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| | |-+  Leanne Wood AM (Plaid, South Wales Central) goes for broke
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Author Topic: Leanne Wood AM (Plaid, South Wales Central) goes for broke  (Read 460 times)
Harry Hayfield
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« on: November 19, 2012, 03:55:21 am »
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Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood has confirmed she is considering standing for the Rhondda constituency in the 2016 assembly elections.
(Source: BBC The Wales Report)

Rhondda Assembly Election Results 1999 - 2011
1997 General Election: Lab 74% Plaid 13% Lib Dem 6% Con 4% Referendum Party 2% Green 1%
1999 Assembly Election: Plaid 49% Lab 41% Lib Dem 5% Ind 3% Con 3%
2003 Assembly Election: Lab 62% Plaid 27% Ind 4% Lib Dem 3% UKIP 2% Con 2%
2007 Assembly Election: Lab 58% Plaid 30% Lib Dem 7% Con 5%
2011 Assembly Election: Lab 63% Plaid 30% Con 5% Lib Dem 2%

In order to gain Rhondda, Plaid need a swing of 16.83%. I believe that this swing is too much for Plaid and as a result believe that the Liberal Democrats will be able to take advantage of this and plan a double attack. Firstly in Ceredigion where Elin Jones is the Assembly Member but only has a majority of 1,777 (6.11%) and secondly on the Mid and West Wales regional list where Simon Thomas is top of the Plaid list and only requires a 0.8% swing from Plaid to remove him from the Assembly (thus at a stroke removing the leader of Plaid from the Assembly and the two people most able to take over in the event of LeAnne resigning)
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Acting like I'm Morrissey w/o the wit
Leftbehind
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« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2012, 04:04:42 am »
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lol at the thought that the Liberals could attack anything at present.

Seems a little desperate of her, like she's doing it to appease a need for advancement within the party.
« Last Edit: November 19, 2012, 04:06:25 am by Leftbehind »Logged

joevsimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2012, 02:33:42 pm »
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a courageous decision, as Sir Humpy would say,

was '99 not special circumstances to do with labour shafting Rhodri Morgan in favour of the now PCC for South Wales?

I assume the recent HoC results are even worse for Plaid
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #3 on: November 19, 2012, 04:24:33 pm »
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There was also a major local scandal involving a waste tip; Labour's results in all RCT constituencies were appalling in 1999 and that seems to have been a factor.
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Lewis Trondheim
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« Reply #4 on: November 20, 2012, 01:46:30 pm »
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Are those the direct or the list vote results?
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #5 on: November 20, 2012, 02:17:12 pm »
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Are those the direct or the list vote results?

Those are the constituency results in the Rhondda constituency.
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MrMittens
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« Reply #6 on: November 20, 2012, 02:21:24 pm »
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Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood has confirmed she is considering standing for the Rhondda constituency in the 2016 assembly elections.
(Source: BBC The Wales Report)

Rhondda Assembly Election Results 1999 - 2011
1997 General Election: Lab 74% Plaid 13% Lib Dem 6% Con 4% Referendum Party 2% Green 1%
1999 Assembly Election: Plaid 49% Lab 41% Lib Dem 5% Ind 3% Con 3%
2003 Assembly Election: Lab 62% Plaid 27% Ind 4% Lib Dem 3% UKIP 2% Con 2%
2007 Assembly Election: Lab 58% Plaid 30% Lib Dem 7% Con 5%
2011 Assembly Election: Lab 63% Plaid 30% Con 5% Lib Dem 2%

In order to gain Rhondda, Plaid need a swing of 16.83%. I believe that this swing is too much for Plaid and as a result believe that the Liberal Democrats will be able to take advantage of this and plan a double attack. Firstly in Ceredigion where Elin Jones is the Assembly Member but only has a majority of 1,777 (6.11%) and secondly on the Mid and West Wales regional list where Simon Thomas is top of the Plaid list and only requires a 0.8% swing from Plaid to remove him from the Assembly (thus at a stroke removing the leader of Plaid from the Assembly and the two people most able to take over in the event of LeAnne resigning)


Those election results make me very sad Sad
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Sibboleth
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« Reply #7 on: November 20, 2012, 02:27:41 pm »
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List results for the Rhondda in 2011 were: Labour 54.6%, Plaid 24.5%, Tories 4.3%, SLP 3.7%, UKIP 3.3%, Greens 2.5%, LibDems 2.2%
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Kitteh
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« Reply #8 on: November 20, 2012, 09:50:39 pm »
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List results for the Rhondda in 2011 were: Labour 54.6%, Plaid 24.5%, Tories 4.3%, SLP 3.7%, UKIP 3.3%, Greens 2.5%, LibDems 2.2%

LMAO @ the LibDems.

Quote
Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood has confirmed she is considering standing for the Rhondda constituency in the 2016 assembly elections.
(Source: BBC The Wales Report)

Rhondda Assembly Election Results 1999 - 2011
1997 General Election: Lab 74% Plaid 13% Lib Dem 6% Con 4% Referendum Party 2% Green 1%
1999 Assembly Election: Plaid 49% Lab 41% Lib Dem 5% Ind 3% Con 3%
2003 Assembly Election: Lab 62% Plaid 27% Ind 4% Lib Dem 3% UKIP 2% Con 2%
2007 Assembly Election: Lab 58% Plaid 30% Lib Dem 7% Con 5%
2011 Assembly Election: Lab 63% Plaid 30% Con 5% Lib Dem 2%

In order to gain Rhondda, Plaid need a swing of 16.83%. I believe that this swing is too much for Plaid and as a result believe that the Liberal Democrats will be able to take advantage of this and plan a double attack. Firstly in Ceredigion where Elin Jones is the Assembly Member but only has a majority of 1,777 (6.11%) and secondly on the Mid and West Wales regional list where Simon Thomas is top of the Plaid list and only requires a 0.8% swing from Plaid to remove him from the Assembly (thus at a stroke removing the leader of Plaid from the Assembly and the two people most able to take over in the event of LeAnne resigning)


Those election results make me very sad Sad

It's the Welsh Valleys. That's the British equivalent of being sad that the Republicans didn't win the Bronx.
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This thread reminds me that I should be somewhere else having sex.

Why is the cat freak lady registered in the Pacific?
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