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Author Topic: The 100k Districts Series  (Read 19968 times)
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Lewis Trondheim
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« on: February 19, 2012, 04:00:38 pm »
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See also the predecessor from ages ago.

Tolerance up to 5000 from state average. Trying to split as few counties and where applicable towns/cities/etc as possible.



New Hampshire North 101,429, 55.3% Obama
Lebanon 101,065, 62.5% Obama
Cheshire 101,923, 62.4% Obama
Concord 100,708, 58.1% Obama
Belknap 100,859, 51.3% Obama (would no doubt elect a Republican)
Dover & Rochester 103,347, 61.5% Obama
Mid Rockingham (or whatever you'd call it) 100,251, 53.3% McCain
Portsmouth 101,608, 57.7% Obama
Derry & Salem (or just West Rockingham) 104,559, 53.7% McCain
West Hillsborough 99,655, 51.1% Obama (would no doubt elect a Republican)
Manchester 100,966, 81.8% anglo, 55.2% Obama
Merrimack & Hudson (or I guess East Hillsborough will be better) 100,931, 53.5% McCain
Nashua 99,169, 81.0% anglo, 54.9% Obama

All other districts over 90% anglo.
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2012, 04:09:19 pm »
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York Coastal 99,177, 62.8% Obama
York West 97,954, 55.5% Obama
Cumberland West 103,639, 57.0% Obama
Cumberland East 99,389, 60.1% Obama
Portland 100,211, 86.3% Anglo, 73.9% Obama (all other districts over 90% Anglo)
Knox, Lincoln & Sagadahoc 100,702, 57.2% Obama
Oxford, Franklin & West Kennebec 100,856, 57.4% Obama
Androscoggin 100,094, 56.4% Obama
Kennebec 104,723, 56.6% Obama
Hancock & Waldo 106,926, 55.9% Obama
Bangor 104,066, 53.7% Obama
Somerset, Piscataquis & North Penobscot 105,898, 49.6% Obama
Aroostook & Washington 104,726, 52.4% Obama

I didn't do it on purpose. Honest. Neither the Obama-carries-everything bit (it's not as if Somerset etc would vote for a Democrat anyways. Though all the others might.) nor the Eastern-districts-are-larger-on-average bit. That was a result of keeping county splits down.

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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2012, 04:22:19 pm »
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Too easy.

Burlington 105,606, 89.6% Anglo, 75.2% Obama
Northwest 105,655, 63.4% Obama
Northeast 103,809, 65.5% Obama
Central 105,617, 68.2% Obama
Rutland & Bennington 103,871, 62.8% Obama
Windsor & Windham 101,183, 71.0% Obama
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2012, 04:45:30 pm »
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Fantastic thread.

The huge states like CA, NY, TX or FL will be long, but I suppose really fun.
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2012, 05:03:01 pm »
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All of Massachusetts that I'll do for now:



Berkshire 198,126, 72.2% D
Franklin & North Berkshire 104,465, 69.4% D
Amherst 103,899, 85.0% Anglo, 62.0% D
Northampton & Westfield 105,353, 89.0% Anglo, 56.9% D
West Springfield, Agawam & Holyoke 103,367, 72.3% Anglo, 22.0% Hispanic, 53.5% R (and Southwick actually, while lacking one precinct in Holyoke. Splitting Southwick instead couldn't be done within the 5000 tolerance level)
Springfield North & Chicopee 104,069, 58.8% White, 27.1% Hispanic, 10.6% Black, 56.8% D
Springfield South 104,289, 37.8% Hispanic, 37.4% White, 19.6% Black, 66.1% D
Hampden East 100,593, 59.3 R

These "averages" are from all I hear way too R heavy.
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2012, 05:51:46 pm »

Fantastic thread.

The huge states like CA, NY, TX or FL will be long, but I suppose really fun.

Given the time it took us to work on CA with 53 districts, I suspect that the division into 373 districts will indeed be long.

