Defense - Deborah Wong Yang
Secretary of Interior - James Geringer
Secretary of Agriculture - Ed Schafer
Secretary of Commerce - [new nominee next month]
HHS Secretary - Mike Leavitt
HUD Secretary - Steven Preston
Secretary of Transportation - Ray LaHood
Secretary of Energy - Samuel Bodman
Secretary of Education - Phil Handy
EPA Administrator - Stephen Johnson
Secretary of VA - Zell Miller
U.N. Ambassador - Jon Huntsman

President Owens Approval
60% Approve
23% Disapprove

Treasury and Commerce nominees withdraw nominations






The President's strong majorities in the Senate allowed for him to have a large leeway with his nominees. However, two candidates managed to offend the large segment of Republican moderates: Former Senator Phil Gramm for Treasury Secretary and Wall Streeter and GOP insider Jesse Eisenberg for Commerce Secretary. When Gramm was nominated, the New York Times published an article, pointing Gramm's actions in the Senate and the actions of wall street as a major cause for the recession. This caused a firestorm in the Senate, and many people putting pressure on their Senators to defeat Gramm and Eisenberg. The first Republican Senator to stand against the nominee was Hawaii Senator Linda Lingle, who called on the President to withdraw the nominees and pick two people that would "do right by the American people". Following her lead was Senators Weld, Zimmer, Kean, Cannon, and Davis. The dominoes fell, and after that the nomination looked impossible, and both candidates were withdrawn.

Besides those embarrassing defeats, the Presidents nominations went through swiftly and quietly. His approvals took a small hit due to the process, but Americans largely looked upon the President favorably.

Cannon challengers already announce



"Chris Cannon has not represented us in the Senate, and when Senators don't represent the people, they deserve the boot! I am running for the Senate so that the people of Utah have a voice."

Utah Republican Primary
38% Senator Chris Cannon
20% Businessman Tim Bridgewater
14% Attorney Mike Lee
11% State Rep. Nolan Karras
5% Others
12% Undecided

Utah Senator Chris Cannon's record has been one of deep bipartisanship and moderation. Writing an entitlement reform bill with Ron Wyden, voting for the new War on Poverty, and supporting an active reform of the immigration system, and has angered his fellow Republicans. He only beats his biggest opponent, Businessman Tim Bridgewater, by 18 points, and trails the anti-Cannon vote by 12. Utah is so Republican that the Democrats don't have much of a shot at winning, but Cannon is going to have trouble holding his seat.
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #87 on: May 31, 2014, 10:39:54 pm »
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Governor Bolling out, A.G. Bob McDonnell in


Virginia Democratic Primary
39% Fmr. Lt. Gov. Tim Kaine
21% Delegate Brian Moran
4% Attorney Tom Perriello

Virginia General Election Match-Ups
46% A.G. Bob McDonnell v. 40% Fmr. Lt. Gov. Tim Kaine
47% A.G. Bob McDonnell v. 38% Brian Moran
45% A.G. Bob McDonnell v. 33% Tom Perriello

February 2009 - Democrats are looking at the trends in Virginia very positively, and yet the most well known candidate and the one leading the Democratic primary is failed candidate Tim Kaine, who ran and lost the Virginia Gubernatorial race to now-Senator Tom Davis. Many are questioning Kaine's ability to win a general election, and in the primary he faces competition from Brian Moran and little known attorney Tom Perriello. Either way, Democrats trail popular Attorney General Bob McDonnell by varying margins.

The big news today is Governor Bill Bolling, who announced he would not seek the Governors spot. He faced pressure from Republicans wanting to put Bob McDonnell, perceived to be more conservative and a better candidate, in. While he leads now, the curse of the Presidency may haunt Virginia.

