Bush vs Obama 2012 Election Night and on Timeline

[GPORTER]

North Carolina, Virgnia, and  Oklahoma Go to Perry. Arkansas Undecided.
You saw our headline of the night, North Carolina, Virgnia, and  Oklahoma all go to Perry tonight. Arkansas is undecided at this hour.

North Carolina, a state that has been reasonably competetive the last two elections, goes back to its strong republican roots and gives its electoral votes to Rick Perry.

Rick Perry Wins North Carolina

Virgnia, a big battleground state, bad news for Hillary Clinton. Virgnia goes to Perry tonight.

Rick Perry Wins Virgnia

And finally, a state that was undecided earlier, Oklahoma keeps with its republican roots and gives its electoral votes to governor Perry tonight. Perry wins in Oklahoma.

Rick Perry Wins Oklahoma

And lets see how our electoral map shapes up after those projections.

Perry: 123        Clinton: 43        270 needed to win

This seems to be bad news for Hillary Clinton at this moment, we are ready to project that Missouri, Missouri will go to governor Rick Perry tonight. And West Virgnia, a state that democrats thought they had a chance in tonight, not to be, Perry wins in West Virgnia. Some disappointing losses for Clinton.

Rick Perry Wins Missouri

Rick Perry Wins West Virgnia

Perry: 138        Clinton: 43        270 needed to win

Lets look at some of the senate calls right now...auctually we have none to tell you about right now. That North Carolina race is undecided at this time. This is election night 2016. Come back quick, at 9 o'clock, we might might have a major national projection.

[GPORTER]

We can declare that Michelle Obama will go onto win the Illinois senate election. She defeats incumbent republican Mark Kirk.

Michelle Obama Wins Illinois Senate Election

Perry In Striking Distance of Presidency. Clinton Has Trouble Getting 100 Electoral Votes at this point in Evening
Yes it is 9 o'clock on the east coast and we have some projections.

In Arizona, that state voted for Obama four years ago. Between Clinton and Perry, its undecided at least for now.

In Colorado however, showing the shift of the nation, Colorado goes to Rick Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Colorado

Kansas, part of the republican heartland. At a time the most republican state in the nation. Kansas goes to governor Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Kansas

Louisiana, part of the republican solid south. Louisiana goes to Perry tonight.

Rick Perry Wins Louisiana

Michigan, unfortunate for the Clintons, its undecided.

Diddo in Minnesota, too close to call.

Nebraska, all five electoral votes go to Perry tonight.

Rick Perry Wins Nebraska

In New Mexico, between Clinton and Perry, its undecided.

In New York, a democratic strong hold, it stays that way tonight. Clinton wins New York.

Hillary Clinton Wins New York

Rhode Island also goes to Clinton tonight.

Hillary Clinton Wins Rhode Island

South Dakota stays in the republican column, despite some effort on the democratic side there. Perry carries South Dakota.

Rick Perry Wins South Dakota

Now for some big projections, Rick Perry carries his homestate of Texas. Texas stays in the republican column.

Rick Perry Wins Texas

And in Florida, a major projection here. No one can deny the size of this win for governor Perry. Perry wins in Florida, according to our projections.

Rick Perry Wins Florida

Wisconsin, Wisconsin is too early to call at this time. But, Wyoming stays in the republican column.

Rick Perry Wins Wyoming

And finally, New Hampshire goes with Perry tonight.

Rick Perry Wins New Hampshire

Okay, some major projections there, lets take a look at the map.

Perry: 240        Clinton: 76        270 needed to win

We will be back with some senate calls this hour coming up. Wait hold it, bad news for Clinton, Arkansas goes to Perry. Were coming back stay with us.

Rick Perry Wins Arkansas

Perry: 246        Clinton: 76        270 needed to win

Were coming back with senate calls and could the presidency be decided at any moment? Stay with us.

[GPORTER]

Welcome back to election night 2016 coverage. Governor Perry has a big lead over former senator Clinton. Now lets turn to our panel. Rick Perry is only twenty four electoral votes away from the presidency. Hillary Clinton is yet to reach 100 electoral votes.