So far the districts have been able to use counties and county subdivisions smaller than a district. I will be curious to see what criteria are applied to divide subdivisions that are larger than a district.
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2012, 06:43:16 pm »
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I might do WA later. That would be about 67 districts (we have 49 legislative districts).
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2012, 10:33:55 pm »
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Cheesy
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2012, 11:25:22 pm »
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This pleases me
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« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2012, 12:54:09 am »

All of Massachusetts that I'll do for now:



Berkshire 198,126, 72.2% D
Franklin & North Berkshire 104,465, 69.4% D
Amherst 103,899, 85.0% Anglo, 62.0% D
Northampton & Westfield 105,353, 89.0% Anglo, 56.9% D
West Springfield, Agawam & Holyoke 103,367, 72.3% Anglo, 22.0% Hispanic, 53.5% R (and Southwick actually, while lacking one precinct in Holyoke. Splitting Southwick instead couldn't be done within the 5000 tolerance level)
Springfield North & Chicopee 104,069, 58.8% White, 27.1% Hispanic, 10.6% Black, 56.8% D
Springfield South 104,289, 37.8% Hispanic, 37.4% White, 19.6% Black, 66.1% D
Hampden East 100,593, 59.3 R

These "averages" are from all I hear way too R heavy.

I found a way you can avoid the split of Holyoke. Start with the north part of Berkshire down to Richmond, Lenox, and Washington. Link Franklin county with the eastern and western sides of Hampshire county. Take central Hampshire as a district except for Easthampton and Southampton. Those two towns link with Holyoke and Westfield to make a district. The rest of western Hampden links with southern Berkshire.
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« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2012, 04:41:40 am »
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I'm not sure I'm ready to get that technical. West Springfield to boondogs just sounds... very very wrong. (I mean, I looked at options to avoid that western extension to Amherst, and if I could have done it with one additional county split I'd probably have gone with it. Seems to take two, though.)

EDIT: And it's not necessary.
North Berkshire
Franklin & East Hampshire
Amherst, Hadley, South Hadley, Northampton, Easthampton
Holyoke, West Springfield, Agawam
South Berkshire, West Hampshire, West Hampden incl. Westfield

Holyoke is 4k under and all the others are 3-5k over, but it's legal. Will be in the final state map to come later today. Now I go play with Springfield to up the nonwhite percentage without splitting more than one ward.
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« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2012, 09:12:22 am »
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Too easy.

Burlington 105,606, 89.6% Anglo, 75.2% Obama
Northwest 105,655, 63.4% Obama
Northeast 103,809, 65.5% Obama
Central 105,617, 68.2% Obama
Rutland & Bennington 103,871, 62.8% Obama
Windsor & Windham 101,183, 71.0% Obama

Any way to avoid the central district cutting across the state? The Green Mountains form a pretty solid regional divide which is really broken.
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« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2012, 10:28:16 am »
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One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe.
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2012, 10:40:56 am »
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Please disregard Boston on the maps above, the version covered in the numbers table to follow is here:


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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2012, 11:26:54 am »
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Magic of rightclick works for all the above maps, of course.

Ah right, I also renumbered Middlesex County again after creating the state overview map (because I had a town split between nonconsecutively numbered districts, and that's unaesthetic!)

8 districts in Western Massachusetts
North Berkshire 105,388, 73.3 D, 90.2 (Format will be Anglo-Hispanic-Black-Asian unless stated. Groups over 10% listed.)
South Berkshire - Westfield 104,474, 51.3 D, 92.2
Franklin - East Hampshire 103,454, 62.1 D, 92.5
Amherst - Northampton 105,185, 72.3 D, 82.2
Holyoke, West Springfield, Agawam 96,709, 51.8 R, 70.6-23.5
Springfield W 103,054, 74.0 D, 27.5-46.9-20.9 (5th ward is split)
Chicopee - Springfield E 103,504, 53.1 D, 68.2-18.3
East Hampden 100,593, 59.3 R, 92.5

