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Author Topic: WI: Marquette Law School: Thompson (R) leads Baldwin (D) by 6  (Read 1233 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: February 22, 2012, 08:30:43 am »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Marquette Law School on 2012-02-19

Summary: D: 42%, R: 48%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

In the race for U.S. Senate in Wisconsin, former Governor Tommy Thompson has a small lead of 48 percent to 42 percent over Rep. Tammy Baldwin. Baldwin has a slight lead over former Rep. Mark Neumann, 44 percent to 40 percent, and a somewhat larger lead over state Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald, 45 percent to 37 percent.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #1 on: February 22, 2012, 04:44:35 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.
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« Reply #2 on: February 22, 2012, 04:48:53 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Yes, she's a lesbian, you see...
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Scott
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« Reply #3 on: February 22, 2012, 04:59:24 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Good thing Obama isn't an extremist.
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« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2012, 05:05:22 pm »
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Excellent.
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« Reply #5 on: February 22, 2012, 05:16:51 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Good thing Obama isn't an extremist.

It would be difficult to describe him as such given how he got 69 million votes.
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Miles
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« Reply #6 on: February 22, 2012, 05:20:04 pm »
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Did they include any Republican primary polling between Neumann and Thompson?
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« Reply #7 on: February 22, 2012, 05:27:18 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Yes, she's a lesbian, you see...


You think that's part of the problem?
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« Reply #8 on: February 22, 2012, 05:31:11 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Yes, she's a lesbian, you see...

You think that's part of the problem?

For some voters, sure it is.
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« Reply #9 on: February 22, 2012, 05:31:36 pm »
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Everything but. Thompson has a 2-1 advantage in name recognition and the TP vote is split between he and Fitzgerald, so I'd expect a Thompson primary lead as well.

Baldwin: She's one of the most liberal House members. She's running statewide in a D+2 state. I think Neumann could also beat her but the race would be uncomfortably close for the GOP.
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7.35, 3.65

« Les plus nobles principes du monde ne valent que par l’action.  » - Charles de Gaulle



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« Reply #10 on: February 22, 2012, 05:34:45 pm »
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Name recognition with Thompson. Once Obama gears up in campaign mode, this will be top tier race, but I rather have anyone but Thompson as the nominee.
« Last Edit: February 22, 2012, 05:39:06 pm by OC »Logged
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« Reply #11 on: February 22, 2012, 06:23:47 pm »
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Baldwin: She's one of the most liberal House members. She's running statewide in a D+2 state. I think Neumann could also beat her but the race would be uncomfortably close for the GOP.

Ever since Baldwin jumped in the race, I've said she's too liberal for the state. I think she'd lose to Thompson but squeak out a win against Neumann.
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« Reply #12 on: February 22, 2012, 06:35:03 pm »
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Kohl in the early days was the right fit for the state but he leaned like Feingold leftward and had to leave the Senate because of the 2010 election.  Let's hope that even Thompson is the nominee,  he doesn't win the seat.
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« Reply #13 on: February 22, 2012, 08:18:21 pm »
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Kohl in the early days was the right fit for the state but he leaned like Feingold leftward and had to leave the Senate because of the 2010 election.  Let's hope that even Thompson is the nominee,  he doesn't win the seat.

Kohl would have won reelection easily.
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« Reply #14 on: February 22, 2012, 08:57:35 pm »
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Not at all surprising. Same poll showed Obama up heavily of course; its just that Baldwin is an extremist.

Yes, she's a lesbian, you see...

I think it has more to do with how left-wing she is rather than her sexuality. Obama looks like a moderate compared to her.

That is, of course, because Obama is a moderate.

In all honesty, though, Baldwin has a tough time here, not despite but perhaps because of the fact that Thompson is like seventy years old and utterly bland.
« Last Edit: February 22, 2012, 08:59:07 pm by Nathan »Logged

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« Reply #15 on: February 22, 2012, 09:27:31 pm »
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If Kevin wants to know why people round here do not like him very much...
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« Reply #16 on: February 22, 2012, 10:32:13 pm »
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Baldwin(D-WI) is the Midwestern Chris Coons.
Looking at the 2010 DE US Senate Race. Polls showed Mike Castle-R leading Coons-D. Coons-D leading O'Donnell-R. O'Donnell-R won the GOP nomination..etc Coons-D is Senator for life.
2012 WI US Senate Race. Republican primary includes Thompson-moderate elder statesman former Governor, Neumann-moderate to conservative former Congressman, Fitzgerald-extreme conservative State Legislator. Neumann wins the nomination because he is conservative enough for the Tea Party but moderate enough for Republican leaning Independents. Baldwin-D defeats Neumann-R in the general election by a single digit margin due to Obama-D coattails. Obama-D is going to carry WI by a high single digit/low double digit margin. 
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« Reply #17 on: February 23, 2012, 11:00:18 am »
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If Kevin wants to know why people round here do not like him very much...

Do you think I really give a sh*t about what people on some obscure internet forum think of me?
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« Reply #18 on: February 23, 2012, 12:23:47 pm »
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If Thompson wins the primary, I think he'll have an easy time winning this race. Neumann would make it very close, though he'd still be favored, methinks.
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« Reply #19 on: February 23, 2012, 12:28:27 pm »
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I'm surprised by how many people here consider Thompson unbeatable. He hasn't held elective office for more than a decade, he is old, his fire in the belly is questionable and during his disastrous presidential campaign, as well as his current senatorial one, proved himself to be a gaffe machine.
Personally I will not be surprised if he doesn't make it out of the primary.
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« Reply #20 on: February 23, 2012, 01:40:25 pm »
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If Kevin wants to know why people round here do not like him very much...

Do you think I really give a sh*t about what people on some obscure internet forum think of me?

I've really no idea. But you've (implicitly) whined about it before.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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« Reply #21 on: February 23, 2012, 02:56:39 pm »
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I think Neumann would also win against Baldwin too though, since even though he lacks the background that Thompson has with WI voters he is a good fit for the state overall. I mean Ron Johnson is much more conservative then Neumann is and if he can just come out of no where to oust someone like Feingold then Neumann can surely can beat Baldwin.

The only Republican I would consider unelectable so far in this race would be Fitzgerald the Tea Party fellow, although I know very little about him and his views.
« Last Edit: February 23, 2012, 05:37:49 pm by Kevin »Logged

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« Reply #22 on: February 23, 2012, 08:03:53 pm »
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Feingold-D is a lackluster campaigner. He refuses to play dirty - raise and spend soft money contribution. (Feingold's 1998 re-election race against a Neumann-R which Feingold narrowly won). Baldwin-D like Feingold-D is going to face tough general election campaigns every 6 years. However Baldwin-D is not going to make the same errors Feingold-D has been making during his Senate re-election campaigns. Baldwin-D will accept assistance from third party organizations.
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« Reply #23 on: February 24, 2012, 01:16:10 pm »
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Oh stop playing the victim you obnoxious little twat.
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"I have become entangled in my own data, and my conclusion stands in direct contradiction to the initial idea from which I started. Proceeding from unlimited freedom, I end with unlimited despotism. I will add, however, that there can be no solution of the social formula except mine."
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« Reply #24 on: February 24, 2012, 01:20:51 pm »
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Oh stop playing the victim you obnoxious little twat.

I'm not playing victim I'm just stating the truth you are denying outright.
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