I think its pretty safe to say first of all that governor Perry has won this election. We can't call it until a candidate reaches 270 or more electoral votes. But, the only hope for Hillary now is basically to sweep all of the states minus a very few that have not been declared yet or still have their polls open. Its possible that she can pull this out, but seeing the trend of the evening, not very likely.

Now four years ago, it looked like President Bush was going to win going away at this time of the night. The same way it looks for governor Perry now. But, that election became very close.

Yes, but Bush did not lead by anywhere near what Perry does as I recall. Ohio went to Obama four years ago, and Ohio on the flip side went pretty early in the evening to Perry tonight.

I'll pose the question to you. Is it over?

If Perry starts to win in the mid atlantic states, then it will be over.

What about the congress? Hows the balance of power looking in your opinion?

The senate especially is a little bit of a brighter spot for democrats tonight. Michelle Obama has been declared the winner over incumbent republican Mark Kirk in Illinois. The democrats need a net gain of four and at the relatively early point in the evening, at least according to the congressional races, they have a net gain of one. Thats not a bad position to be in.

Roy Blunt is returned, Dan Coats from Indiana, Joe Wilson succeeds Jim DeMint in South Carolina. For the democrats, Patrick Leahy, the chair I believe of the judicial committee if democrats took control. Martin O'Malley, who himself is getting up there in years, and now Michelle Obama.

The senate might be the most competetive thing out there tonight. The presidential race draws the most attention tonight, because of the apparant republican tidal wave that is forming there. But, the senate could be the most competetive thing out there tonight.

Were coming back in a moment. Stay with us

[GPORTER]

Okay, we can go ahead and declare that after being undecided for a lengthy period of time, at least compared to usual, Massachussetts will go to Hillary Clinton tonight.

As much trouble as she is already in, she wanted to make sure that Massachussetts went into her column. Well it does, Massachussetts to Clinton tonight.

But, hold on, Wisconsin goes to Perry. Perry is getting closer and closer to winning the White House tonight. Wisconsin to Perry tonight.


Hillary Clinton Wins Massachussetts

Rick Perry Wins Wisconsin

Perry: 259        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

And now to turn to the senate races at the 9 o'clock hour. Lets look them over.

In Arizona, in a surprise, Jeff Flake defeats Gabby Giffords in that race. Flake holds that seat for republicans, McCain retired there.

Jeff Flake Wins Arizona Senate Election

Also, we can now declare that Rand Paul will win another term to the senate in Kentucky. Thats another hold for the republicans.

Rand Paul Wins Kentucky Senate Election

In Colorado, a race between democratic incumbent Michael Bennett and republican challenger congressman Mike Coffman is undecided at this hour.

We have to break in with a major projection here.

Rick Perry, the longest serving governor in Texas history, has been elected President of the United States of America. He wins both Arizona and Pennsylvania. Rick Perry will be the 46th President of the United States.



Rick Perry Wins Arizona

Rick Perry Wins Pennsylvania

Perry: 290        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

Rick Perry will be the next President of the United States. Lets get back to our senate projections.

In Kansas, Kevin Yoder wins that senate race. He succeeds retiring incumbent republican Jerry Moran. Yoder holds that seat for republicans.



Kevin Yoder Wins Kansas Senate Election

In an interesting turn of events. Chuck Schumer retired from the united states senate this year. Its republican congressman Chris Gibson running against democratic congressman Brian Higgins. Its undecided at this hour.

In Wisconsin, a race between democrat Ed Gravey and republican incumbent Ron Johnson is undecided at this hour.

Republican: 43          Democrat: 38        Independent: 1        51 needed for abslute majority

And before we go, we can declare that republicans will easily retain control of the house of representatives in the next congress.

Republicans Retain Control of the House of Representatives

I think people are now waiting for republicans to pick up a democratic seat.

There are still a lot of opprotunities for that: New York, Colorado, Washington state, Hawaii, maybe California
Were coming back, stay with us.

[GPORTER]

We can declare that John Boozman will be returned to the united states senate from Arkansas. A hold for the republicans there.

John Boozman Wins Arkasnas Senate Election

And Ron Johnson, despite some trouble, will be returned to the united state senate. A hold for the republicans in Wisconsin.

