Police Commisioner Elections : November 2012
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  Police Commisioner Elections : November 2012
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Author Topic: Police Commisioner Elections : November 2012  (Read 23141 times)
alexmanu
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« Reply #100 on: November 04, 2012, 12:51:17 PM »

I expect a very low voter turnout for this.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #101 on: November 04, 2012, 02:07:15 PM »

I expect a very low voter turnout for this.

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Andrew1
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« Reply #102 on: November 04, 2012, 02:26:35 PM »

Ipsos-MORI have done a poll on the Police Commissioner Elections

http://www.ipsos-mori.com/Assets/Docs/Polls/crime-police-and-crime-commissioners-poll-topline-2012.pdf

Voting intention:
Ind* 30%
Lab 16%
Con 8%
LD 4%
UKIP 1%
Would not vote 27%
Don't know 11%

* Exact wording: "A candidate that is not representing a political party"

38% said they had not even heard of these elections

On a 1-10 scale of likelihood to vote, only 15% answered 10 (absolutely certain to vote)
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Andrea
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« Reply #103 on: November 08, 2012, 08:32:41 AM »

Asil Nadir has been found guilty. This has interesting implications for the election in Hampshire...

The local drama seems to be focused on "where Mates really lives?"
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/michael-mates-police-poll-fraud-1424253
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #104 on: November 14, 2012, 06:44:53 PM »

On Twitter this evening Vaughan Roderick (BBC Cymru Welsh politics expert) said that he expects somewhere in Wales to set a new low turnout record (currently at 9%). If one place were to break that then Ceredigion would be a prime candidate. In the local elections there were just 2,000 Con and Lab votes (out of an electorate of 64,000).
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YL
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« Reply #105 on: November 15, 2012, 02:42:30 AM »

Time for a bit of nose holding, I think.
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Phony Moderate
Obamaisdabest
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« Reply #106 on: November 15, 2012, 11:45:18 AM »

Just voted. Only one other voter in the station (while I was there), who seemed to be confused about the voting system.
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #107 on: November 15, 2012, 11:59:01 AM »

I was the 24th voter at around midday (which led me to project a 9% turnout at the end of the day). Our polling station is roughly average for Ceredigion (so it's not looking promising)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #108 on: November 15, 2012, 12:39:11 PM »

Just voted. Only one other voter in the station (while I was there), who seemed to be confused about the voting system.

There was another voter in your polling station? Remarkable.
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Leftbehind
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« Reply #109 on: November 15, 2012, 12:46:42 PM »

That is actually the first anecdote I've came across that didn't have the polling station empty beyond them and staff.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #110 on: November 15, 2012, 12:51:31 PM »

My local polling station in the Avon & Somerset area had 10% turnout by 5pm. Polling stations in the area generally seemed deserted.

Turnout may be higher in Bristol due to the Mayoral election, so we may possibly get up to around 20% turnout overall in Avon & Somerset.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #111 on: November 15, 2012, 01:15:21 PM »

Just voted. Only one other voter in the station (while I was there), who seemed to be confused about the voting system.

There was another voter in your polling station? Remarkable.

What's even more remarkable is the fact that she wasn't white.
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YL
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« Reply #112 on: November 15, 2012, 01:30:18 PM »

Just voted. Only one other voter in the station (while I was there), who seemed to be confused about the voting system.

There was another voter in your polling station? Remarkable.

There were actually two in mine when I voted this morning, though it looked deserted when I walked past just now.  From a quick glance at the sheet it looked like early turnout was worse than for a normal local election but not completely horrendous.  (This is a fairly high turnout area.)
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #113 on: November 15, 2012, 05:03:10 PM »

Polls are now closed, and no one cares. Not even a mention on the Sky News headlines.
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tomm_86
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« Reply #114 on: November 15, 2012, 06:15:08 PM »
« Edited: November 15, 2012, 06:17:09 PM by Bro-mentum »

There were two other voters when I spoiled my ballot at my polling station at 6pm. I should mention this is in a high turnout area..
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #115 on: November 15, 2012, 08:04:02 PM »

Reports of polling stations with no votes cast in some areas.
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Andrew1
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« Reply #116 on: November 15, 2012, 08:06:50 PM »

In Avon & Somerset the Independent is clearly ahead, with around 40% of first preferences, and seems very likely to win tomorrow

Turnout is around 18%
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YL
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« Reply #117 on: November 16, 2012, 02:42:54 AM »

Wiltshire was the only area to count overnight. The Tory won fairly easily, but turnout was under 16%.  I'd have thought that would have been one of the higher ones; what's Merseyside going to be?
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #118 on: November 16, 2012, 05:26:50 AM »

Some more turnout news
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Andrew1
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« Reply #119 on: November 16, 2012, 06:30:52 AM »

Wiltshire was the only area to count overnight. The Tory won fairly easily, but turnout was under 16%. 

Inds/UKIP got 30% but it was split three ways. Areas with only one Independent will see them do very well.

According to the Bournemouth Echo the Independent is well ahead in Dorset.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #120 on: November 16, 2012, 06:53:13 AM »

Yes, I think a lot of independents are likely to benefit from a general feeling that this sort of thing ought not be 'political'.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #121 on: November 16, 2012, 07:10:19 AM »

Can we just abolish these posts now to save bothering with it later?
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Silent Hunter
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« Reply #122 on: November 16, 2012, 09:21:02 AM »

From early results, there has been a significant (2-4%) number of spoiled ballots.
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tomm_86
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« Reply #123 on: November 16, 2012, 09:38:23 AM »

Sussex first count:

Tony Armstrong, UKIP 29,327 votes (15%)
Katy Elizabeth Bourne, The Conservative Party Candidate - 59,635 votes (32%)
Ian Chisnall, Independent 38,930 votes (21%)
Godfrey Daniel, Labour Party Candidate - 40,765 votes (22%)
David Rogers, Liberal Democrat 20,579 votes (11%)
Turnout: 15.82%
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change08
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #124 on: November 16, 2012, 09:46:18 AM »

Any good sites for results? Or hasn't anywhere bothered.


BTW, I voted yesterday. My polling stations in my Uni Halls' reception, didn't see many strikes on their list at all...
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