8 Districts in Worcester County
Gardner - West Worcester Co. 103,113, 60.9 R, 93.1
Fitchburg, Leominster 98,440, 59.4 R, 75.7-15.3
Mid Worcester Co (light green) 101,133, 59.9 R, 89.8
Worcester NW - Auburn 98,699, 54.2 D, 73.9-11.6
Worcester SE 98,534, 61.4 D, 50.7-27.2-11.3 (4rd ward is split. Maximized the nonwhite share despite not getting it over 50%)
SW Worcester Co 102,566, 63.3 R, 88.6
Shrewsbury etc (orange, east of Worcester) 98,433, 57.5 R, 81.3-12.2 Asian
Milford - SE Worcester Co 97,634, 64.1 R, 91.3

13 Districts in Middlesex County, excluding Somerville. Couldn't quite avoid townsplits.
Framingham 99,836, 50.5 D, 72.0-10.2
Natick etc 102,692, 51.0 D, 87.7
Marlborough - Concord 103,744, 52.3 D, 80.9
Dracut - NW Middlesex 98,747, 63.6 R, 89.9 includes the 1st ward of Lowell (which is the whitest, at least along the north side)
Lowell 100,481, 52.2 D, 50.6-18.1-21.0 Asian
Tewksbury etc (pinkish, east of Lowell) 102,299, 64.9 R, 91.5
Chelmsford etc (puke-colored, south of Lowell) 102,286, 53.9 R, 84.4-10.8 Asian. Splits Lexington with...
Woburn etc 105,067, 50.7 R, 80.5-11.4 Asian
Melrose & points north 98,099, 56.0 R, 91.4
Everett & Malden 101,117, 57.0 D, 52.9-13.6-14.0-13.8
Medford & Arlington 99,017, 63.5 D, 79.4
Watertown & points west 103,735, 58.9 D, 77.8. Splits Waltham with...
Newton 105,049, 67.3 D, 71.4-11.1 Asian
Cambridge 105,162, 85.5 D, 62.1-11.0 Black-15.1 Asian

8 Districts in Boston, Somerville, Brookline and Chelsea
This is a compromise between respect for ward boundaries, racial gerrymandering, compactness, and the constraints offereed by a below-quota total population. It splits more wards than would have been technically necessary.
Somerville 102,821, 70.3 D, 72.4
West Boston (orange) 95,901, 69.7 D, 64.6-10.7-15.3 Asian
Brookline 97,155, 72.1 D, 72.9-14.6 Asian
southern districts from west to east
99,311, 70.0 D, 58.2-17.7-16.7
95,960, 92.7 D, 16.1-24.5-50.9
98,630, 89.3 D, 10.5-19.1-53.5
97,259, 61.7 D, 67.2-11.6 Asian
Chelsea 100,220, 62.1 D, 38.3-45.3 (still plurality White VAP though. Couldn't get that corrected without carving into Revere.)

8 Districts in Essex, Revere and Winthrop, aka 7 in Essex excluding Saugus
Revere, Winthrop, Saugus 95,880, 55.5 R, 74.7-15.4
Lynn 105,335, 50.6 D, 54.2-27.8
Salem 105,420, 50.7 R, 84.2. Splits Peabody with...
Beverly etc (light green) 97,721, 57.6 R, 92.6
Methuen West - Andover 101,260, 61.6 R, 82.7 Splits Methuen with...
Lawrence - Methuen East 100,877, 56.7 D, 34.5-59.3
Haverhill & Amesbury 102,477, 58.2 R, 86.0
Gloucester & Newburyport 103,441, 53.1 R, 94.9
There is but one alignment of towns that avoids splitting Methuen (or Lawrence. Or Haverhill, possibly - not sure about that), and it crosses the county line and it didn't exactly make the task in Middlesex easier, either. Even though the average populations would have been more balanced.