Ron Johnson Wins Wisconsin Senate Election

Republican: 45        Democrat: 38        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

Were coming back, stay with us.

[GPORTER]

A senate race that we forgot to tell you about. Republican senator John Vitter is seeking his third term to the senate against Cedric Richmond, the only democratic congressman in Louisiana. That race is undecided at this time.

In Utah, govenor Perry carries that state. Its a strong republican state and remains that way.

Rick Perry Wins Utah

In North Dakota, there was a time when democrats thought they would have a chance there, obviously tonight they don't. Perry wins in North Dakota.

Rick Perry Wins North Dakota

Nevada, well between Perry and Clinton, is undecided at this hour. Iowa is also undecided at this hour between the two. However, Michigan, this is a big projection, Michigan goes to Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Michigan

Rick Perry also wins Montana tonight and adds the elrectoral votes from Montana to his winning total tonight. Not a surprise.

Rick Perry Wins Montana

Perry: 318        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

Now lets turn to some senate races that had their polls close at the 10 o'clock hour. Lets look them over.

Mike Lee easily wins again in Utah. A hold for the republicans there.
 
Mike Lee Wins Utah Senate Election

In Iowa, Jim Nussle is running against Leonard Boswell. They are running to succeed Chuck Grassley, the outgoing republican. That race is undecided at this time.

In North Dakota, John Hoeven wins there tonight again. Its a hold for the republicans there.

John Hoeven Wins North Dakota Senate Election

Six years ago, if they thought it was tough for Harry Reid six years ago, its even tough now. Brian Sandoval, the governor of Nevada, is challenging Harry Reid for his senate seat in Nevada tonight. That race is undecided.

Republican: 47        Democrat: 38        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

Lets turn to our panel for some quick commentary.

You know, now the question is not if Perry will win, the question is what his margin of victory will be. He has a decent lead right now.

Any reasons from exit polls for such a mandate for governor Perry?

Across the nation, it shows character, likability, among other things.

Were coming back. Stay with us.

[GPORTER]

New Mexico to Perry

Rick Perry Wins New Mexico

Perry also wins the last congressional district in the state of Maine.

Rick Perry Wins Maine's First Congressional District

Perry: 324        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

Were coming back. Stay with us.

[GPORTER]

Nussel Wins in Iowa. Wyden Wins in Oregon. Perry Wins Oregon.
A lot there, lets look over some projections as polls close on the west coast. First for the presidency.

In California, boy what a prize that would be for republicans. On a night like this, maybe it could happen. Its undecided at this hour.

In Oregon, however, we can declare that governor Perry will carry the state of Oregon. Oregon for Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Oregon

In Washington state, that state is undecided at this hour. The big Clinton turnout in Seattle would be hard to over come, that is if there is a large turnout there.

In Hawaii, unfortunately for the Clintons, its undecided.

Lets turn to the senate. In Oregon, Ron Wyden wins another term to the united states senate from Oregon. A hold for the democrats.

Good news for democrats, Michael Bennet pulls out his race in Colorado. Bennet holds that seat for democrats.

Ron Wyden Wins Oregon Senate Election

Michael Bennett Wins Colorado Senate Election

Republican: 47        Democrat: 40        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

Major projection here, we can declare that for the first time since 1988, Perry wins Illinois. Thats a major win for republicans.

Rick Perry Wins Illinois

Perry: 351        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

We can also declare that Idaho will go to Perry as well.

Rick Perry Wins Idaho

Perry: 355        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

Also we can declare that Nevada will go to Perry tonight. Bad night for democrats.

Rick Perry Wins Nevada

Perry: 361        Clinton: 87        270 needed to win

Now were coming back. Stay with us

[GPORTER]

We can declare now that Jim Nussle, the republican, wins the senate race in Iowa. He succeeds retiring republican Chuck Grassley. Nussle holds that seat for republicans.

Jim Nussle Wins Iowa Senate Election

Republican: 48        Democrat: 40        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

More when we come back.

[GPORTER]

Welcome back to election night 2016, we have a line of projections for you at this time.

In Washington state, republicans hoped to make this race competetive and thought they could win. But, in the end, its not to be. Patty Murray will be returned to the united states senate for a fith term, shes going to be in the senate for thrity years if she serves out her term. Were ready to project that Patty Murray will win a fifth term to the united states senate, a hold for the democrats.

