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| | |-+  The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread
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Author Topic: The "PPP leaks stuff about their polls" thread  (Read 17984 times)
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change08
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« Reply #125 on: March 22, 2012, 08:03:05 pm »
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Mr. Inevitable
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #126 on: March 22, 2012, 10:02:02 pm »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.
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« Reply #127 on: March 22, 2012, 11:07:29 pm »
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Drew Brees has a 94%-1% approval rating among likely LA primary voters, breaking the previous record (Abraham Lincoln at 91%-2%)
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« Reply #128 on: March 23, 2012, 12:42:20 am »
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One last note before I go to bed- Santorum with a big lead in Nebraska where we went in the field tonight. No surprise.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #129 on: March 23, 2012, 01:16:22 am »
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One last note before I go to bed- Santorum with a big lead in Nebraska where we went in the field tonight. No surprise.

No way! John King said the other day that its impossible for Santorum to win in Nebraska.
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« Reply #130 on: March 23, 2012, 01:52:10 am »
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We all know how this is all going to end...
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« Reply #131 on: March 23, 2012, 01:59:51 am »
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We all know how this is all going to end...

I think Wisconsin and North Carolina could both go either way. But yeah, pretty much.
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« Reply #132 on: March 23, 2012, 02:04:17 am »
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Montana and Indiana are not Romney-states ... yet.
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« Reply #133 on: March 23, 2012, 02:08:55 am »
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I wonder if Ron Paul will make some kind of an effort in Montana even though it's a primary this time instead of a caucus.
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« Reply #134 on: March 23, 2012, 02:13:51 am »
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I wonder if Ron Paul will make some kind of an effort in Montana even though it's a primary this time instead of a caucus.

Ron Paul's best days of the campaign are behind him already.

With "effort", do you mean he aims for 12% instead of his recent 4-9% ?

The guy should drop out and Newt should follow him.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #135 on: March 23, 2012, 02:18:18 am »
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Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

Montana and Indiana are not Romney-states ... yet.

Does anyone know which part of Montana has more sway in a Republican primary? The eastern half, which resembles closely the Dakotas, will be Rick country. If it can outvote the more populous but more Democratic western half then Santorum will be the favorite.
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« Reply #136 on: March 23, 2012, 02:20:26 am »
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Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

I'm not sure about that: many bankers and rich people there.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #137 on: March 23, 2012, 02:26:32 am »
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Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

I'm not sure about that: many bankers and rich people there.

And many hicks downstate. These are the same people who chose to throw away a Senate seat by choosing a witch over a pillar of the state's political life.

And don't forget that he must be well known (and I assume respected) since they share the Philadelphia media market.
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Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
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Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
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« Reply #138 on: March 23, 2012, 02:28:32 am »
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Delaware might be fertile ground for Santorum too.

I'm not sure about that: many bankers and rich people there.

And many hicks downstate. These are the same people who chose to throw away a Senate seat by choosing a witch over a pillar of the state's political life.

On the other hand, Delaware's 2008 primary result mirrored the one in Illinois.

And we know how the IL primary ended this week.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #139 on: March 23, 2012, 02:49:51 am »
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On the other hand, Delaware's 2008 primary result mirrored the one in Illinois.

And we know how the IL primary ended this week.

McCain's vote both in Illinois and Delaware was pretty homogenous. He didn't have a glaring problem with downscale voters and his military record made him a much better fit for rural areas, where Romney gets killed everytime.
Again, it's a matter of numbers. If Wilmington and subs can outvote the downstate the Mittens wins. If not then Rick wins.  
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« Reply #140 on: March 23, 2012, 02:51:10 am »
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In 2008, a little under half of Republican votes came from New Castle County, compared to about seven-tenths of Democratic votes.

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« Reply #141 on: March 23, 2012, 04:03:33 am »
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We all know how this is all going to end...

I want to believe otherwise but based on what? Especially not with Newt sticking around this long.

They built up all this suspense only to let the show come to a long, incrementally disappointing close.

Lame
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #142 on: March 23, 2012, 05:31:56 am »

Drew Brees has a 94%-1% approval rating among likely LA primary voters, breaking the previous record (Abraham Lincoln at 91%-2%)

Favorability, not approval.
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« Reply #143 on: March 23, 2012, 08:01:08 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.
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J. J.

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« Reply #144 on: March 23, 2012, 08:28:22 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

The delegates by CD are allocated by the caucus process (starting in late April); only 20 At-Large delegates are related to the results of the primary.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #145 on: March 23, 2012, 08:36:30 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

Wrong, like usual. It's 12-8 for Rick.
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J. J.
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« Reply #146 on: March 23, 2012, 08:38:02 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

The delegates by CD are allocated by the caucus process (starting in late April); only 20 At-Large delegates are related to the results of the primary.

That will translate into a 2 delegate lead.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
J. J.
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« Reply #147 on: March 23, 2012, 08:41:49 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

Wrong, like usual. It's 12-8 for Rick.

Yes, four delegate lead for Santorum.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
Keystone Phil
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« Reply #148 on: March 23, 2012, 08:45:31 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

Wrong, like usual. It's 12-8 for Rick.

Yes, four delegate lead for Santorum.

Ok, J.J., you clearly stated Romney would receive nine delegates. In the correct breakdown, it's 12-8, not 11-9.
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J. J.
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« Reply #149 on: March 23, 2012, 09:03:38 am »
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Santorum - 42%
Romney - 28%
Gingrich - 18%
Paul - 8%
Roemer - 2%

Bam.

Statewide, that translate into 11 Santorum, 9 Romney.  With the CD's assuming Romney comes in third in two (and that really pushing it), Santorum 12, Romney 4, Gingrich 2.  Best case scenario, Rick gains 10 delegates.

Wrong, like usual. It's 12-8 for Rick.

Yes, four delegate lead for Santorum.

Ok, J.J., you clearly stated Romney would receive nine delegates. In the correct breakdown, it's 12-8, not 11-9.

Yes, and I corrected that, agreeing with you, 4 delegates, based on those number, a 12-8 split.
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J. J.

"Actually, .. now that you mention it...." 
- Londo Molari

"Every government are parliaments of whores.
The trouble is, in a democracy the whores are us." - P. J. O'Rourke

"Wa sala, wa lala."

(Zulu for, "You snooze, you lose.")
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