6 Districts in Norfolk County (excluding detached portions)
Needham etc 101,804, 51.6 R, 86.8
West Norfolk Co 99,056, 64.6 R, 91.7
WC Norfolk Co (Norwood & points sw) 99,173, 57.8 R, 87.2
C Norfolk Co (south from Milton) 102,433, 52.3 D, 65.7-19.4 Black. Splits Milton with...
Quincy 101,832, 50.1 R, 67.7-22.2 Asian
Braintree & Weymouth 100,278, 58.7 R, 86.3

13 Districts in the Old Colony
Hingham to Marshfield (very pale coastal district) 101,094, 59.8 R, 95.6
Abington etc (very pale district inland from that) 96,351, 65.4 R, 93.6
Brockton 100,726, 54.9 D, 46.4-27.8 Black-13.9 Other (Capeverdeans)
Plymouth 98,485, 62.0 R, 93.8
Wareham etc 98,996, 61.7 R, 92.2 Includes Bourne town in Barnstable County
Taunton - Bridgewater 95,820, 58.9 R, 86.8 Also crosses a county line
North Bristol County 105,647, 64.8 R, 91.4
Attleboro-Somerset 98,431, 56.6 R, 90.5
There are two possible alignments of towns here. The other one exchanges North Attleboro for Somerset and Deignton and is even worse. Rehoboth will have to lump it.
Fall River 101,143, 57.9 D, 84.9 Splits Freetown with...
New Bedford 98,067, 65.5 D, 68.8-16.3. Split is exceedingly reasonable, though.
South Bristol County - Islands 102,447, 55.4 D, 91.1 Took a while to figure this least-damage alignment out
West Cape Cod 97,599, 57.8 R, 92.2 Splits Barnstable with...
East Cape Cod 98,535, 51.2 R, 90.4

Phew.
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2012, 01:10:43 pm »
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One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe.


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« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2012, 01:28:37 pm »
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I grew up in Vermont and what you had before strikes me as markedly preferable to that so far as the Montpelier area is concerned.
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« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2012, 01:43:40 pm »
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Lewis managed to draw the most phallic-looking district I've ever seen in the Boston area.
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« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2012, 02:15:09 pm »
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Which one? Orange West Boston, with the swinging nutsack and the inexplicable stuff to the west that's probably usually hidden from sight on the inside of the torso?
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« Reply #19 on: February 20, 2012, 02:52:10 pm »
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Yes that one.
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« Reply #20 on: February 20, 2012, 03:05:08 pm »
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One additional county split; prevents an additional town split and an even worse design for the ninth district (in the Kent County part).

No election data for RI, populations are in the image.
1 Woonsocket, N Smithfield, Burrilville, Glocester (sic), Scituate, Foster. 85.2% Anglo
2 Cumberland, Lincoln, Smithfield, Central Falls. 77.8% Anglo, 15.2% Hispanic
3 Johnston, N Providence, nw sections of Providence. 74.2% Anglo, 14.3% Hispanic
4 Pawtucket, ne sections of Providence. 57.1% Anglo, 19.1% Hispanic, 12.5% Black
5 c and s sections of Providence. 55.1% Hispanic, 18.4% Anglo, 15.5% Black. VAP Majority.
6 e sections of Providence, E Providence, Barrington, Warren. 81.7% Anglo
7 Cranston, n sections of E Warwick. 79.0% Anglo, 10.0% Hispanic
8 Warwick, s sections of E Warwick. 90.5% Anglo
9 Coventry, W Greenwich, E Greenwich, Exeter, N Kingstown, Jamestown (Conanicut Island). 94.0% Anglo
10 Narragansett, South Kingstown, Richmond, Hopkinton, Charlestown, Westerly, New Shoreham (Block Island). 92.1% Anglo
11 Bristol, Portsmouth, Middletown, Newport, Tiverton, Little Compton. 89.1% Anglo
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« Reply #21 on: February 20, 2012, 03:07:19 pm »
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Yes that one.
It's just your dirty mind. It doesn't look phallic at all.
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« Reply #22 on: February 20, 2012, 04:49:27 pm »
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SW insert:



Populations for all but the first four in the first image.