Patty Murray Wins Washington Senate Election

In California, on a night that is bad for democrats, this is a bright spot. Barabara Boxer will also win a fith term to the senate defeating a little known California republican congressman. Boxer wins again in California, a hold for the democrats there.

Barbara Boxer Wins California Senate Election

In Hawaii, this is history being made tonight. Daniel Inouye is ninety-two years old and he is winning tonight a record tenth, yes tenth consecutive term to the united states senate. A hold for the democrats.

Daniel Inouye Wins Hawaii Senate Election

We can also say that Hillary Clinton will carry the state of California tonight. California for Clinton.

Hillary Clinton Wins California

We can declare however, that Rick Perry will win the state of Iowa tonight. Iowa for Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Iowa

And finally, bad news for democrats, they loose Washington state again for the second presidential election in a row. Rick Perry wins Washington state tonight.

Rick Perry Wins Washington

This coming in now, we can declare that Richard Burr will be returned to the united states senate for another term. Thats a hold for the republicans. The republicans are growing closer and closer to retaining control of the united states senate. Its not over for democrats there, not just yet.

Richard Burr Wins North Carolina Senate Election

Perry: 379        Clinton: 142        270 needed to win

Lets look at the senate map:

Republican: 49        Democrat: 43        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

We can say that Harry Reid has an early lead over governor Sandoval in Nevada. However, it should be noted, the most conservative, republican areas of Nevada don't report their votes until late in the vote count. At least until then, its undecided.

Also in Louisiana, incumbent John Vitter has a lead in Louisiana. In New York, the democratic candidate has a lead there.

More coming up. Stay with us.

[GPORTER]

In Idaho, its Chase Church, son of former senator Frank Church, running against incumbent republican Mike Crapo. That race at this hour is undecided, Crapo does hold a sizable lead there in Idaho as of now. Undecided in Idaho, that would be an upset if Church were to win.

More to come.

[cope1989]

Oh my god, stop.

Care to explain what it is about the 2016 election that brought on this Perry landslide?

[GPORTER]

Oh my god, stop.

Care to explain what it is about the 2016 election that brought on this Perry landslide?

Its not a landslide

[GPORTER]

We have some interesting reports out of Illinois now. That race that early in the evening we called for Michelle Obama, as more conservative areas of the state are reporting, Mark Kirk has taken the lead by just a few thousand votes. We are taking the Illinois senate race back into the undecided column. This race could go either way now.

Republican: 49        Democrat: 44         Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

We can also now declare that the republicans will practically have control of the next senate. David Vitter wins in Louisiana and that brings the republicans to having fifty seats in the next senate. This means that vice president Brown will cast the deciding vote and by all accords vote in favor of republicans controling the senate. Vitter wins in Louisiana.

David Vitter Wins Louisiana Senate Election

Republican: 50        Democrat: 44        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

We can also declare now that Alaska will go to governor Perry. Also, in the senate race there, its a race between independent senator incumbent Lisa Murkowski and republican Todd Palin. That race is undecided at this hour. We can say that Murkowski leads in that race.

Rick Perry Wins Alaska

Perry: 382        Clinton: 142        270 needed to win

We can declare that despite a strong challenger, Mike Crapo will go onto win his race in Idaho and that means that republicans keep control of the senate in the next congress. Crapo wins in Idaho, holding that seat for republicans there.

Mike Crapo Wins Idaho Senate Election

Republican: 51         Democrat: 44        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

Republicans Retain Control of the United States Senate

Were coming back soon. Stay with us

[pillage the village, trash the scene]

He is a David, not John Vitter. Fix it, please!

[GPORTER]

This another disappointment for democrats, Hawaii also falls to governor Perry.

Rick Perry Wins Hawaii

Perry: 386        Clinton: 142        270 needed to win

We hope this is not premature, but we have enough reporting where we can make a projection in Nevada. We are ready to project that Harry Reid will return to Washington for another term in the united states senate. Reid wins in Nevada and holds that seat for democrats.

Harry Reid Wins Nevada Senate Election

Republican: 51      Democrat: 45        Independent: 1        51 needed for absolute majority

Despite performing poorly in the presidential race, democrats seem to be holding their own at least in the senate races.

