The 100k Districts Series (user search)
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Author Topic: The 100k Districts Series  (Read 58268 times)
LastVoter
seatown
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« on: September 16, 2012, 06:03:18 PM »

Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada.
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LastVoter
seatown
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2012, 06:33:33 PM »

Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada.

We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally.
I decided use 25k to make it easier.
Preview:

total of 37 districts
Bernie Sanders rating:
Safe: 14
Lean: 6
Toss-up: 1
Need more minorities/hipsters/californians: 3
"He's a commie": 15
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2012, 05:34:38 PM »

Going to work on Oregon with 37 districts. It'll be a little more liberal with 20% population deviation, as ridings are done in Canada.

We have 25% deviation. Some provincial commissions try and use 5%, while others like to use the 25% deviation quite liberally.
I decided use 25k to make it easier.
Preview:

total of 37 districts
Bernie Sanders rating:
Safe: 14
Lean: 6
Toss-up: 1
Need more minorities/hipsters/californians: 3
"He's a commie": 15

Eastern Oregon: all of the districts are about -20k below quota
Bend Area:
District 1(blue)- the most left leaning area, considering it's it a town in a toss-up Deschutes county.
District 2(working class & Hispanic) suburbs of Bend, also pretty left-leaning
The rest of the districts are solidly right-wing.
Western Oregon:
Coastal districts are underpopulated like Eastern Oregon.
District 9(marine blue): is the most right-wing coastal district.
The rest are all pretty left leaning(green, brown, dark blue)
Southern Oregon:
There is an urban Medford-Ashland district that's also pretty left leaning.
Two Rural districts that are very right wing. Blue and pink.
Light green district is partially in Southern Oregon and Willamette valley, and it's also right-wing but not as right-wing as the two districts in Southern Oregon.
Willamette Valley:
3 rural right wing districts: light brown, dark brown and red.
Eugene has 3 rurban districts, and all should be pretty left-leaning. Blue pink and orange.
Corvallis-Albany is a yellow district that should also be pretty left wing.
Salem has two districts that should be moderately left.
Portland Area:
Grey district is the rich suburban district that acts as a vote sink, the only district in Portland Metro that can conceivably vote Republican, also the whitest suburban district, only Portland itself can get a whiter district.
Washington County:
Purple - Hillsboro district, has a lot of Hispanics, should be fairly left-wing.
Light Green- Tualitin based district, should also be fairl left-wing.
Light Pink- has parts of suburban Beaverton and northwest portland & hills, fairly rich area, but should still be left-wing
Light gray- Other part of Portland's hills and downtown Beaverton
Multnomah County:
Light blue: The minority district in north Portland, has 15.4% black VAP
Green: the Urban district, 83.3 White, probably the whitest such district possible anywhere in US.
Yellow: Southern Portland
Purple: Eastern Portland
Orange: Eastern suburbs(Gresham, not sure how they vote, but I am assuming pretty left-wing
Lavender: Also eastern suburbs, contains troutdale, and parts of Eastern Portland.
Clackamas county:
Blue:
Light blue: contains Milwaukee and foothills
Blue: contains Oregon City.
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LastVoter
seatown
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,322
Thailand


« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2013, 12:45:34 PM »

seatown's Oregon map really ought to be reworked to fit into the general rules used, but with the state offering no opportunities for a minority district (maybe a coalition district in Portland) and with no election figures, I just cannot bother right now. Or maybe it's just that the elation at being finished with California is too overwhelming. Never. Again.

Here's San Diego.


343 Lakeside - East County 101599, 69w-22h, 65.6% McCain, 68.9% Whitman
344 Fallbrook - Camp Pendleton - Oceanside E 104841, 56w-32h, 61.4% McCain, 69.1% Whitman
345 Oceanside N 102666, 45w-38h, 52.1% Obama, 54.9% Whitman
346 Carlsbad - Oceanside SW 98977, 73w-15h, 51.0% Obama, 59.6% Whitman
347 Vista - Tri City 101039, 52h-38w (no VAP majority), 51.5% Obama, 55.9% Whitman
348 San Marcos N - Hidden Meadows 96671, 53w-34h, 57.6% McCain, 66.1% Whitman
349 San Marcos S - Ocean Hills 98927, 66w-20h, 54.5% McCain, 64.2% Whitman
350 Encinitas 94982, 80w-13h, 59.0% Obama, 53.0% Whitman
351 Escondido 102851, 60h-31w, 50.6% Obama, 56.5% Whitman

352 Poway 102684, 71w-18h, 62.3% McCain, 69.4% Whitman
353 Santee 97803, 74w-17h, 61.7% McCain, 65.6% Whitman
354 El Cajon 98321, 54w-30h, 50.5% McCain, 57.5% Whitman
355 La Mesa - Lemon Grove - Casa de Oro 96385, 55w-26h, 55.8% Obama, 50.4% Whitman
356 Spring Valley - Rancho San Diego - Jamul 96887, 51w-31h, 52.5% McCain, 59.6% Whitman

357 Chula Vista NE 95730, 49h-30w-13a, 54.9% Obama, 50.6% Whitman
358 Chula Vista SE - San Ysidro 99490, 48h-23a-18w, 59.8% Obama, 53.9% Brown (finally!)
359 Chula Vista W 102774, 73h-14w, 66.5% Obama, 63.3% Brown
360 South San Diego - Imperial Beach 100796, 72h-16w, 65.8% Obama, 62.1% Brown

And the city (minus S, plus Nat'l & Coronado) divisions
361 Harborside - Coronado 97428, 65w-19h, 65.3% Obama, 55.9% Brown
362 Beaches 102252, 78w-12h, 64.4% Obama, 53.4% Brown
363 La Jolla - University City 103331, 62w-24h, 64.6% Obama, 51.9% Brown
364 Carmel Valley 97396, 61w-25h, 53.5% Obama, 59.9% Whitman
365 Miramar Ranch - Rancho Bernardo 96223, 60w-23a(!), 50.4% Obama, 60.4% Whitman
366 Mira Mesa 96223, 41a-37w-13h, 53.6% Obama, 54.4% Whitman
367 Clairemont 103943, 59w-23h-11a, 58.1% Obama, 51.5% Brown
368 Hillcrest - Serra Mesa 99260, 51w-24h-12a, 70.1% Obama, 63.8% Brown
369 Grantville - Talmadge - San Carlos 101232, 68w-15h, 58.4% Obama, 50.6% Brown
370 Logan Heights - Balboa Park 104476, 54h-30w (no VAP majority), 81.6% Obama, 76.9% Brown
371 Webster 98850, 46h-18w-18a-15b, 73.0% Obama, 70.0% Brown
372 Southeast 95859, 40h-28a-18b-10w, 67.6% Obama, 66.3% Brown
373 National City - Lincoln Park 99190, 69h-13a, 74.7% Obama, 73.1% Brown
The green seat in North Portland has a lot of Blacks, and Hillsborough district has a lot of Hispanics. I don't think my map violates any of the rules except for the Eugene ruruban gerrymander(but that would be OK under my self imposed rules, Canada does it for Regina and Saskatoon.
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