Windham 100,230, 57.0% Obama, 83.8, 10.9 Hispanic
Tolland N - Woodstock 102,416, 56.7% Obama, 88.5
Tolland S - Colchester 96,000, 61.0% Obama, 89.1
Norwich 96,512, 57.6% Obama, 77.0
New London 63.6% Obama, 71.8, 12.5 Hispanic
Waterford - Old Saybrook (or whatever you want to call it. Teal) 59.1% Obama, 90.0
Middletown 63.3% Obama, 81.6
Branford (is the largest town. Across the NH-NL line, anyways) 57.4% Obama, 91.8
New Haven N 88.8% Obama, 29.5, 42.9 Black, 20.5 Hispanic. Includes part of Hamden
New Haven S 72.9% Obama, 48.0, 27.2 Hispanic, 17.8 Black. Includes West Haven
East Haven - North Haven - Hamden 59.7% Obama, 79.4
Meriden & Wallingford 63.5% Obama, 68.0, 21.9 Hispanic
Naugatuck - Cheshire just 51.4% Obama, 83.8. Includes part of Waterbury.
Waterbury 65.8% Obama, 41.5, 33.7 Hispanic, 19.1 Black
Milford (& points north) just 54.7% Obama, 80.9
Southbury - Newtown (- whatever. Green thingy) 49.9% McCain (yes!), 90.5
Bridgeport (Central) 87.7% Obama, 15.4, 42.7 Hispanic, 35.4 Black
Stratford (- Shelton - Bridgeport E) 55.6% Obama, 70.9, 12.8 Hispanic, 11.5 Black
Trumbull (- Bridgeport NW - points north) 54.1% Obama, 71.9, 12.9 Hispanic
Fairfield & Westport (& two precincts in Norwalk) 59.2% Obama, 87.1
Norwalk & Darien 61.2% Obama, 61.6, 21.0 Hispanic, 11.3 Black
Stamford (S) 67.1% Obama, 46.7, 27.7 Hispanic, 15.3 Black
Greenwich - Stamford N - New Canaan just 52.3% Obama, 83.1
Ridgefield - Bethel (purple thingy south of Danbury) just 53.5% Obama, 89.4
Danbury 56.0% Obama, 63.5, 21.2 Hispanic
Southington (grey, southern Hartford County district that includes one Fairfield town) just 53.1% Obama, 89.7
Bristol & Farmington 59.1% Obama, 84.1
New Britain & Newington 69.5% Obama, 57.8, 28.2 Hispanic
Manchester & Glastonbury (& Marlborough...) 63.2% Obama, 74.5
Hartford E - Wethersfield - East Hartford 70.0% Obama, 48.3, 28.1 Hispanic, 16.9 Black
Hartford W 92.5% Obama, 14.4, 40.6 Hispanic, 39.9 Black
West Hartford (& points west) 63.4% Obama, 80.8
Enfield - South Windsor 58.2% Obama, 83.4
Windsor - Simsbury 66.8% Obama, 66.7, 22.5 Black. Black Flight areas just outside Hartford. Didn't know that.
Litchfield North just 54.2% Obama, 90.7
Litchfield South 49.7% McCain(!), 91.9

So... two McCain districts, though there'd inevitably be a fair few Republicans left. And those two are under 50% McCain.
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« Reply #23 on: February 20, 2012, 07:12:59 pm »
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I've done 29/67 districts for WA. My hand hurts.
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« Reply #24 on: February 20, 2012, 09:45:38 pm »
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One district obviously has to, more than half the population being west of the mountains. And you're not going to avoid using Addison County, except by splitting Burlington, drawing part with Addison and part with Barre/Montpelier. You could trade out Orange for the remainder of Washington and parts of Lamoille. Or even put Lamoille into the northeast district and walk the Burlington seat north to get Shelburne into the Montpelier to Addison district, maybe.




I think the bolded option is preferable, as it avoids both the east-west stretch from Addison to Orange and the three-way split of Chittenden.

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Seriously, it was time to change back to the real avatar.
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