Some thought republicans would end up having a 55-45 majority in the senate, if a comfortable victory for Perry like this occured. Perhaps the only good news for democrats right now tonight, its not going to be 55-45 majority.

If there had been an election when democrats would take the senate majority, would this have been it? So many republican incumbents up for reelection?

Well, now there are some disappointments for democrats tonight in a few races that they wish they could have won, but they didn't. Illinois, New York, and Alaska are still outstanding.

They are and we will just have to see what happens.

Can democrats recover from this size of a loss especially at the presidential level?

Yes, but it will be difficult. They don't want to see this relatively still new century start to be a very republican era, which is what its at least starting to be.

Were coming back.

[cope1989]

Oh my god, stop.

Care to explain what it is about the 2016 election that brought on this Perry landslide?

Its not a landslide

Rick Perry wins Hawaii and it's not a landslide??

[Senator Snowstalker]

The fact that Illinois was pulled back means that Kirk won. GPORTER, break the trend and at least have the Democrats pick up a net gain of a single seat.

[GPORTER]

The fact that Illinois was pulled back means that Kirk won. GPORTER, break the trend and at least have the Democrats pick up a net gain of a single seat.

That might still happen. But, look at the bright for democrats, all of the western democratic senators survived. Inouye serving a record tenth consecutive term. And Clinton carrying a handful of the east coast states and California makes it not a landslide. Popular vote is only 52-48 for Perry.

[GPORTER]

We don't have the map graphic at this moment, but we can declare that Lisa Murkowski has been reelected to the united states senate. Shes an independent but caucuses with the republicans. Murkowski wins in Alaska.

Lisa Murkowski Wins Alaska Senate Election

More to come

[GPORTER]

Welcome back at this time, we can declare that Minnesota will go to Hillary Clinton tonight. It took a long time to call that race. But, we are ready to project that the state of Minnesota will go to Hillary Clinton tonight.

Hillary Clinton Wins Minnesota

Perry: 386        Clinton: 152        270 needed to win

Republican: 52        Democrat: 46        51 needed for absolute majority

Okay, we combined the two independents with the parties that they caucus with. Adding Murkowski to the republican side and King to the democratic side. New York senate race...Hold on, Gibson wins in New York. Big news for republicans, a republican succeeds Schumer in New York.

Chris Gibson Wins New York Senate Election

Republican: 53        Democrat: 46        51 needed for absolute majority

The only question now is if the senate balance will remain unchanged for the second election in a row or if republicans will have a net pick up of one seat. Back with the final moments of election night 2016 when we come back.

[GPORTER]

And Illinois democrats can breathe easier, sorry for Mark Kirk, we can declare that Michelle Obama after some reconsideration, will win the Illinois senate race narrowly defeating incumbent republican Mark Kirk. Obama wins in Illinois.

Michelle Obama Wins Illinois Senate Election

Republican: 53         Democrat: 47        51 needed for absolute majority

This has been election night 2016 coverage. Republicans picked up eight seats in the house of representatives, extending their majority there. Republicans retain their majority in the senate with the exact same balance of power there and Rick Perry becomes the 46th President of the United States.

[GPORTER]

Election 2016 Results:

President:

Perry: 386         Clinton: 152        270 needed to win

Senate:

Republican: 53         Democrat: 47         51 needed for absolute majority

House of Representatives:
Republican: 251        Democrat: 184        218 needed for absolute majority

election night 2016

[GPORTER]

Conclusion of 2012 and on timeline summary of future:

President Perry wins reelection over Andrew Cuomo in 2020. This comes as an upset as Perry wins with about 290 electoral votes, certainly not as big of a margin as in 2016.

In 2024, senator Cravvick of Minnesota narrowly defeats and upsets vice president Brown for the republican presidential nomination. Cravvick, in an upset, wins in November. Only to loose by a wide margin in 2028 to a strong democratic opponent. This leads to at least eight years of democratic control of the white house.

Democrats retake congress in 2032 as the democrat incumbent president is reelected. Thanks to everyone who followed this timeline, I'm going to go back and work on one of my other timelines.