Corzine trails Major Republican Opponents



Gov. Corzine Approval Rating
28% Approve
62% Disapprove

Republican Primary
49% U.S. Attorney Chris Christie
28% Mayor Steve Lonegan
4% City Councilor Bob Schroeder
3% Assemblyman Rick Merkt

General Election Match-Ups
40% Governor Jon Corzine v. 47% U.S. Attorney Chris Christie
42% Governor Jon Corzine v. 44% Mayor Steve Lonegan

February 2009 - Governor Jon Corzine is one of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Despite that, he runs unopposed in the Democratic Primary due to his massive money advantage. He may be a Governor going down in November when you look at his poll numbers. He trails both Attorney Chris Christie and Mayor Steve Lonegan. Other candidates are irrelevant due to their polling numbers and their ability to get them up, so basically the race between Lonegan and Christie will determine who gets to be Governor. Should this race be decided in favor of the Republicans, New Jersey will be the only state with two Republican Senators and a Republican Governor that voted for the Democratic Presidential candidate in the last two elections.
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #88 on: June 02, 2014, 10:08:07 pm »
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Unemployment hits 9.0%!

Owens taps Columbia Business Dean Glenn Hubbard for Treasury Secretary


March 2009 - After a damaging rejection of Phil Gramm for Treasury Secretary, the Owens administration decided to ease up. In a bipartisan move, the administration kept Democratic Commerce Secretary Jim Johnson on for another year. However, the Republican President decided to off current Treasury Secretary Roger Altman in favor of Former Bush Administrator Glenn Hubbard. Hubbard, with his academic credentials, is considered a far less controversial nominee, and is expected to easily pass the Senate.

The Hubbard hearings go well, and in spite of some Republicans backing away from him due to the recent actions of the administration, he is approved by a vote of 81-18, with 3 Republicans and 15 Democrats voting against him.

Meanwhile, the administration has voiced the need for economic stimulus. The proposal currently being pushed for the administration by Senators Grassley and McConnell, with the help of Vice President Alexander. The bill calls for increased infrastructure spending, tax credits for small businesses, and money for works projects in each district. Democrats are opposing the bill, calling it piecemeal and "a waste of money that doesn't get results we need". Meanwhile, Republicans are facing fallout for their keeping of Johnson, and the conservative wing of the party, with Senators Sessions, Martinez, Brownback, Vitter, and Rehberg opposing the bill for going too far on the spending side. The President needs a strong coalition, and its looking more and more difficult to see one.

The same month that Social Security reform was rejected on the floor of the Senate by an overwhelming margin. Republican moderates, a new large number in the Senate, have voted with a large portion of Democrats to reject The Cannon-Bowles Social Security Reform Act. The bill proved to be one of the most unpopular pieces of legislation ever, and more and more Senators revoked their previous support of the bill. The bill was used by Democrats to attack Republican opponents, but noting the help of Senator Bowles, the attack lacked potency. More Republicans than Democrats voted for the bill, but Democrats voted for it in large block - Senators Carper, Bowles, Bayh, Carson, Lieberman, Wyden, and Nelson backed the legislation, along with some 30 Republicans.

Bayh numbers dip, Primary challengers ready to go



Indiana Democratic Primary
48% Senator Evan Bayh
27% Congressman Andre Carson

Evan Bayh's approval rating has dropped dramatically over his vote for Social Security Reform, causing him to fall to a potential primary challenge. He leads by 21, but the signs aren't good for him - he's already under 50 in a Democratic Primary. Should he fall further, and with campaigns that's likely, and we could see him beat by Andre Carson, a freshman congressman.  Should Carson win the primary, it looks like the seat is a surefire loss for the Democrats in most cases.
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MadmanMotley
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« Reply #89 on: June 02, 2014, 11:37:29 pm »
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Bayh numbers dip, Primary challengers ready to go



Indiana Democratic Primary
48% Senator Evan Bayh
27% Congressman Andre Carson

Evan Bayh's approval rating has dropped dramatically over his vote for Social Security Reform, causing him to fall to a potential primary challenge. He leads by 21, but the signs aren't good for him - he's already under 50 in a Democratic Primary. Should he fall further, and with campaigns that's likely, and we could see him beat by Andre Carson, a freshman congressman.  Should Carson win the primary, it looks like the seat is a surefire loss for the Democrats in most cases.
Boy this looks awfully familiar...
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IDS Emperor Maxwell
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« Reply #90 on: June 02, 2014, 11:51:18 pm »
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shh... don't tell anyone
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