IA: GOP candidates in the lead

[Tender Branson]

I've thought that IA might be a lot closer than in 2008, because the state has a equal amount of Ds and Rs and Is. But this poll seems a bit too GOP friendly. And in 2008, the first DMR/Selzer poll was too Obama-friendly. We need more polls to see if Obama's in trouble there.

[Tender Branson]

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[Tender Branson]

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2004 was R+2
2008 was D+1
2010 was R+4

And this poll is R+8 ?

Hard to believe ...

[Tender Branson]

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2004 was R+2
2008 was D+1
2010 was R+4

And this poll is R+8 ?

Hard to believe ...

In 04, it was actually D+1. Kerry got 49% there and 48% nationally.

I mean the 2004 CNN Exit Poll sample from IA was R+2, not the election result.